|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|03-11-20||Georgia +2.5 v. Ole Miss||81-63||Win||100||24 h 46 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Georgia (8* BANKROLL BUILDER).
Both teams enter with identical 15-16 records. Clearly with a spread like this, the oddsmakers believe these schools are very evenly matched. And I completely concur. So in a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to grab the points. Ole Miss beat Georgia by ten points in the regular season, which sets this up as a revenge spot as well for Georgia. Anthony Edwards though is easily the best player on the floor today (19.3 PPG for the Bulldogs) and I think he'll ultimately be a difference maker as well. Clearly the outright win is possible, but in the end let's grab the points.
T.M. Prediction: 74-70 Georgia.
|03-11-20||Miami-FL v. Clemson -2.5||Top||64-69||Win||100||17 h 47 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Clemson (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Both teams have some big signature wins this year, but for the most part each was pretty poor. The Hurricanes finished 15-15 and the Tigers ended up 15-15 as well. Clemson does play with revenge here after falling 73-68 in OT to Miami Florida in late December. Miami Florida comes into this game though without the services of leading scorer Chris Lykes, who was injured in a loss to Virginia last Wednesday. The Tigers are still ranked 39th in the entire NCAA on the defensive end as well. Expect the Tigers to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.
T.M. Prediction: 70-60 Clemson.
|03-10-20||North Carolina -3.5 v. Virginia Tech||Top||78-56||Win||100||12 h 12 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* GAME OF THE WEEK).
Obviously it's been a horrible season for the Tar Heels, who have endured several long losing streaks this season. UNC has the best player on the floor in this one though in Cole Anthony and I believe the dynamic player will be a difference maker in this one. UNC did lose to Duke in its finale for a second time this season, but it did play much better down the stretch. The Tar Heels play with revenge here too after a 79-77 double OT loss to the Hokies on January 22nd (previous to the loss to Duke, UNC had won four straight). VT lost in its finale to Notre Dame. The Hokies only average 69 PPG and they're a terrible 2-12 ATS in their last 14 overall. UNC averages 72 PPG and it's 4-2 ATS in its last six overall. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout of epic proportions!
T.M. Prediction: 80-60 UNC.
|03-10-20||Maryland-Baltimore County +16 v. Vermont||74-81||Win||100||12 h 11 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: UMBC (8* ROUT).
Vermont is 25-7 and the No. 1 seed in the Tournament, while UMBC is 16-16 and the No. 4 seed. This is the semi-final of the 2020 Hercules Tire America East Tournament. The Catamounts enter off a bye, while the Retreivers come in "under the radar" in my opinion, having won six out of their last eight regular season contests. UMBC advanced the semis by beating UNH 73-67 in Baltimore. I think the momentum the Retreivers have created is "real," and while I'm not calling for the outright upset here, I do definitely think that UMBC is under-valued in this spot. Grab the points.
T.M. Prediction: 70-60 Vermont.
|03-10-20||Pittsburgh +1 v. Wake Forest||81-72||Win||100||10 h 39 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh (8* MONEY-MAKER).
The Demon Deacons won the only game between the schools this year by a score of 69-65 back in early January, which sets this up as a definite "revenge spot" for Pittsburgh in my opinion. Wake closed the season with two straight double-digit losses. The Panthers though enter desperate to break a seven-game slide. Pittsburgh is also 8-2 ATS in its las ten neutral court games, including 2-0 ATS this year. How about Wake Forest? It's just 5-6 ATS this season after playing a road game. I'm banking on the "revenge factor" as being the difference today.
T.M. Prediction: 72-68 Pittsburgh.
|03-09-20||Hornets v. Hawks -4||Top||138-143||Win||100||25 h 40 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Atlanta destroyed the Hornets 122-107 in Charlotte back in December and I think a similar final result is on deck here in this one as well. The Hornets have been playing better of late, but after finishing a four-game homestand with an upset win over the Rockets, can anyone say "letdown spot" here?! Atlanta returns home on a three-game losing streak and I expect it to get the job done here. Charlotte has struggled in this spot for bettors as well, interestingly going just 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games vs. the Southeast Division. Atlanta on the other hand is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. teams with losing road records. After three straight losses, look for the Hawks to push the pace from the opening tip, until the final horn. Lay the points.
T.M. Prediction: 116-108 Atlanta.
|03-09-20||Eastern Michigan +8.5 v. Kent State||Top||76-86||Loss||-110||24 h 5 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Eastern Michigan (10* SUPER-DOG).
The Golden Flashes are at home for this one after finishing sixth seed. EMU is the No. 11 seed in the tourmanent. If recent history is any precedence though, then EMU has to be liking its chances for an upset here, as it annihilated Kent State 70-49 at home back on February 18th. EMU has admittedly struggled down the stretch, but now that the conference tournament is here, the Eagles have new hope. The Golden Flashes completely underwhelmed this season as well, finishing with a 9-9 conference record and note that it was favored in seven of those nine games. EMU only allows an average 63.4 PPG, which ranks 31st in the country. No outright, but expect an all out battle until the final moments. Grab the points.
T.M. Prediction: 67-63 Kent State.
|03-08-20||Heat -4.5 v. Wizards||Top||100-89||Win||100||12 h 3 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK).
The Heat had won four in a row before their most recent loss to the Pelicans last time out. Miami is still 40-23 though and it's led by Jimmy Butler, who averages 26 PPG. Atlanta is coming off a 118-112 win over Washington, but a return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. Washington was able to exploit Atlanta's week defense, but I think it'll have a much more difficult time here. The Wizards however are the worst defensive club in the NBA, allowing 120 PPG. After the loss to New Orleans last time out, look for Miami to come in focused on the task at hand this evening.
T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Miami.
|03-08-20||Tulsa v. Wichita State -6.5||57-79||Win||100||9 h 48 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Wichita State (8* MONEY-MAKER).
This is the final game of the regular season for both teams and I'm not predicting any sort of upset here. The Shockers enjoy Seniors Night and they'll want to keep the foot on the gas before the Conference Tournament starts. This is a revenge game for the Shockers as well after they fell 54-51 at home earlier in the year. The Hurricane are the top team in the conference, so Wichita State certainly won't be lacking for motivation or focus this evening. I think Wichita State will use the above listed motivational factors as fuel today and I expect it to post a solid SU/ATS win/cover once it's all said and done.
T.M. Prediction: 70-58 Shockers.
|03-08-20||Lipscomb +12.5 v. Liberty||Top||57-73||Loss||-108||8 h 53 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Lipscomb (10* BLOWOUT).
This is the Championship Game in the ASUN Conference and a trip to the NCAA Tournament is on the line. Liberty is likely going to punch its ticket to The Big Dance after the final buzzer sounds, but I definitely think the Bison can keep it interesting until the final moments. Lipscomb has experience on its side here, as this is the Bisons third straight appearance in the Championship Game, which includes a loss to these very Flames last year. These teams split their regular season series, eaching winning on its own floor. The Flames are hosting this one at home, but I think they'll have a battle on their hands from start to finish. Outright upset? Anything's possible, but I'm going to grab the points in the end.
T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Lipscomb.
|03-07-20||76ers v. Warriors +2.5||Top||114-118||Win||100||15 h 38 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Warriors (10* MONEY-MAKER).
I think this is a perfect spot for the Warriors to steal a game. The 76ers come to town without stars Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid, who were also both out for their team's big win over the Kings on the road last time out. The Warriors welcomed back Stephen Curry to the line-up in their last game and while they fell to Toronto at home, Golden State is healthier than its been all season and I think it can take advantage here. Note as well that Philly is also just 4-9 ATS this year as a road favorite, while the Warriors are 10-5 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Clearly I like the outright win, but in the end I'm going to grab the handful of points.
T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Golden State.
|03-07-20||North Carolina +11.5 v. Duke||Top||76-89||Loss||-106||12 h 48 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* BEST OF THE BEST).
UNC lost this game at home 98-96 and I expect another all out war between these rivals. Duke has plenty to play for here as it's currently tied with UVA for the third place in the ACC. UNC though enters not only trying to play spoiler, not only trying to avenge the earlier loss, but also playing its best ball of the entire season in having won three in a row (note that UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games after a three-games or longer SU unbeaten streak.) I'm grabbing the points.
T.M. Prediction: 80-75 Duke.
|03-07-20||Louisville v. Virginia||Top||54-57||Win||100||10 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Virginia (8* MONEY-MAKER).
I think the defending champs grinding defensive play will once again be the difference maker for UVA tonight. Louisville won by seven at home in the reverse fixture, which sets this up as a revenge spot for the home side side as well. Note that it was the Cardinals first win out of the last ten in this series. Louisville's weakness this year has been its play on the road and on Seniors Night, I'm banking on the Cavs unrelenting defensive pressure to once again "win the day" here. Lay the points.
T.M. Prediction: 60-54 UVA.
|03-07-20||Kentucky +3 v. Florida||Top||71-70||Win||100||7 h 58 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Kentucky (10* TRADE-MARK).
Kentucky has already earned the SEC regular-season title, but the last thing it'll want to do is to enter the tournament off a loss. Yes, Florida has a lot to play for here, but I simply don't see any sort of letdown here from Kentucky on the National stage. The Wildcats earned the hard-fought 65-59 win over the Gators in mid February and I expect a simialr result here as well. In fact, Kentucky is coming off a hugely disappointing loss at home to Tennessee, falling 81-73 on seniors night. Clearly the Wildcats will be eager to atone for that mess here (Kentucky is also 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Gators on the other hand are just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 at home.
T.M. Prediction: 73-64 Kentucky.
|03-06-20||Bucks v. Lakers +1||Top||103-113||Win||100||28 h 3 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* SHOWDOWN).
Is this a possible preview of the NBA Championships? The Bucks are favored to come out of the East and while the Lakers still have the best record in the West, they'll have their hands full with the Clippers once it's all said and done. Honestly, it wouldn't be too hard to write a convincing argument for either team to win this game. And with a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers agree. The Lakers opened as an underdog and the line continues to go back and forth ever since. So why do I think the Lake Show will pull off a big win here? Because the Bucks are just 1-5 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival, while the Lakers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. I think the Lakers' big men shut down Bucks' star Giannis Antetokounmpo this time around.
T.M. Prediction: 119-109 Lakers.
|03-06-20||Missouri State v. Indiana State +1.5||Top||78-51||Loss||-110||27 h 55 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* TORTURER).
I like Indiana State to pull of the slight upset here. This is the quarterfinals of the Missouri State Conference Tournament. The Sycamores finished 11-7 in league play, while the Bears were 9-9. Missouri State may have hammered Southern Illinois 84-59 on Seniors Night, but I expect it to get overwhelmed in this matchup. Indiana State is the deeper and more consistent team and it enters the Tournament having won four straight. Indiana State is also 3-0-1 ATS in its last four overall, while Missouri State is only 3-13 ATS in its last 16 as an underdog. I'm banking on a blowout.
T.M. Prediction: 70-65 Indiana State.
|03-06-20||Southern Illinois v. Bradley -5.5||59-64||Loss||-108||21 h 49 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Bradley (8* MONEY-MAKER).
I think the Bradley Braves are going to lay a beating on the Southern Illinois Saluki's in the quarter finals of the MVC Tournament. Bradley won both games already this year in this series, getting the better of SIU 67-48 and 69-67. The Salukis enter the tournament off three straight losses. Bradley lost 67-66 to second place Loyola in its final game but note that the Braves are 7-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games. SIU on the other hand is only 1-4 ATS in its last five following at ATS loss. These teams may be ranked four and five, but I think the divide in talent is much bigger. Lay the points, expect a blowout.
T.M. Prediction: 75-50 Bradley.
|03-05-20||Clippers v. Rockets -1||Top||120-105||Loss||-102||22 h 24 m||Show|
Selection: Houston Rockets (10* TRADE MARK).
Off a double-digit road win over OKC, I think the Clippers are going to stumble in this difficult road venue. Houston comes in as the "hungrier" team, as it stumbled badly in a loss to the lowly Knicks in its final game of a long Eastern swing. With a couple of days off to digest the stench of that failure, I look for the Rockets to come out and play with a chip on their shoulder tonight. Las is also just 3-6 ATS this year as a road dog, while Houston is 7-3 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. This one has "BLOWOUT" written all over it!
T.M. Prediction: 125-115 Houston.
|03-05-20||Illinois State v. Drake -2.5||65-75||Win||100||21 h 24 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Drake (8* ROUT)
This is the start of the Missouri Valley Conference tournament and I can't understate how important I feel that home court advantage will be in this particular matchup. Drake was 18-13 overall this year and 8-10 in MVC action, while Illinois State was 10-20 and 5-13. Both teams are poor, but one of these sides is downright horrible. Drake beat Illinois State 57-53 on its own floor this year as a 1.5 points favorite and I expect an even bigger beatdown this time around. Illinois State posted a very satisfying win over Evansville in its regular season finale, which sets it up perfectly here for a massive letdown. Drake on the other hand enters as the more motivated team after three straight losses to end the regular season (note that the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU loss of 20 or more points, while the Redbirds are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS victory). I'm banking on a rout from start to finish.
T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Drake.
|03-05-20||Nebraska +17.5 v. Michigan||Top||58-82||Loss||-107||21 h 48 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10* MONEY-MAKER).
I believe that in some small way the Wolverines are going to get caught "looking past" their lowly 7-22 opponent today to the upcoming Conference Tournament and that's going to be more than enough for the hungry Huskers to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Huskers are the worst team in the Big Ten, but they'll be eager to try and reverse their fortunes vs. a Wolverines team which has dropped two in a row. Note that they've given up an average of 79 PPG over their last two losses (Wisconsin and Ohio State). With a game at conference leading Maryland to end the regular season, this also sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the home side. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points!
T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Michigan.
|03-04-20||Kansas State v. Oklahoma State -6||63-69||Push||0||14 h 28 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma State (8* MONEY-MAKER).
All these teams can do with a victory today is improve their positioning in the upcoming conference tournament. K-State has lost nine straight and its failed to score more than 67 points in that stretch. OKlahoma State earned the 64-59 win over the Wildcats on their own floor earlier in the season, but I expect a much bigger beatdown here. The Cowboys only allow 63 PPG to their opposition, while averaging 68 of their own. I have a hard time seeing this struggling Wildcats offense mustering much of an attack here on the road and after nine straight losses. Lay the points.
T.M. Prediction: 70-60 OKS.
|03-04-20||Morehead State v. Tennessee State -1.5||67-74||Win||100||8 h 26 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Tennessee State (9* BANKROLL BUILDER).
This is the first round of the OVC Tournament and I expect Tennessee State to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Tennessee State is ranked fifth, and Morehead State is ranked eighth. Note that when Big Blue is rated higher than its opponent in the conference tournament, it's 7-3 the last ten in those matchups. TSU annihilated Morehead State 64-48 at home, but the Eagles bounced back with a tight 66-63 win over TSU in the rematch on Seniors night. I think Tennessee State is the bigger, more athletic team and I LOVE for it to bounce back and avenge the most recent setback in this series. Lay the points.
T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Tennessee State.
|03-04-20||St. Louis -2 v. George Mason||Top||69-57||Win||100||13 h 33 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Saint Louis (10* GAME OF THE WEEK).
Saint Louis enters the final regular season game off a big win over Rhode Island and it won't want to take the foot off the gas now that it's so close to the finish line. With that victory the Billikens are now in the talk for an NCAA Tournament spot (as long as they can now run the table throughout the conference tournament). George Mason started 11-1, but it then went 4-13. Most recently it comes in off a heart-breaking 81-78 setback to Duquesne. These teams met at Saint Louis earlier in the year and the Billikens posted the 81-71 victory. Expect a similar (or even larger!) victory for the visiting side tonight.
T.M. Prediction: 72-60 Billikens.
|03-03-20||Maple Leafs v. Sharks +1.5||Top||2-5||Win||100||16 h 26 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Sharks PUCK LINE (10* GAME OF WEEK).
I think the Leafs are poised for a letdown here. San Jose won't be rolling over despite it's poor overall season. The Sharks play with revenge here and they'll be extra hungry facing a Leafs team that I beleive is finally set up for a letdown tonight after winning three straight. San Jose is playing some of its best hockey of the season as well after two straight victories in which it's posted eight goals. In a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.
T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Toronto.
|03-03-20||Purdue +5.5 v. Iowa||Top||77-68||Win||100||15 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10* TRADE-MARK).
Iowa is 20-9 overall, but Purdue annihilated it 104-68 at home last month. Clearly that's not going to happen again here and while I do believe the outright upset is in the cards tonight as well, in the end I'll be recommending for everyone to grab the ample points. Purdue also has wins over VCU, Virginia and Michigan State. The Boilersmakers have gone just 1-3 in their last four though and they'll need a few miracles to make it back into the NCAA Tournament at this point. And a victory here would certainly go a long away in helping their cause. The Hawkeyes have looked better of late, but note that they're just 2-5 ATS in their last seven in trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent of 30 points or more. In the end, let's grab the points!
T.M. Prediction: 73-72 Iowa.
|03-02-20||Idaho State v. Weber State -6.5||Top||78-70||Loss||-110||26 h 18 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Weber State (10* GAME OF THE WEEK).
Idaho State is 6-20, while Weber State is 11-17. Idaho State comes in with zero momentum, as it's lost 12 straight and failed to cover in three straight as well. Weber State fans can empathize though, as the Wildcats enter hungry here after having lost three of their last four. The Bengals are horrible in every offensive and defensive category, but particularly in the rebounding department, pulling only 32.8 per game. And if recent history is any precedence, then the Wildcats have to be loving their chances today, as they already beat the Bengals 76-68 on the road. This is a big opportunity for the Wildcats after a scuffling stretch and with just a couple of games remaining in the regular season. The stage is set for an explosive home victory here.
T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Weber State.
|03-02-20||Blazers +7 v. Magic||Top||130-107||Win||100||24 h 30 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: BLAZERS (10* TRADE-MARK).
The panic button has been hit in Portland. It's basically "do or die" for the visitors now, who enter off three straight losses, including a humbling double-digit setback to the Hawks on the road. The Magic have been playing a bit better lately. They also need as many victories as they can get. Orlando's offense has been a lot better, but it's strong defensive play which has defined the team for most of the season has taken a back seat during that stretch. Off a loss to San Antonio, I think the Magic will have their hands full with this now desperate Portland team. Outright is possible, but let's grab these points!
T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Orlando.
|03-01-20||76ers v. Clippers -12.5||Top||130-136||Loss||-110||19 h 33 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10*) GAME OF THE WEEK.
I think the Clippers come in angry and even with Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid in the line-up, I believe LA would have had a chance at covering this large spread anyways. But neither Simmons or Embiid will be playing tonight and because of that, I expect the home side to take full advantage and to win big once the final horn blares. The Clippers faced a fully prepared Nuggets team at home last time out and they annihilated them 132-103. Seven LA players scored in double figures in that one, including 43 points from Paul George. I expect a similar final outcome here as well, so lay the points.
T.M. Prediction: 118-100 LA.
|03-01-20||St. Louis v. Rhode Island -6||Top||72-62||Loss||-108||17 h 54 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Rhode Island (10* TRADE-MARK).
Saint Louis is 20-7 and Rhode Island is 20-8. Overall the Billikens average 71.8 PPG and they allow 66.1. Saint Louis though is just 4-4 in true road games this year. Rhode Island won't be taking anything for granted here after a slim road win over Fordham last time out. The Rams average 74.7 PPG and they allow 68.4. Rhode Island is also 4-0 ATS in its last four following an ATS loss, while Saint Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last five following a SU victory. I'm laying the points as all signs point to a big time home victory in the A-10 reg. season finale.
T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Rhode Island.
|03-01-20||Western Kentucky v. North Texas -7||72-78||Loss||-105||17 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: North Texas (8* MONEY-MAKER).
A lot is riding on this game. WKU is 19-9 and UNT is 19-10. Top seeding in the conference tournament is up for grabs, as well as implications for the NCAA Tourney. UNT though has the major situational revenge factor working in its favor today after it fell by nine points at WKU earlier in the year. The Hilltoppers used home court to their advantage in that matchup, and everything definitely points to that being the same for The Mean Green this afternoon. UNT is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference home games trying to revenge a conference road loss vs. an opponent of seven points or more, while WKU is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine conference road games as an underdog in the -5.5 to -7.5 points range. Lay the points, expect a blowout.
T.M. Prediction: 78-62 UNT.
|02-29-20||Lakers v. Grizzlies +8.5||Top||88-105||Win||100||10 h 46 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Yes LA has won seven straight and covered in five of those contests, but I believe that Memphis is going to find a way to get the job done here. The Grizz are WITHOUT QUESTION the "hungrier" team here after four-straight losses on the road. This is also a BIG TIME "revenge" spot for the Grizz, who have lost all three SU and two of the three ATS in this season series thus far. And would anyone fault LA for "looking ahead" here with a game at red hot New Orleans tomorrow night? Memphis is off a disappointing loss at home to Sacramento just last night, but I believe that's going to just add "fuel to the fire" for the home side here as it looks to snap the five-game losing streak. Outright win? Very possible! However, let's grab the points.
T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Lakers.
|02-29-20||Michigan State +2.5 v. Maryland||Top||78-66||Win||100||10 h 45 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* TRADE-MARK).
This is a big game, with big conference tournament implications and I'm calling for the minor upset. Michigan State comes to town off two straight wins. Maryland has won ten of 11, but I think it'll have difficulty here vs. this MSU team which plays with revenge after falling at home to Maryland a couple of weeks ago. Both teams have excellent defenses, but the overall experience that Michigan State brings to the table can't be underestimated as big factor working in its favor here. Michigan State has found its groove again and I believe the "revenge factor" DOES matter in this one (that said, let's grab the points!)
T.M. Prediction: 71-69 Michigan State.
|02-28-20||Wolves +7.5 v. Magic||Top||125-136||Loss||-105||14 h 34 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Wolves (10* MONEY-MAKER).
The Wolves are in full rebuild mode, but they enter off an impressive win over the Heat in Miami, led by D'Angelo Russell, who continues to play with a chip on his shoulder and who has averaged 24.4 points and eight assists in five game since being aquired by Minnesota. The Magic have won four of five and they're coming off a big win over the Hawks, but with a tough road game in San Antonio tomorrow night, I think the stage is set for them to finally have a bit of a letdown here. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but all the pieces are in place for a much more competitive affair (in my opinion), than what this spread would suggest.
T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Orlando.
|02-28-20||Kent State +1.5 v. Ohio||Top||69-76||Loss||-105||13 h 54 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Kent State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER).
Yes 14-14 Ohio is going to be "hungry" here, but I don't think that's going to matter vs. the vastly superior Kent State Flashes. These teams met two weeks ago and the Golden Flashes pulled away for a relatively simple 87-72 victory. Ken State is averaging 76 PPG and it's allowing 69.3, while Ohio is averaging 71.1 PPG and allowing 68.5. Kent State though is 5-0 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less, while Ohios is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. I'm grabbing the points, but expecting an outright.
T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Kent State.
|02-27-20||San Diego +26.5 v. Gonzaga||Top||59-94||Loss||-110||28 h 35 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: San Diego (10*).
San Diego is a putrid 9-20 overall and 2-12 in WCC action. Gonzaga though is going to get classically caught "looking past" its lowly opponent in my opinion though. The Bulldogs are 27-2 and 13-1 overall and they have their sights set on a National title right now, not on the lowly Toreros. SD also catches Gonzaga off a disappointing loss to BYU and I think it's collectively still caught up on that monster letdown. I definitely think that the conditions are correct for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. So grab the points!
T.M. Prediction: (80-70 Gonzaga).
|02-27-20||Blazers +10 v. Pacers||Top||100-106||Win||100||27 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Portland comes in "hungry" after losing four of its last five games. The Pacers were blown out badly in Toronto, and then they bounced back big with a lop-sided win over Charlotte at home in their most recent tilt. However when these teams met in the Pacific Northwest earlier in the season, it was the Blazers that posted the 139-129 victory. Suffice it to say, I think the "on again, off again" Pacers are going to once again struggle with consistency here vs. this unbelievably determined Blazers side, which is currently in ninth place in the Western Conference. An unreal situation sets us up nicely for this 10* pick.
T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Indiana.
|02-27-20||Delaware v. College of Charleston -4||71-80||Win||100||25 h 36 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Charleston (8*).
This is a big game and I think that the home floor advantage will turn out to be the difference for COC. Delaware is ranked fourth in the CAA, while the Cougars are right behind in fifth. And if recent history is any precedence, then COC has to be loving its chances tonight, as it already beat the Blue Hens on the road by erasing a 6-point deficit to win by 13. COC has won five straight at home over Delaware as well, most recently a 13 point victory of January of last year. This one has home side "blowout" written all over it.
T.M. Prediction: (75-65 COC).
|02-26-20||Grizzlies +11 v. Rockets||Top||112-140||Loss||-110||14 h 36 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time.
T.M. Prediction: (Coming shortly)
|02-26-20||Furman v. NC-Greensboro -4.5||Top||81-67||Loss||-105||12 h 27 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: UNC Greensboro (10* TRADE-MARK).
This is a big game for both 23-6 teams. Both teams enter off victories as well. The bottom line is though is that I can't stress how important I feel that the home court advantage will be in this particular matchup. The Furman Paladins got destroyed by the Spartans 86-73 at home back January 11th and I expect an even bigger lop-sided blowout here. Sometimes the revenge angle works and other times it's completely overrated. I believe the latter is definitely the case in this one. Lay the points, but expect a big blowout!
T.M. Prediction: (75-60 UNC Greensboro).
|02-25-20||Drake v. Loyola-Chicago -7||60-64||Loss||-115||23 h 7 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Loyola Chicago (8* MONEY-MAKER).
This is a big game for both teams, but it's a revenge game for Loyola Chicago after it feel 65-62 at Drake back in early January. Drake comes in on terrible form as well, most recently falling 57-53 to lowly Illinois State. The Ramblers has won four in a row before a 72-64 loss to Missouri State in their latest action. Loyola Chicago has played well over the last month though and it sits with an 11-5 record in MVC play (compared to 8-8 for Drake.) The Ramblers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven at home, while the Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four following an ATS loss. The conditions all point to a home side blowout.
T.M. Prediction: 75-53 Ramblers.
|02-25-20||Missouri State v. Valparaiso -2||Top||74-89||Win||100||23 h 4 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Valparaiso (10* BEST OF THE BEST).
Missouri State is 14-15 and Valparaiso is 15-14. Both teams though come in having won three of their last four. Missouri State's only loss in that time though came against Bradley on the road, 83-79. The Crusaders though most recently come in off a win at home over Bradley, cruising to a 90-78 win. The Bears score 69.4 PPG and they allow 67.2, while the Crusaders average 72.3 PPG and allow 71.3. Valparaiso though is a near-perfect 6-1 ATS this year vs. teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and I expect that strong to get carried over here in this difficult road building. Lay the short points.
T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Valpo.
|02-24-20||Senators v. Blue Jackets -1.5||Top||3-4||Loss||-100||26 h 25 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Blue Jackets PUCK LINE (GAME OF MONTH 10*)
It's now or never for Columbus. The Blue Jackets need to turn things around immediately, or their playoff hopes are going to now be over quickly. Indeed, Columbus comes into this one having lost eight straight. The Senators are the perfect opponent to get untracked against though! Ottawa is a poor 3-8 (-4.4 units) this year already after playing three straight at home. The Blue Jackets?! Note that they're still 61-39 (+9 units) in their last 100 vs. clubs with losing records. I expect Columbus to finally show up tonight and to not only find a way to win this game, but to win convincingly.
T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Jackets.
|02-24-20||Louisville v. Florida State -2.5||Top||67-82||Win||100||25 h 14 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Florida State.
These are two of the top teams in the country, but bottom line is that I don't think we can overlook the home floor advantage as being a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Louisville comes in off a 72-55 win over UNC, but FSU is an entirely different animal, especially at home. And especially on the defensive side of the ball. FSU already smashed Louisville on its home court the last time these teams played and I expect a similar result here as well. This one has double-digit destruction written all over it in my professional opinion.
T.M. Prediction: 75-65 FSU.
|02-23-20||Blackhawks +1.5 v. Stars||Top||1-2||Win||100||21 h 39 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Blackhawks (10* PUCK-LINE PUNISHER).
In a game which I expect to be decided late or even in extra time or shootout, I'm going to lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. This is the third game of a four-game season series between the clubs. Last time out the Hawks won 3-0, ending a seven-game skid in the series. Interestingly Chicago is 8-4 (+4.5 units) in all "Sunday" games this year, while Dallas is just 1-5 (-5.8 units) in the same position.
T.M. Prediction: (3-2 Stars).
|02-23-20||Indiana State -3.5 v. Evansville||Top||64-62||Loss||-111||20 h 36 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Indiana State ended a three-game slide with a big 67-64 win over Northern Iowa last time out, getting 18 points and seven boards form Jake Laravia. Evansville though is a complete disaster and I expect it to continue to struggle here, most recently coming off a listless 70-53 loss to Southern Illinois, its 15th setback in a row. The Sycamores need to keep the foot on the gas here and after beating the No. 1 team in the league, I don't think there's any reason not believe that they can't in fact do that. Evansville is just 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 at home and I look for that record to get even worst after tonight. No trap here, look for Indiana State to instead take advantage!
T.M. Prediction: (76-60 Sycamores).
|02-22-20||Panthers v. Golden Knights -1.5||Top||3-5||Win||132||27 h 55 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Las Vegas (PUCK-LINE 10*).
Florida stinks on the road and I believe the Panthers will indeed struggle in this difficult venue, vs. this surging Knights team. THe Panthers are in poor form, just 3-6-1 in their last ten, while the Golden Knights are 7-2-1 in their last ten. Florida is 0-4 in its last four as an underdog as well. Look for Las Vegas to to up early and to win by a decisive margin after it's all said and done.
T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Vegas.
|02-22-20||76ers +8.5 v. Bucks||Top||98-119||Loss||-107||26 h 38 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* MONEY-MAKER).
There's no way that the 76ers are going to roll over here. Does Milwaukee have the motivaion to try and blow out its opponent today? I don't think so. This one has "battle" written all over it. 76ers' big man Joel Embiid had 39 points in a 112-104 win over the Nets last time out and I think he carries that momentum over. While the Bucks come in off a relatively simple 126-106 win over the Pistons in their latest outing, note that they're just 2-7 ATS this year off a win by ten points or more vs. a division rival. Let's grab up the points, but also not be shocked if the outright occurs either.
T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Bucks.
|02-22-20||Florida State -1 v. NC State||Top||67-61||Win||100||21 h 58 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Florida State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER).
North Carolina State admittedly comes in off an impressive 88-66 win over Duke last time out, but I think it's poised for a classic letdown here. FSU is 12-3 in ACC play after its 82-67 win over Pittsburgh. The Wolfpack are just 8-7 in league play. NC State lost to Boston College previous to this big upset last time out, so I'm not reading too much into this most recent result. FSU's size and depth will prove to be too much for the home side to keep pace with down the stretch.
T.M. Prediction: 76-70 FSU.
|02-22-20||North Carolina +9.5 v. Louisville||55-72||Loss||-115||21 h 50 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (8* MONEY-MAKER).
I simply feel that the home side is going to get caught looking past the putrid Tar Heels today. UNC won't be rolling over today though after starting February 0-6. The Tar Heels are always in contention with Cole Anthony in the line-up and now that he's had a couple games to get back up to speed, there's no reason not to think that the dynamic player can't lead his team to an outright upset here. Louisville snapped a rare two-game slide with a win over Syracuse in its latest action. UNC though is 4-0 ATS in its last four as a road dog and I expect it to fight tooth and nail until the final horn. As such, I'll ultimately recommend to grab as many points as you can.
T.M. Prediction: 73-72 Louisville.
|02-21-20||Grizzlies +11 v. Lakers||105-117||Loss||-110||25 h 27 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (8*).
Memphis lost 129-125 in Sacramento last night, but I think it can bounce back here and keep this one competitive. Mainly because I think the Lakers are going to come out slow after the All Star Break. LeBron James was kept busy throughout the festiviites and with the Celtics and Pelicans coming to town up next, I think the home side will classically get caught "looking ahead" as well. It all sets up nicely for a comfortable cover for the visitors.
T.M. Prediction: 117-114 Lakers.
|02-21-20||Pacers -5.5 v. Knicks||Top||106-98||Win||100||22 h 27 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers 10* MONEY-MAKER.
The Knicks looked decent for about two weeks prior to the All Star break, but perhaps predictably they then fell apart in the final two games, lowing to the Hawks and the Wizards. Indiana won its final game over Milwaukee before the break. These teams have split two games this year, but New York won the most recent one. That sets this up as a revenge game for Victor Oladipo and the home side. The Knicks have failed to score 100 points in three of the last five in this head-to-head matchup and I think the home side once again strugglest.
T.M. Prediction: 111-100 Indiana.
|02-21-20||Princeton v. Harvard -7.5||Top||60-61||Loss||-108||22 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Harvard (10* IVY-LEAGUE).
The bottom line on this one is, I don't think you can overlooked the "home court advantage" as being a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Harvard won't be taking anything for granted here after the Tigers snuck by the Crimson 70-69 in Princeton on February 1st. Both teams come in off less that impressive wins, but in this big contest, where the winner will take over the No. 1 spot, I think the revenge minded home side gets the job done vs. a Tigers team which just gave up 88 points to Yale. Lay the points here.
T.M. Prediction: 80-62 Harvard.
|02-20-20||Maryland-Baltimore County +5 v. Albany||69-50||Win||100||2 h 33 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: UMBC
UMBC may come in with a worse record. They may be on the road. But, this team has the talent to upset this Albany team here today. Just like they did against Virginia. Take the Retrievers.
T.M. Prediction: 69-67 UMBC
|02-19-20||Wild +1.5 v. Canucks||4-3||Win||100||9 h 27 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Wild (puck-line)
Minnesota has a great chance of winning this game but having an extra +1.5 insurance goals never hurts. Two of Minnesota's last 3 defeats were losses by 1 goal. Three of 5 games overall decided by 1 goal. Canucks off 5-1 loss and have now dropped 5 of 7. Minnesota's last game in Vancouver was a 3-2 win for the Wild. Deja Vu tonight.
T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Wild
|02-19-20||Islanders +1.5 v. Avalanche||1-3||Loss||-175||9 h 11 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Islanders (puck-line)
Colorado is tough but the Islanders are going to really want this game. They have only scored 1 goal in their last 3 games and will be ready to explode. Last 3 times these teams have played have all gone to the Islanders. Scores of 1-0, 4-3 and 4-1. The 4-1 win was here, in Denver. I have the Islanders winning another close one.
T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Isles.
|02-19-20||Michigan v. Rutgers -2.5||Top||60-52||Loss||-109||6 h 9 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Rutgers
The Wolverines have owned this matchup, winning all 12 games. That changes tonight. Wolverines are 1-5 ATS as road underdogs. Rutgers is 6-1 ATS When The Total Is 130 To 139.5. Knights are also a perfect 5-0 ATS As A Home Favorite Of 6 Points Or Less Or Pick. Knights haven't lost here all season. They'll stay perfect at home!
T.M. Prediction: 69-63 Rutgers
|02-19-20||Lokomotive Leipzig v. Tottenham Hotspur||Top||1-0||Loss||-100||2 h 7 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Tottenham Hotspur
Mourinho may not have enjoyed giving up 2 goals on the weekend but his team scored 3, a 3-2 win against Aston Villa. The Hotspur will keep rolling today. Former Tottenham striker Dimitar Berbatov said this of the Spurs: "Spurs aren't the favourites to win the Champions League, they weren't the favourites to reach the final last year, but now they have that Mourinho-factor. When he won it with Porto, they weren't the favourites but they lifted the trophy. He gives Spurs that extra bit in this competition, if he wins it with them he will go down into the Tottenham folklore. He is already one of the greats, nobody can take anything from him, if he wins the Champions League with Spurs he will have done it three times with different teams, and it is always good to do win a trophy with the underdogs, it's the best feeling."
T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Tottenham
|02-18-20||Ole Miss v. Missouri -1.5||Top||68-71||Win||100||8 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Missouri. These two teams are in the middle of the pack in the conference, but Missouri comes in off a bit 85-73 win over Auburn last time out and all signs point to this confidence and momentum carrying over into this one in front of the home town crowd. The Rebels on the other enter off a deflating 67-62 loss to Kentucky and I believe they have another letdown here as well. And that numbers/trends support my theory, as note that Ole Miss is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a road underdog or pick, while Missouri is a sharp 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of three points or less. In this particular case, "home floor" means EVERYTHING! Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-64 Missouri.
|02-17-20||Idaho v. Portland State -10.5||Top||69-90||Win||100||10 h 56 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Portland State
10* Portland State. Analysis to come.
T.M. Prediction: 82-65 Portland State
|02-17-20||North Carolina +4 v. Notre Dame||76-77||Win||100||7 h 56 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: UNC
The Tar Heels are better than their record. They also dominate the Irish every time the teams meet. UNC has won 7 straight meetings between the clubs. Heels haven't hit well as favorites but are 6-2 ATS as underdogs. Irish are 6-17 ATS last 23 after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread. Will grab points but I've got the Heels winning this thing outright.
T.M. Prediction: 74-71 UNC
|02-16-20||Cincinnati v. East Carolina +11||Top||70-67||Win||100||4 h 40 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: EAST CAROLINA
Cincinnati was -17 here last season and East Carolina won the game. Did you know that Bearcats are 1-6 when the total is 140 to 149.5. Thats both SU and ATS. Pirates 8-3 ATS last 11 as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points. This game will be close. Grab points.
T.M. Prediction: 75-71 Cincinnati
|02-15-20||Gonzaga -15 v. Pepperdine||89-77||Loss||-104||12 h 12 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: GONZAGA
Bulldogs get underestimated nearly every year but they always turn out to be good. This year's team is a lot better than people realize and they will hammer the outclassed Waves. Gonzaga has been home team in last 4 meetings. Last time Pepperdine was home team, Gonzaga won by 30. The time before that, they won by 47!
T.M. Prediction: 91-70 Gonzaga
|02-15-20||Coastal Carolina v. Georgia State -8||80-92||Win||100||4 h 10 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: GEORGIA STATE
I have Georgia State pulling away and winning this thing by nearly 20. Coastal Carolina last 4 losses all came by double-digits. Losses of 10, 37, 17 and 20. Blowout time.
T.M. Prediction: 88-70 GEORGIA STATE
|02-15-20||Oklahoma +11.5 v. Kansas||70-87||Loss||-106||2 h 25 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: OKLAHOMA
Jayhawks are tough but the Sooners will keep this one closer than people and the oddsmakers think. Since previous meeting, OU has 5 wins and 3 losses. All 3 losses were by 8 or less. Take the points.
T.M. Prediction: 70-65 Kansas
|02-14-20||Yale -3.5 v. Princeton||Top||88-64||Win||100||8 h 35 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: YALE
The Bulldogs are the better team here but just because they're playing on the road we get them at a value price. This is been a great role for Yale. Bulldogs are 3-0 ATS as road favorites of 6 or less and 10-2 ATS last 12. Princeton 0-2 ATS as home underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points. Yale won here 81-59 last visit and that was expected to be a close game. Thats 4 straight in the series all the wins coming by at least 4. Go with the Bulldogs to take down the Tigers again tonight.
T.M. Prediction: 74-65 YALE
|02-13-20||Thunder v. Pelicans -2||Top||123-118||Loss||-109||9 h 49 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: NEW ORLEANS
OKC has won all 3 meetings this season. Those games were all B.Z. though. That's "before Zion." Williamson is now here and he's just getting better by the game. Wednesday he got 31 points, 9 boards and 5 assists. New Orleans smoked Portland 138-117. Thats 3 wins in a row. Off two losses in a row, the Thunders are going the other way. Pelicans 16-9-1 against the number their last 26, when off a home win. Revenge will be theirs.
T.M. Prediction: 117-108 New Orleans
|02-13-20||Old Dominion v. Rice||Top||73-70||Loss||-110||9 h 45 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: RICE
OK. This isn't the most exciting Thursday game. Doesn't matter to me. I just want winners! For this one, we essentially have no pointspread. ODU is 7-13 last 20 games and 1-8 SU its last nine on the road. Monarchs score 59.6 points per road game. The Owls score 81.6 points per game at home. Rice is starting to roll and is off 3 straight wins. They keep rolling for another day!
T.M. Prediction: 74-66 RICE
|02-12-20||Michigan -5.5 v. Northwestern||Top||79-54||Win||100||11 h 24 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: MICHIGAN
Wildcats may have homecourt advantage but the Wolverines have too many other advantages. Michigan is 16-1 SU its last 17 against a team with a losing record and that includes a 4-0 SU + ATS record last 4. Wildcats are in freefall and this is not the team to get better against. Last meeting? A 20-point win for the Wolverines. Sorry NW fans, this one will also turn ugly!
T.M. Prediction: 75-62 MICHIGAN
|02-12-20||Mercer v. Wofford -7.5||70-68||Loss||-109||9 h 24 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: WOFFORD
I have the Terriers winning this one by 15. Wofford won by 9 last meeting and that was at Mercer. Mercer lost its last 2 games by 13 and 22 points. Wofford is 3-0 (SU and ATS) off a loss against a conference rival. This one will be a wipeout!
T.M. Prediction: 75-61 WOFFORD
|02-11-20||Air Force v. Boise State -12||Top||57-74||Win||100||22 h 20 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Boise State
This is a huge mis-match, in everyones opinion. Air Force is a terrible 0-6 SU/ATS in their last 6 games this season. The Falcons are also a sad 0-5 in their last 5 games on the road. Even worse, they are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference (MVC.) For the Broncos, they have been dominant. Although they may have lost their previous match, they still bring in an underated 16-9 record. Not only that, but they have done an excellent job in covering the spread as well. Entering this game, Boise State is a perfect 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Mountain West Conference. Enough said. Take the Broncos.
T.M. Prediction: 81-57 BSU
|02-10-20||Florida State +8.5 v. Duke||Top||65-70||Win||100||20 h 28 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Florida State
Both of these two teams have been excellent in the 2019-20 season. They are both at 20-3 and they are expected to do extremely well in March Madness. Florida State enters with a sweet 9-1 record in their last 10 games this season. The Seminoles are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in February. Even better, they are 13-1 in their last 14 games played. For Duke, they are only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. The Blue Devils are also a sad 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played in February. The line is too large. Take Florida St and expect an easy cover.
T.M. Prediction: 86-83 FSU
|02-08-20||Grand Canyon v. California Baptist -6.5||Top||103-98||Loss||-106||11 h 38 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Cal Baptist
Cal Baptist over Grand Canyon? You might be thinking to yourself, what kind of GOTM play is that Tim? They can't all be Duke against Kansas though. If you can bet on it, I'm looking at it. The fact is, this one's a clear cut mismatch. This is Cal Baptist's second season in the Div 1. so they aren't eligible for the Tournament. Thats lucky for the other teams. Led by Milan Acquaah's 17.3 points-per-game, the Lancers have flat out been getting it done. They already beat the Antelopes at Phoenix and they complete the series sweep tonight!
T.M. Prediction: 78-61 Cal Baptist
|02-08-20||Nets +6 v. Raptors||Top||118-119||Win||100||8 h 12 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets
The Raptors just keep winning and winning. It ends today. You heard it right here. The Nets don;t have Kyrie or KD but they've got a big scheduling advantage. Toronto is 3-5 against the spread, 4 losses outright, In A Home Game Where The Total Is Greater Than Or Equal To 220.
T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Nets
|02-08-20||Coyotes v. Bruins -1.5||Top||2-4||Win||132||14 h 49 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Boston Bruins -1.5
This one has all the ingredients of a multi-goal win for the B's. Vastly superior team. Playing better currently, on both sides of the puck. At home. A nice plus-money payout for the big win.
T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Bruins
|02-08-20||DePaul v. Georgetown -4||Top||72-76||Push||0||11 h 47 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Georgetown
The Georgetown Hoyas may not be doing so well as of late, but they can still win at home. Coming into today's game against DePaul, the Hoyas are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games at home. Georgetown is also 7-3 in their last ten meetings against the Blue Demons. On the other hand, DePaul is a terrible 0-5 SU in their last 5 games. DePaul is also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in February. Even worse, they are 1-9 in their last 10 games this season. At home, expect an easy Georgetown win.
T.M. Prediction: 76-64 Georgetown
|02-07-20||Iona v. Quinnipiac -5||Top||73-52||Loss||-109||9 h 3 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home. They are also a dominant 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played on a Friday. On the other hand, Iona is a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road. Iona is also only 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Expect a crushing performance by the home team in this one. Take Quinnipiac.
T.M. Prediction: 78-51 Quinnipiac
|02-05-20||East Tennessee State -5 v. Chattanooga||Top||80-64||Win||100||20 h 13 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: East Tennessee St
Coming into this game, East Tennessee State has been red hot. They ae now e 6-1 in their last 7 games after last games' blowout. East Tennessee State is also a perfect 9-0 (7-2 ATS) in their last 9 games against Chattanooga. For the Mocs, they are off a tough loss last time out, against Western Carolina. That makes them only 2-3 in their last 5 games this season. The Buccaneers may be on the road, but expect them to be the much better team in this one. Take ETSU.
T.M. Prediction: 78-61 ETSU
|02-02-20||49ers v. Chiefs||Top||20-31||Win||100||19 h 14 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs
Most can agree that the Chiefs have the better offense and that the 49ers have the better defense. More often than not, that'll find me on the side of the better defense. The Chiefs offense is "MUCH" better than the 49ers offense though and the SF defense is only "better" than the KC defense. No team can stop the Chiefs. They score 27 or more every game. The 49ers can be slowed though. The last time they faced an AFC team they only scored 17 points! At the end of the day, Mahomes will be the better QB and the Chiefs will be the better team.
T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Chiefs
|02-01-20||Bradley v. Loyola-Chicago -5.5||Top||51-62||Win||100||21 h 5 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Loyola Chicago
These two teams may not look too different, but I see a huge skill gap between each other. Loyola Chicago is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. The Ramblers are also 11-4 in their last 15 games. For Bradley, they are a sad 2-7 SU in their last 9 games on the road. Even worse, the Braves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Loyola-Chicago. At home, expect an easy Ramblers win.
T.M. Prediction: 76-51 Ramblers
|02-01-20||Xavier +8.5 v. Seton Hall||74-62||Win||100||12 h 24 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Xavier
When a team is on the road against a ranked opponent, most would think a destruction. Not this time. Xavier is holding opponents to only 67.9 ppg while giving up a less than 30% three ball. That's great defense! Now, they might not win outright, but expect a very close game.
T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Seton Hall
|01-31-20||Blazers +13 v. Lakers||Top||127-119||Win||100||12 h 19 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers
In their first game back since the tragic accident, its hard for anyone to know exactly how the Lakers will respond to the devastating loss of Kobe Bryant. We do know how the Trail Blazers have reacted though. By playing their best basketball of the season! They're off back to back big wins against the Pacers and Rockets. Dame is doing it all and dropped a triple-double on Houston, after going over 50 in his previous three. Did you know that Portand is a PERFECT 7-0 against the pointspread, with one push, the last 3 years, when coming off 2 Consecutive Home Wins By 10 Points Or More.
T.M. Prediction: 119-117 Lakers
|01-31-20||Capitals -1.5 v. Senators||Top||5-3||Win||130||9 h 7 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Capitals -1.5
This is an obvious mismatch. The Capitals lead the entire NHL with 73 points. The Senators are near the bottom with 45. The Capitals score about a goal more per game and they allow less too. In 51 games, they have 185 goals, a +34 goal differential. Ottawa has 138 goals and a -31 goal differential. Last two games between these teams have had scores of 6-1 and 7-2, both in favor of Washington.
T.M. Prediction: 6-1 Capitals
|01-31-20||Columbia v. Yale -14||62-93||Win||100||7 h 40 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Yale
This is an obvious mismatch. I have the Bulldogs winning by 24. Yale is 14-4. Columbia is 6-12. The Lions upset the Bulldogs last March. It won't happen again! Lay the number and relax.
T.M. Prediction: 79-55 Yale
|01-29-20||San Jose State v. Boise State -15.5||Top||71-99||Win||100||11 h 59 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Boise State
If you don't think that the Broncos can beat this team by more than 15, you should probably study up on your history books. Last year, Boise State won 87-64 at San Jose and 105-57 here at Boise! Thats a 48 point destruction in a game they were favored by 19! The year before the Broncos won by 23 here. Simply put, SJ State stinks. Last time Spartans were on the road they lost by 27, an 86-59 beatdown. As Boise has been dominant at home, you can expect to see a similar score tonight
T.M. PREDICTION 89-65 Boise State
|01-28-20||Auburn -5 v. Ole Miss||Top||83-82||Loss||-105||8 h 27 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Auburn
I have the Tigers winning this one by a dozen which makes a line of -5 look awful good. Ya, the Rebels have homecourt advantage. That just keeps the line down though. There's a big talent difference here. The Tigers are 17-2 though and Ole Miss is 10-9. The Tigers remember getting swept by this team last year and that included an upset at Auburn. Tonight they turn the tables.
T.M. PREDICTION 77-65 Auburn
|01-28-20||Senators +1.5 v. Sabres||Top||5-2||Win||100||7 h 37 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: OTTAWA +1.5 goals
Conventional wisdom tells us that the Sabres will have the advantage due to the fact that the Senators played last night. Conventional wisdom doesnt apply right after the All Star Break though. The Sabres long layoff leads to rust. The Senators second game in two nights isnt too bad after the long break, arguably even a good thing. Ottawa won 3-1 last meeting. Another upset wont surprise.
T.M. PREDICTION 4-3 OTTAWA
|01-26-20||Nets +1.5 v. Knicks||Top||97-110||Loss||-109||18 h 30 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets
Sure, the Nets went to OT yesterday. They're still the better team though and we're getting them as an underdog. The Knicks are 1-10 in division games. The Knicks are also 1-8 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6. The Nets already won here earlier and consider MSG a home away from home. They'll make it their home today.
T.M. Prediction: 113-102 Nets
|01-26-20||Stanford v. California +8.5||Top||50-52||Win||100||18 h 17 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: California Golden Bears
The Golden Bears are 6-3 vs. the number L2 years when playing with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games. The Cardinal are 2-4 vs. the number when playing with 7 or more day's rest. Recent games between these teams here in Berkeley have been very close. Cal has won 2 of L4 meetings here and lost the other 2 by 3 and 4 points. This one comes down to the final buzzer.
T.M. Prediction: 77-76 Cal
|01-26-20||Missouri State v. Drake -4.5||Top||69-71||Loss||-109||16 h 19 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Drake
Entering this game, Missouri State is only 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Drake (0-6 ATS.) They are also a sad 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Drake. For the Bulldogs, they are a perfect 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. Drake is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in January. Take Drake on Sunday.
T.M. Prediction: 74-63 Drake
|01-25-20||George Mason v. Davidson -7||53-68||Win||100||6 h 38 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Davidson
George Mason may have the better record, but I believe that Davidson is by far the more superior side here. George Mason is only 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against opponents in the Atlantic 10 Conference. They are also a sad 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Davidson. For the Wilcats, they are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games at home. Davidson is also 10-4 in their last 14 games played in the month of January. Davidson is at home, and I believe that, that will help big time here. Take the favorite.
T.M. Prediction: 82-67 Davidson
|01-25-20||Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M +2.5||Top||73-62||Loss||-110||4 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M may come in as the underdog, but I believe that they will find a way to crush the Cowboys here on Saturday. Coming into this game, Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Big 12 Conference. The Aggies are also a dominant 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State. For the Cowboys, they are only 0-5 ATS (0-5 SU as well) in their last 5 games this season. At home, give me Texas A&M all day.
T.M. Prediction: 81-67 Aggies
|01-24-20||Kent State v. Buffalo -4||Top||70-66||Loss||-109||19 h 12 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Buffalo Bulls
The Buffalo Bulls and the Kent State Golden Flashes both come in with identical 13-6 records. Although their records may look the same, I believe that Buffalo is by far the more superior side in this one. Entering this game, the Bulls are a dominant 17-3 SU in their last 20 games at home. Buffalo is also 4-1 in their last 5 games. Even better, they are a sweet 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Kent State. For the Golden Flashes, they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on the road (2-5 ATS L7.) Kent St is also a sad 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against Buffalo. At home, I expect the Buffalo Bulls to dominate this Kent St team with ease on Friday.
T.M. Prediction: 83-73 Buffalo
|01-23-20||IUPU Ft Wayne v. South Dakota -7.5||Top||60-83||Win||100||22 h 31 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: South Dakota
Entering this game, South Dakota is a dominant 12-3 in their last 15 games played on a Thursday. The Coyotes are also a sweet 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against IPFW. For the Mastodons, they are only 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road. IPFW is also a sad 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games this season. At home, expect an easy win for the Coyotes.
T.M. Prediction: 79-61 SDAK
|01-21-20||Miami-FL +17.5 v. Duke||Top||59-89||Loss||-105||11 h 52 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Miami Fl
Duke may be the better team, but if you're going to give me 17.5 to a team that almost beat a top 10 opponent last time out, I'm jumping all over that. Duke is only 14-20 after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games the past 3 years. On the other hand, the Hurricanes are 3-1 off a loss against a conference rival. Miami FL is also a perfect 2-0 this season after 2 or more consecutive losses. Expect an easy cover on Tuesday.
T.M. Prediction: 79-75 Duke
|01-19-20||Packers +9.5 v. 49ers||Top||20-37||Loss||-125||5 h 57 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Green Bay Packers
Green Bay comes into this game with a perfect 6-0 SU in their last 6 games against opponents in the NFC Conference. The Packers are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in January. Even better, they are a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 games. San Fran on the other hand isn't that strong on the offensive side of the ball. Jimmy G has looked good at times, but under pressure, he looks shaky and a bit off. Now they'll play a Packers team that just are better overall. Aaron Rodgers coming back home, give me the Green Bay Packers all day.
T.M. Prediction: 21-20 Packers
|01-19-20||Loyola-Chicago -3.5 v. Illinois State||Top||62-50||Win||100||4 h 49 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Loyola-Chicago
I recently won with Loyola-Chicago on Thursday against Southern Illinois. Now, I like them even better as they play another weak team in Illinois State. The Ramblers come into this game 9-2 SU in their last 11 games. LOYCH is also 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games played in January. Even better, they are a dominant 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Illinois State. For the Redbirds, they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games (1-7 L8.) They are also a terrible and when I say terrible, I mean absolutely terrible 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. Expect another huge win for the Ramblers on Sunday Afternoon.
T.M. Prediction: 76-54 Ramblers
|01-19-20||Titans +7.5 v. Chiefs||Top||24-35||Loss||-120||3 h 59 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Tennessee Titans
Derrick Henry is going to eat this lousy run defense alive on Sunday Afternoon. Coming into this game, Tennessee are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. The Titans are also 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Kansas City. Even better, they are a ridiculous 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City. For the Chiefs, they are only 4-14 in playoff games since 1992. Kansas City is also a sad 1-4 after covering the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 games. Tennessee might not win this game, but I believe that they'll keep it very close throghout the entire game. Take the Titans.
T.M. Prediction: 31-30 KC
|01-18-20||Blackhawks +1.5 v. Maple Leafs||Top||6-2||Win||100||7 h 46 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Chicago Blackhawks (+1.5)
The Blackhawks may be the underdog. They may be on the road. And they may be back in the standings a bit. But, I believe that they will find a way to grab the win here on Saturday. Chicago is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road. They are also a sweet 7-3 in their last 10 games on the road against the Maple Leafs. For Toronto, they arfe only 5-15 in their last 20 games against the Blackhawks. They are also only 1-4 in their last 4 games this season. Give me +1.5 goals -130 anyday. Take the Blackhawks.
T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Blackhawks
|01-18-20||Middle Tennessee v. Florida International -7.5||Top||69-83||Win||100||7 h 43 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Florida International
I believe that their is a huge gap between the skill of these two teams. Florida International is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games. The Panthers also are a dominant 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Middle Tennessee. Even better, FIU has won 10 straight games when playing at home. For the Blue Raiders, they are only 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games. They are also a terrible 0-6 SU in their last 6 games on the road and they are 0-9 in their last 9 games. I smell blowout in this one as FIU wins by 23.
T.M. Prediction: 83-60 FIU
|01-15-20||Blackhawks +1.5 v. Canadiens||Top||4-1||Win||100||7 h 11 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Chicago Blackhawks
I know that Montreal is at home. I know that they are the favorite. And I know that most people like the Canadiens here, but I'm calling for an upset here today. The Blackhawks are 5-1 in their last 6 games on the road. They are also a dominant 9-2 in their last 11 games against Montreal. Even better, they are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal. For Montreal, they may be off two straight wins, but they are still a sad 2-8 in their last 10 games. The Canadiens are also only 1-4 in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Central Division of the Western Conference. Expect the Blackhawks to shock the home crowd here tonight. I think that they are going to win outright, but I'm glad to take the points here.
T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blackhawks
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