|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|01-20-19||Patriots v. Chiefs -2.5||Top||37-31||Loss||-135||76 h 30 m||Show|
|01-20-19||Rams +3.5 v. Saints||26-23||Win||100||73 h 55 m||Show|
|01-12-19||Cowboys v. Rams -7||22-30||Win||100||30 h 19 m||Show|
Here is another game where I think the public will be all over the dog. The Rams werent a great team ATS this season, but they were 7-1 at home. The Cowboys were terrible on the road with a 3-5 record and that is counting a lucky comeback against the Giants in the final game. The Rams defense will have their way with Dak and shut Zeke down.
|01-12-19||Colts v. Chiefs -5||13-31||Win||100||27 h 39 m||Show|
I actually think the betting public is on the Colts here. The Chiefs haven't been covering recently and a large part was because of the Hunt situation. I just think Mahomes and company with an extra week will get it done. I know Reid hasn't been great in the playoffs but this is also his first time with a QB like Mahomes. The betting public loved the Colts last week and cashed and will be on them again. I think KC wins easily
|01-07-19||Alabama -5 v. Clemson||16-44||Loss||-110||81 h 36 m||Show|
With this number dropping I have to take Bama. I think people are quick to forget since Bama didn’t cover vs Oklahoma that they were up 28-0 and went very conservative as they had the game in wraps early. Clemson hasn’t seen a team like this Bama squad.
|01-05-19||Colts v. Texans||21-7||Loss||-125||6 h 48 m||Show|
I like the Texans here. I think the public love the Colts more because they remember them beating the Texans @ Houston. I just think the Texans will shut down the Colts run game and force Luck with throw 35+ times which means a couple turnovers will likely happen. Texans will make them pay and at this price we aren't covering a number just winning the game
|01-01-19||Washington v. Ohio State -5.5||Top||23-28||Loss||-113||655 h 47 m||Show|
Grabbed this one and really like Ohio St. First, Washington hasn't live up to expectations this year and the PAC 12 was really a down conference this season. The main factor here though is all motivation. Ohio St will want to win this one for Meyer as he is stepping down after this game. I think Ohio St gets on them early never lets up.
|01-01-19||Kentucky v. Penn State -6||27-24||Loss||-101||3 h 22 m||Show|
I just think Kentucky was a fraud all season long. This team can seriously only run the ball and with a lot of time to prepare for it I think Penn St can shut it down. Penn St has the better athletes and coach. I actually think they will be motivated here for this game. I will gladly lay this number
|01-01-19||Iowa v. Mississippi State -6.5||27-22||Loss||-112||2 h 27 m||Show|
I dont think Iowa has a chance in this game. When you look back at Iowa you realize they beat zero good teams. This is a total mis match IMO and Miss St will be able to shut down the very one dimensional Iowa team. Also Iowa is without their best offensive player who happens to play TE. I think Miss St puts a number on them
|12-31-18||NC State v. Texas A&M -7||13-52||Win||100||146 h 27 m||Show|
I like the Aggies here for the sure fact that they have a ton more talent here. The Aggies finished the season by beating LSU and I think under first year head coach Jimbo Fisher they will be excited here. NC ST had a pretty easy schedule and I dont think Finley their QB is anything special at all. This could get ugly
|12-31-18||Northwestern +7 v. Utah||31-20||Win||100||8 h 58 m||Show|
This is just too many points for a NW team who will be fired up for this game. They had a great year making to the Big Ten Championship. Utah is getting their QB back here for this game but these teams are so very similar that I dont see a blowout happening.
|12-31-18||Michigan State v. Oregon -1.5||6-7||Loss||-104||4 h 46 m||Show|
All I have heard is how good MSU is in the dog role. I just think that this Oregon will be ultra motivated here with their stud QB Herbert coming back next season. Michigan St has some major issues on offense as they had scored 24,6,6,14 to finish the season. Oregon is a lot better than people actually think and with this low spread they take care of business.
|12-30-18||Bears v. Vikings -4||24-10||Loss||-110||89 h 16 m||Show|
I see no interest whatsoever from the Bears in this spot. They already will host a home playoff game next week and it will be against the Vikings. Their main concern will be keeping Trubisky healthy which means a very conservative game plan and I wouldn't be surprised to see him being pulled. Vikings have all the motivation here with a win and their in. I think they roll Chicago
|12-30-18||Browns v. Ravens -6||24-26||Loss||-115||18 h 30 m||Show|
I think the betting public will be all over the Browns here. While, I do love Baker and the Browns next year I just think they are in over their heads here. During this nice run by the Browns they have only played 2 playoff teams and lost both by double digits. Baltimore defense is just nasty as we saw them shut down the Chargers. I think they get to Baker cause some turnovers and control the clock.
|12-30-18||Dolphins v. Bills -3.5||17-42||Win||100||86 h 52 m||Show|
I grabbed this line early and no surprise it has climbed a lot. Buffalo is a team that is still playing very hard evidence last week even though they aren't in the mix for anything. Josh Allen provides a spark for them and their defense at home is flat out nasty. They also for sure have revenge on their minds here as they let one slip away in Miami just a few weeks ago in which they dominated the stats.
|12-30-18||Jaguars v. Texans -6.5||3-20||Win||100||24 h 25 m||Show|
I think the odds makers have made a mistake here in this game. This game still means something for the Texans as they want to win the division. Also at risk is a first round home game which they want so the effort level will be at an all time high. Jags are done plain and simple and I dont think they show up even with Bortles who lead them to a win last week
|12-30-18||Jets +14.5 v. Patriots||3-38||Loss||-130||24 h 17 m||Show|
This is just too many points here for the Patriots especially given the fact that the total is 46. If the Jets can score 14 which I think they will they can cover this number. The Patriots just want to get the game over with a come away with a win. The division is wrapped up. Darnold is playing well for the Jets I still think we get a good effort from them
|12-29-18||Oklahoma +14 v. Alabama||34-45||Win||100||11 h 20 m||Show|
This is just a ton of points of here. I know Bama is the real deal but I also know how they looked without a healthy Tua. Clearly Bama has more talent and is better coached no denying that, but for them to cover two touchdowns. I just think Oklahoma can get a few stops and Oklahoma with Murray will give them all they want on defense. Murray is just a special player you dont see come around often and I trust him to keep this close
|12-29-18||Florida +6 v. Michigan||41-15||Win||100||3 h 27 m||Show|
I like Florida here today playing in their home state. This is just a pure motivation game. Michigan had their dreams crushed when they were blown out vs Ohio St. They had hopes of playing for a National Title, but that isn't the case now. They are missing several key starters here who are sitting out. Florida does have a defense and with some guys out on Michigan's defense I think Florida can do just enough to get bye
|12-28-18||Iowa State +3 v. Washington State||26-28||Win||100||10 h 23 m||Show|
This game just simply means more to Iowa St who some would say this is their best bowl game ever. This program has taken a turn for the better under Campbell. Washington St on the other hand had their dreams crushed as they were alive for the Playoffs and lost to their rival Washington and now are playing here. Good bowl yes, but not what they had hoped for. Also Iowas St has faced teams like them all year long in the Big 12 with the pass happy offenses.
|12-28-18||Syracuse -1 v. West Virginia||34-18||Win||100||53 h 17 m||Show|
I really like Cuse here and all the motivation clearly lies with them. They are looking to finish their on a very high note while WVU has simply no motivation as their leader and starting QB Will Grier has decided to skip the game and go pro. WVU will fold here.
|12-27-18||Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +3||3-35||Win||100||29 h 18 m||Show|
So I think the wrong team is favored here in this game. The Badgers had a down year there is no taking that away from them, but does Miami have the motivation edge for a a bowl game played in New York? I sure dont think so at all. The fact that Hornibrook is out I actually think is better as he really hurt them based on his health. The Badgers will win this game on the ground and I wouldn't be surprised if it got ugly.
|12-27-18||Duke +3.5 v. Temple||56-27||Win||100||26 h 33 m||Show|
Not much crazy in depth here, but I just trust Duke here coming from the ACC. The talent gap is on their side here as well. They have the better coach and will also have a lot bigger fan base traveling to Louisiana for this game.
|12-24-18||Broncos v. Raiders +3||14-27||Win||100||8 h 52 m||Show|
I like the Raiders here tonight to get the job done. This is a unique situation where this could be the last game ever in their stadium that has a very passionate fan base. With that being on everyone's mind I think we get the max effort here. The Raiders are playing tough covering 4 of their last 5 games. With revenge on their mind here from a 1 point loss earlier I think Oakland gets it done tonight.
|12-23-18||Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5||31-38||Win||100||20 h 44 m||Show|
I really like the Seahawks here are can clinch a spot in the playoffs for sure even though they will be in either way. Seattle and Wilson have been a great home dog over the years and in a prime time game you have to take them. Ever since the hunt issue came along the Chiefs haven't covered a game without him and in fact the Chiefs haven't covered since the first week of November. Say what you want about KC being up a lot and teams racking up yards, but this defense doesnt pass the eye test at all. Seattle will control the game with long drives and scores and will win this game
|12-23-18||Bears v. 49ers +4.5||14-9||Loss||-115||98 h 48 m||Show|
Yes, I know the 49ers line has been adjusted here from the previous weeks, but they are playing with a ton of confidence right now. While the Bears have been a surprise this season I think they come in this game with no care in the world after they just won their division for the first time in a while. This is a perfect flat spot for them coming off that hard fought division game vs the Packers with another division game on deck @ Minnesota. I know the Niners will play hard and at this home dog price again will take them
|12-23-18||Jaguars v. Dolphins -4||17-7||Loss||-105||95 h 44 m||Show|
I will take the Dolphins here as I just think odds makers are off on this one. I think last week was a pretty big indication of were the Jags players heads are. They laid an egg to a team that had to sign a 4th QB and he hadn't played in the NFL for quite some time. The Dolphins have been a very good home team and are still in playoff contention. I think they show up against a Jags team that has packed it in
|12-23-18||Texans v. Eagles -2.5||30-32||Loss||-102||95 h 43 m||Show|
Maybe I am a prisoner of the moment here with the Eagles, but this team is clearly better with Foles at QB as a hurt Wentz literally hurt this team by playing. Eagles now have all the motivation in the world here coming off that big win. I know people will say the Texans are motivated but they are basically in the playoffs. They will be without Miller tomorrow which is a huge loss for their running game. Eagles defense is playing well and they have a major home field advantage.
|12-23-18||Packers v. Jets||44-38||Loss||-102||95 h 43 m||Show|
I will admit I took a flyer on this game based on I thought it was a high chance that Rodgers doesn't play. Well, he is playing and thats fine. I got a bad price but do you really want the Packers here who haven't won a road game all season? The Jets could have beat the Texans last week who had a lot of motivation. Why can't they beat an overrated Packer team?
|12-22-18||Buffalo v. Troy +1.5||32-42||Win||100||9 h 37 m||Show|
|12-18-18||Northern Illinois v. UAB -1.5||13-37||Win||100||321 h 47 m||Show|
To me all the motivation here sides with UAB. Remember this was a school a few years ago that took their program away. They really want this game IMO as this would be a school record 11 wins. Also I think Northern Illinois already had their Super Bowl by coming back and beating Buffalo to win the MAC. I also just think that UAB has the better athletes, played a lot tougher schedule and will have no problem scoring
|12-16-18||Patriots v. Steelers +2||10-17||Win||100||100 h 13 m||Show|
All I have heard all week long is everything regarding the Patriots. It seriously has been Patriots this Patriots that. I also think people are forgetting how bad New England has looked on the road this season. I know last week was a weird loss but they got torched by Miami. While Pitt isn't world beaters I get it, but New England isn't the same team we are custom to seeing either. This is the Patriots 4th road game in 5 weeks. They still have their division wrapped up and the Steelers season is on the line. They wont have a problem scoring
|12-16-18||Seahawks v. 49ers +4||23-26||Win||100||18 h 44 m||Show|
How much interest do the Seahawks really have in this game? They all but locked up a spot in the playoffs and are coming off an hard fought game even though the final score may not indicate that. I just think last weeks results for San Fran transfer over here as they just lost to this Seahawk team a couple weeks ago. That game was also misleading in the fact San Fran put up over 400 yards but the 3 turnovers were the difference.
|12-16-18||Cowboys v. Colts -2.5||0-23||Win||100||97 h 49 m||Show|
This is just a great spot here to back the Colts. Dallas is coming off a very emotional win in OT against the Eagles giving them the division win. Dallas won't be getting a first round bye so throw that motivation out. Also this game means a ton to Indy as they are fighting for their playoff lives. Indy has won 6 of their last 7 but since Dallas has covered 5 straight and are a public team the squares will be all over them. Luck has an O line that protects and will pick apart an overrated Cowboy secondary
|12-16-18||Lions v. Bills -2.5||13-14||Loss||-110||97 h 49 m||Show|
I like this Bills team here. Last week they dominated the Jets but not in the final score. They have had several misleading game like that over the season. This team is just so much better with Allen at QB. Buffalo has only allowed one team in the last 6 weeks rush for over 100 yards. Lions will struggle in that area with Johnson out. Stafford I also dont trust here going across country now to the cold having to throw it a lot this game. Buffalo will create turnovers and put Detroit away
|12-16-18||Titans v. Giants -2.5||17-0||Loss||-115||97 h 48 m||Show|
I will take my chances here with the Giants who believe it or not still have a shot at the playoffs. This team hasn't gave up on the season winning 4 of their last 5 games. The Titans have struggled on the road with a 2-5 record. While the loss of OBJ does hurt in some ways I think its relieve for the Giants as he can be a major distraction if things arent his way from the get go.
|12-15-18||Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State||13-45||Loss||-110||32 h 46 m||Show|
The rare combo of a father-son coach QB duo. Well we have that here with Mid Tenn St and while they may not win the game you for sure know the effort will be there given that fact alone. Mid Tenn also played a lot tougher schedule which helps them a ton in this spot. Also App St lost their coach which sets up for a tough situation
|12-15-18||Arizona State v. Fresno State -4||20-31||Win||100||26 h 16 m||Show|
We have a Mountain West school vs Pac 12 in a good match up. I just think Fresno is much better despite being from the so called lesser conference since they are non power 5. I know people are going to make the case that ASU had a lot of close losses, but the PAC 12 was down big time this year and they had a miracle come back to beat their rival Arizona. Fresno St is no joke with their two losses being on the road @ Minnesota which they should have won and @ Boise, but they got that revenge in the MWC Title game. ASU will miss their stud WR here as well
|12-15-18||North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State||13-52||Loss||-105||25 h 46 m||Show|
This play here is pretty simple for reasoning. Utah St had a good year but ended up coming short in making the Mountain West Conference Championship game which they had their sites on. Now with what has taken place with all the coaching changes I just dont see it working out in a positive way.
|12-09-18||Broncos v. 49ers +4||14-20||Win||100||70 h 23 m||Show|
I really like the Niners here catching 4. Last weeks result was very misleading as they actually out gained Seattle in that despite losing by double digits. They will also get back Garcon and Goodwin who are their 2 best WR's. Denver had a cupcake game beating a terrible Cincy team who has gave up on the year. Denver lost Sanders their best WR this week and also Harris their best secondary player. I think Niners are a live dog
|12-09-18||Ravens +7 v. Chiefs||24-27||Win||100||98 h 22 m||Show|
I will roll with the Ravens here. I just think the betting public will still be all over KC, but are failing to realize how important Hunt was to that dynamic offense. The Chiefs clearly missed him last week as they struggled against Oakland. The Chiefs defense isn't great and Jackson now at QB can control the game with his legs. The Ravens number 1 defense is something special and I expect a few turnovers from Mahomes.
|12-09-18||Jets v. Bills -3.5||27-23||Loss||-101||98 h 22 m||Show|
This Bills team has been very undervalued here as of late. This team simply has got a bad rap because they had maybe the worst QB ever in Peterman for several weeks. Well, now they have their rookie QB Allen healthy and are playing well. Darnold is coming back but is he 100% healthy here against a very good defense. I just think Buaffalo is very undervalued
|12-09-18||Patriots v. Dolphins +9||33-34||Win||100||98 h 21 m||Show|
I like Miami here in this division rival game. They have beat the Patriots 4 of the last 5 years. I also think New England has been pretty fortunate on the road. So they had two very lucky covers against the Bills and Jets both who are worse than Miami. The Dolphins will be motivated as they are battling for a wild card spot. I just think the Dolphins D can keep it within double digits here
|12-09-18||Falcons v. Packers -5.5||20-34||Win||100||98 h 21 m||Show|
To me its been pretty clear that Rodgers hasn't really tried much and got the wish he wanted which was the firing of their coach. Now, I think we see Rodgers give a good effort with him gone. Throw in the fact that the Falcons are just bad and their defense is really bad. This is also a dome/warm weather team playing in some tough conditions. I think Rodgers rallies the rest of the guys and they win easily
|12-03-18||Redskins +6 v. Eagles||13-28||Loss||-105||10 h 35 m||Show|
It’s fair to say that both teams season is on the line tonight. I just really like the spot here for Washington who has had a ton of time of not playing since Thanksgiving. That loss @ Dallas doesn’t look so bad and they were in that game. The Eagles aecondsry isn’t getting any healthier and this team struggles to score more than 20 points. With those two things in a division rivalry I will take the points
|12-02-18||Chargers v. Steelers -3||33-30||Loss||-120||49 h 36 m||Show|
I will take the Steelers here as just a field goal. Pitt was a part of one of the most misleading games of the year last week as they dominated the Broncos every way possible but the scoreboard. They were down 4-0 in turnovers and still had a chance to take the game into OT. While the Chargers are a good football team I think their record is a little inflated because they have played a pretty soft schedule. Also this is a warm weather team traveling north which is a spot I always look for.
|12-02-18||Vikings v. Patriots -4.5||10-24||Win||100||45 h 30 m||Show|
Anytime in December you can lay less than a TD at home with Brady and company you have to take it. With that being said this line does smell a little bit as they know a lot of people will be jumping on board New England here. Odds Makers are saying that the Patriots are only 1 to 1.5 point favorite on a neutral? I'm not buying that.
|12-02-18||Browns +7 v. Texans||13-29||Loss||-140||41 h 56 m||Show|
I'm going to take the Browns here as this team isn't throwing in the towel even though they likely aren't making the playoffs. They have won back to back games now and I believe they match up very well with the Texans.
The Texans were lucky last week IMO as Vrabel made a bad decision to go for it on 4th and 1 on at 3 and get stopped. The next play Houston scores on a 97 yard TD run. That took all the wind out of their sails as a huge momentum shift. I also think this is a different spot here for Houston on a short week and they have the Colts on deck which ultimately will decide the division winner.
|12-01-18||Northwestern v. Ohio State -14||24-45||Win||100||86 h 31 m||Show|
I think its safe to say Ohio St played a lot of this season pretty much not interested simply because of their schedule. Well last week the sleeping giant woke up and I had them in an easy winner over their rival Michigan. The talent gap here is huge and the fact this this is played indoor on turf only benefits Ohio St. Also they really need to impress the committee and I think they just put it in Northwestern
|12-01-18||Memphis +3 v. Central Florida||41-56||Loss||-100||18 h 16 m||Show|
I'm going with Memphis here in this game. We all are aware of what took place with UCF stud QB Milton. That is just a devastating loss for a team like UCF who was looking to make it back to back years without losing a game. Memphis let the first game slip by this year losing by 1 despite being up by 13 at half. I think they get their revenge here
|12-01-18||Texas v. Oklahoma -8||27-39||Win||100||77 h 23 m||Show|
I will take Oklahoma in the ultimate revenge game here. Yes, I know their defense isn't great everyone knows that, but I think they can create a couple key turnovers and get a lead which will be hard for Texas to comeback on. Texas QB isn't 100% healthy either. The most important thing here though is that Oklahoma wants to make a statement to be in the playoffs and I think they do exactly that.
|11-30-18||Utah v. Washington -5||3-10||Win||100||55 h 27 m||Show|
I really like this game tonight for Washington. The Huskies have been a terrible team ATS this season going just 3-9. The thing here though is that these teams already met and Utah was in a good spot and failed to show up at home vs Washington. They lost that game 21-7. So yes, the line has been adjusted some here but now Utah is without their QB and RB for this game. I want no part of Utah and Washington rolls
|11-26-18||Titans +4 v. Texans||17-34||Loss||-105||9 h 57 m||Show|
I will take the Titans here as I think the Texans are simply the luckiest team in the league right now. I won't go through every game but this team could easily be below .500 and for those who have watched them you know what I'm talking about. Yes, they have the revenge angle here, but the Titans are a legit team under Vrabel. I think the Titans defense will create some pressure and turnovers and I wouldn't be surprised if they won this game outright
|11-25-18||Packers v. Vikings -3||17-24||Win||100||77 h 23 m||Show|
I really believe this is the perfect spot to back the Vikings following last weeks game @ Chicago. Odds makers are suggesting that these two teams are even on a neutral field and no way I am buying that. I think the defense on Minnesota really steps up here. Remember earlier in the season this games ended in a tie but the Vikings were 1.5 point favorites saying that then they were 7.5 point at home so this is an extreme discount here
|11-25-18||Dolphins +10 v. Colts||24-27||Win||100||73 h 28 m||Show|
I had the Colts last week as an easy winner, but now odds makers are adjusting way too much here. The Dolphins still have a ton to play for as well as they are fighting for the playoffs. They also are coming off their bye week which only helps. I do this Colts team but the number itself has gotten out of hand.
|11-25-18||Jaguars v. Bills +3||21-24||Win||100||70 h 4 m||Show|
I know this one might be hard to swallow but I really like Buffalo tomorrow. I think the Bills are getting a bad rap here because of the Peterman playing and boy was he awful. Well Josh Allen returns here and remember this Bills team with him won @ the Vikings. I think after the crushing lost last week to Pitt blowing that game the Jags season is over as they are a mess. Bills have the 2nd ranked defense in the league as well
|11-25-18||Giants +6 v. Eagles||22-25||Win||100||23 h 44 m||Show|
Well I know the Giants have only beat the Bucs and Niners off their bye week, but that only gives them confidence to continue this run and make the post season since no one is running away with this division. The Eagles just aren't what everyone thought they would be coming off the Super Bowl win. Their defense especially their secondary has really struggled and that is where I see the Giants exposing them with their play makers. Division game and season on the line this is too many points
|11-25-18||Raiders +12 v. Ravens||17-34||Loss||-125||23 h 44 m||Show|
Let me say I know Oakland is bad. I just think this is way too many points for a Ravens team to be laying who really struggles to score in the 20's. They have only scored more than 24 once in the past 6 weeks. I think can score at least a couple times and keep it within the number here. We saw a Raider team most had written off go on the road and win so they are't throwing in the towel quite yet
|11-24-18||Utah State v. Boise State -2.5||24-33||Win||100||60 h 16 m||Show|
Utah St is a good story this season losing the first game of the season and now winning 10 straight. The last few weeks their competition has been suspect at best. While they should have lost last week on the hail mary if it wasn't for the guy stepping out of bounds. I think Boise is a very tough place to go on the road and win. They havent been talked about much this season but I think they get the job done
|11-24-18||LSU v. Texas A&M -3||Top||72-74||Loss||-115||58 h 32 m||Show|
This game means more to one team here and that is the Aggies. I say that because under first year head coach Jimbo Fisher he wants to have a big signature win and he knows what this game does for a fan base. LSU I dont trust in this tough environment facing a good Aggies defense.
|11-24-18||Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -4||3-24||Win||100||53 h 13 m||Show|
This is pure a motivation spot here. After losing 4 straight heading into last week Miami didnt give up on their season blowing out Va Tech on the road. I think that is a huge play on sign here against a Pitt team with zero motivation. They have already locked up their spot in ACC title game vs Clemson next regardless of what happens here. That is a huge angle here and Miami has played its best ball at home with a 4-1 record
|11-24-18||Stanford -6.5 v. UCLA||49-42||Win||100||17 h 25 m||Show|
I had UCLA last week in a winner over their rival in USC. That game was clearly circled which now they are getting respect from odds makers but this is a let down spot as well. The key here is that Stanford really had a bye week because of the wildfires their game with Cal was cancelled. They got healthier with that and should be able to really wear down this poor UCLA defense
|11-24-18||Michigan v. Ohio State +5||39-62||Win||100||14 h 15 m||Show|
I just think there is too much value to pass up on here now with Ohio St. Yes, the Buckeyes have looked like crap we all know that. I just think Meyer will have his guys ready here and with it cross some key numbers I had to take them. Harbaugh is trying to do something he hasnt done yet which is win a huge game especially a big road game. Maybe Michigan does win but I doubt its a blowout
|11-23-18||Washington v. Washington State -2.5||28-15||Loss||-110||55 h 34 m||Show|
This Washington St team has been disrespected by odds makers all year long. I know most aren't giving them a shot in the playoffs but I think these players feel that way and throw in the fact this is a big time rivalry game where Washington has beat them, the Cougars will pour it on this underachieving Husky team this year.
|11-23-18||Oklahoma v. West Virginia +2.5||59-56||Loss||-100||54 h 4 m||Show|
I think the wrong team is favored here. West Virginia had a heart breaking loss last week @ Oklahoma St, but this team is so much better at home. I cant back a team in the Sooners that has been torched all year long. Their defense is awful. Also worth mentioning that WVU can still make the Big 12 title game. Give me WVU
|11-23-18||Nebraska +10 v. Iowa||28-31||Win||100||46 h 3 m||Show|
I will take Nebraska here as believe it or not they do have a small chance to make a bowl game with a win to get to 5 wins. I think we are seeing teams heading in different directions and this is an overreaction to Iowa blowing out Illinois last week. Frost knows the importance here of this rivalry going forward and ending the season on a positive note. If Nebraska didnt win that game last week I wouldn't have liked them but the momentum they have I like this number
|11-22-18||Bears v. Lions +3||23-16||Loss||-110||13 h 25 m||Show|
I'm going to go with the Lions here on Thanksgiving. I think the Bears are in a very difficult situation here playing a national televised game against the Vikings in a big win. Now they are without their QB here. I think the Lions believe they can still salvage their season evident last weekend beating the Panthers. Lions will miss their RB Johnson dont get me wrong, but I think they have enough to get by facing Chase Daniel now
|11-19-18||Chiefs +4 v. Rams||51-54||Win||100||126 h 9 m||Show|
This line really smells but have to take KC here. I know that since the game was switched to LA it actually didn't go up high enough considering it was 2.5 3 for a neutral field game. KC has the explosive offense here that will tear apart the Rams IMO. The Rams have really struggled here a lot on defense lately. This game feels like a coin flip either way so will gladly take the 4
|11-18-18||Vikings +3 v. Bears||20-25||Loss||-125||102 h 15 m||Show|
Odds makers are telling you that these two teams are the same on a neutral field. I'm just not buying that. The Bears have had a nice season and are winning games I just think they are extremely overrated right now. This Vikings team is a lot healthier now and are coming off their bye week which helps. Lets also be honest about how easy the Bears scheudle has been so far as well. This could be a PK by game time
|11-18-18||Eagles +9 v. Saints||7-48||Loss||-125||20 h 54 m||Show|
This is just too many points to pass up on here with the Eagles. The Saints are now the hottest team in football especially with the blowout last week. While they may be the best team in the league we are getting a huge effort here from the Eagles after a poor showing on national tv against the Cowboys. This game will for sure be a Pro's vs Joe's
|11-18-18||Titans v. Colts -1||10-38||Win||100||95 h 54 m||Show|
I think Luck has now answered everyone who has doubted him throughout the season so far. They have won 3 straight and arent getting any respect on their home field. I also think this is a classic let down spot for the Titans here coming off a big monday night win over the Cowboys and last week destroying the Patriots. This is a Titans team not that long ago that lost on the road to Buffalo
|11-18-18||Texans -3 v. Redskins||23-21||Loss||-100||16 h 24 m||Show|
I think the Texans are an overrated football team, but given this situation I have no choice but to take them. They are riding hot here winning 6 straight games and they are also coming off their bye week getting healthier. The Skins are just dismantled with injuries across the board especially on their OL and that is where the Texans will make it tough for Smith all day long. Houston wears them down and pulls away
|11-17-18||Wisconsin v. Purdue -5||47-44||Loss||-109||114 h 56 m||Show|
Purdue has went through some things this week with their coach leaving for his alma mater, but I still think he gets them to play hard here. Wisconsin has big time QB issues here and after last weeks performance I think they have shown their season is over. With this being Brohm's last home game and also the seniors I think the effort will be there.
|11-17-18||Missouri v. Tennessee +7||50-17||Loss||-120||18 h 43 m||Show|
I was on Tennessee last week in an easy winner as they beat Kentucky straight up. I think they do the same here on their final home game to become bowl eligible which is a big thing for this team and also their coach. Missouri is getting a lot of respect because of their high powered offense but with what the Vols have shown here recently on defense I thin they can control them
|11-17-18||Texas Tech v. Kansas State +7||6-21||Win||100||18 h 34 m||Show|
I think Kansas St puts forth a pretty big effort here which could be Snyder's last home game. Texas Tech has to be deflated here coming off 3 straight losses but they are more importantly coming off back to back rival games against Oklahoma and Texas both at home where they put forth big effort. I doubt they have much interest here. Throw in the fact they are starting a backup QB as well.
|11-17-18||USC v. UCLA +3||27-34||Win||100||17 h 29 m||Show|
It really seems like USC has mailed it in for the season now. I think the players know Coach Helton is on his way out after the season and possibly before. UCLA this is a crucial game fore first year coach Chip Kelly for recruiting purposes and also just so save some face for a down year. UCLA rises up and knocks off their rival
|11-17-18||Northwestern v. Minnesota +3||24-14||Loss||-120||111 h 31 m||Show|
I really love the Gophers here in this spot. They have everything to play for here trying to become bowl eligible and that was evident last week as they drummed Purdue. Northwestern is in a terrible spot here with nothing to play for as they have locked up the Big Ten West race. Coach Fleck will have his guys ready and they win this game SU
|11-17-18||Michigan State v. Nebraska +2||6-9||Win||100||110 h 8 m||Show|
The wrong team is favored here as Nebraska has played a lot better than their record shows. I also love the fact that this team despite having a bad record has really turned it on and not given up on the season. They have covered 5 straight games and I expect them to beat a Sparty team that is struggling at QB right now which is leading to their offensive struggles
|11-17-18||Middle Tennessee State +16.5 v. Kentucky||23-34||Win||100||14 h 55 m||Show|
I think we continue to see the meltdown here from Kentucky off that Georgia loss 2 weeks ago. I faded Kentucky last week and they were terrible in defeat to Tennessee. Mid Tenn will want this game and they are playing their best football right now. I still think Kentucky is deflated and quite frankly there is nothing for them to play for. Throw that in with their offense that struggles big time. This is too many points
|11-15-18||Packers v. Seahawks -3||24-27||Push||0||9 h 9 m||Show|
I'm going to take the Seahawks here even though I know both teams are very desperate. The Seahwks have played a lot tougher schedule and their losses have came to @ Bears twice to Rams and the Chargers. All those teams are playoff teams. They actually had a shot in 3 of those 4 to win outright. Packers are 0-4 on the road and just aren't very good outside Rodgers.
|11-12-18||Giants +3.5 v. 49ers||27-23||Win||100||6 h 17 m||Show|
I like the Giants here tonight against the Niners. I think we are seeing an overreaction to the Niners beating the Raiders in a blowout fashion. The Giants are saying all the right things still coming off their bye week about still making the playoffs. While it may not happen I like where their heads are at
|11-11-18||Seahawks +10.5 v. Rams||31-36||Win||100||96 h 51 m||Show|
|11-11-18||Lions +7 v. Bears||22-34||Loss||-115||93 h 33 m||Show|
To me this is the easiest over reaction of the week. Bears are coming off a blowout win in a game they didnt get to 200 total yards. That is about as misleading of a game as you will find in the Pro's The Lions were less underdogs at a better team in the Vikings last week so we are getting a ton of value I feel. This is a big game for both teams and Stafford is the better and proven QB getting a TD is very hard to pass up.
|11-11-18||Redskins v. Bucs -2.5||16-3||Loss||-125||65 h 42 m||Show|
To me there is no choice but to take the Bucs here. They have major cluster injuries on the OL with 3 starters out and possibly 4. I think they realize that their season is surely over now as well. The Bucs D isn't great but they will get pressure now with those OL out for the Skins. Thompson their RB is out so is Richardson their WR with fellow WR Crowder questionable. I just think the Bucs offense will still be able to put up points and the Skins are so limited they cant play catch up here
|11-10-18||LSU v. Arkansas +14||24-17||Win||100||48 h 20 m||Show|
This is an ugly one I know but I will take Arkansas here at home in the night game. This is jsut a terrible spot for LSU as their dreams were crushed last week getting shut out against Bama and knocked them out of the playoff picture. I highly doubt they care at all about playing a 2 win Arkansas team. While the Razorbacks wont be going to a bowl I see them laying everything on the line here to salvage the season.
|11-10-18||South Florida v. Cincinnati -14||23-35||Loss||-108||69 h 35 m||Show|
Cincy is one of the most improved teams in the country and I will back them here. Now, I realize they do have a huge game on deck against UCF, but I dont think they over look USF here who brings in such a bad defense. USF has only covered the number once in their last 7. They have seemed to throw in the towel after dropping that game at Houston following a 41-17 loss to Tulane at home which is a bad sign. Cincy in the night game with a very good defense wins this one easy
|11-10-18||Miami-FL v. Georgia Tech -3||21-27||Win||100||48 h 8 m||Show|
I believe we are seeing two teams here heading in the opposite direction. It's seems pretty clear that Miami has thrown in the towel after beating their rival Florida St. They have lost 3 straight since that game and the most they have scored in the last 3 weeks is 14 points. This team seems pretty disinterested.
Ga Tech on the other hand is playing their best football of the season winning 4 of their last 5 games and scoring over 35 points in 4 of them as well. I also believe Tech has had this one circled after letting one slip away last year @ Miami losing by 1.
|11-10-18||Kentucky v. Tennessee +6.5||7-24||Win||100||65 h 1 m||Show|
This is strictly a spot play here and I look for Tennessee to be up while Kentucky to be down. Kentucky had their dreams crushed last week at home against Georgia as they would have had a chance to play for the SEC title now they really have nothing to play for here at all. Tennessee on other hand I feel this team is looking to finish their season strong and make a bowl and would love nothing more to play spoiler here to Kentucky. This is one of those games based on the spot you kinda throw the stats and everything out the window.
|11-10-18||Baylor +14.5 v. Iowa State||14-28||Win||100||44 h 13 m||Show|
I have backed this Iowa St team several times now since they lost their 2nd string and now Purdy who was their 3rd string has now taken over and really changed the whole season. I just think now the price is getting a little out of hand. Iowa St went from small dogs to small favorites and since they covered a big number last week they are getting a lot of love. Baylor is coming off a nice win last week vs Oklahoma St as a home dog. The weather I think will impact this game as well as it will be played more on the ground. I also think Iowa St will be looking ahead to the match with Texas next week as it could put them in the Big 12 title game
|11-10-18||North Texas v. Old Dominion +14.5||31-34||Win||100||43 h 56 m||Show|
This game is a very odd line after looking at it. So last week Old Dominion was a 4.5 point dog to at home to Mid Tenn St who is leading the other side of the conference and now they are over 2 touchdown dog? Old Dominion out gained them last week putting up over 500 yards of offense, but they had 5 turnovers that really did them in. North Texas is actually eliminated from playing for the conference title as UAB pretty much has it wrapped up. ODU still is fighting for a bowl game and I think the effort will be there and this is an overreaction to last weeks game
|11-10-18||Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -11.5||24-38||Win||100||62 h 1 m||Show|
I really don't think this game will be close at all. Texas AM returns home where they are 4-1 ATS and will be hungry here coming off back to back losses. Last week the Aggies lost to Aubrun by 4 as 3.5 point dogs, but they actually dominated the stats having over 400 total yards compared to 270. Ole Miss is just flat out terrible on the road giving up 500 yards a game. I think the Aggies can take some frustration out here and blow them out
|11-05-18||Titans +6 v. Cowboys||28-14||Win||100||101 h 22 m||Show|
This is just too many points for Dallas to be laying. Both teams are coming off bye weeks here and are motivated, but how much home field does Dallas really have? We are also seeing an extremely low total here which makes you believe low scoring. I also trust Vrabel here more as a coach over Garrett. The Titans have a great defense and I wouldn't be surprised to see an outright upset here.
|11-04-18||Packers +6 v. Patriots||17-31||Loss||-110||82 h 58 m||Show|
Well we saw a great effort from the Packers last week coming off their bye week. I think we get another one here. I know Dix is gone from their secondary, but normally you dont see the full effects of a trade like that until a few weeks down the road. I also think Rodgers wont have any problem picking apart this Patriot defense which isnt anything special. The Patriots have some injuries all way the across the board which is a concern. Yes, I know New England at home under a full TD is dangerous but give me the more desperate team
|11-04-18||Texans v. Broncos -2.5||19-17||Loss||-110||149 h 43 m||Show|
I got the worst of this line obviously because of the trade that took place with the Broncos sending Thomas to the Texans. I'm honestly still not worried here. I'm not a believer in this Texans team just look at who they have beat in this 5 game winning streak. Colts, Cowboys, Jags, Bills and Dolphins. They were actually very lucky in 3 of those games. I think the Broncos put a max effort here with their bye week next.
|11-04-18||Steelers +3 v. Ravens||23-16||Win||100||70 h 7 m||Show|
The Steelers are starting to play better football here as of late and the Ravens not so much. I just think Pitt has big time revenge on their minds here. Carolina who doesn't have a great offense really put it to the Ravens last week.
Odds makers are saying that right now on a neutral field that these two teams are even and I'm not buying that all. I actually expect this line to drop a lot come Sunday
|11-04-18||Bucs +7 v. Panthers||28-42||Loss||-135||46 h 5 m||Show|
I know people are going to think this is an overreaction to taking the Bucs but I dont see it that way. They clearly are way better with Fitzmagic at QB than Winston. Yes, the Panthers were the right side last week but they were in the underdog role and now they are 7 point favorites against a division rival with a huge Thursday night game on deck? The Bucs can score with anyone and I believe they keep within the 7
|11-04-18||Chiefs v. Browns +9||37-21||Loss||-105||16 h 54 m||Show|
I'm going to take the Browns here. I think the general public will view the coaching situation here as a major let down for Cleveland. I don't see it that way. With the firing of their 2 coaches there will be a lot of emotion which means maximum effort here. This just seems like the ultimate flat spot here for the Chiefs coming off that Denver game. Granted they were nearly the same amount of favorites vs the Broncos at home as they are the Browns on the road. I will take the points here who are 3-1 ATS at home this season
|11-03-18||Stanford v. Washington -10||23-27||Loss||-105||104 h 34 m||Show|
I simply trust Chris Peterson here to get the Huskies back on track after last week. Believe it or not Washington still controls their own destiny in the PAC 12 North as they still play Washington St at the end of the year. Stanford really gave that game away up 14 which I think this is a tough spot to bounce back from. Stanford's numbers they really struggle on the road. I know they won @ ASU recently but that game was extremely misleading as ASU out played them. The Huskies D will shut this offense or lack thereof down
|11-03-18||Louisiana Tech +24 v. Mississippi State||3-45||Loss||-109||71 h 48 m||Show|
This line really does surprise me here as I thought it would come done. La Tech is easily one of the better teams outside the Power 5. I was on this team earlier in the year when they played at LSU as a 18.5 point dog and lost by 17 but it was actually closer than that. Now they are getting 24 to a lesser opponent. Miss St is coming off a big win over ranked Texas AM but the other key here is that they have Bama on deck next week. Will take the points all day in this spot
|11-03-18||Missouri v. Florida -5.5||38-17||Loss||-116||99 h 33 m||Show|
I was on Florida last week in a loser against Georgia, and that final score didnt really indicate how close it was. It was clearly the turnovers and where they happened that turned the game. If you watched this you know what I am talking about.
I just think here we are going to see Missouri throw in the towel especially after last week. Missouri let one slip away against highly ranked Kentucky in the 4th where they lead all game. That is such a tough one here with going on the road next. Drew Lock has also struggled big time against better competition and this will be the best defense he has faced. Florida will create turnovers and Missouri wont be able to play catch up