Steelers vs. Colts Free Picks 11/24/16 – Thanksgiving Day NFL Odds
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts Free Picks 11/24/16. More Free Sports Betting Tips, Predictions & Picks from professional handicappers.
The Indianapolis Colts will host the Pittsburgh Steelers in the late game on Thanksgiving Day. The contest has an 8.30 PM EST start and will be televised on NBC.
The Steelers opened as a 3-point favorite but the spread moved quickly with Monday night’s revelation that quarterback Andrew Luck has entered into the NFL’s concussion protocol. The books are now giving up to 10 points on the home team, while the total has dropped from 53 points to 48. Close to 70 percent of the wagers are firmly behind the Steelers while 57 percent believe we’ll see a high-scoring encounter.
The Steelers snapped four game skid on Sunday with a 24-9 win at 0-11 Cleveland, enabling them to tie Baltimore for first place in the AFC North as the Ravens lost in Dallas. Pittsburgh is seventh in the league in passing with 268 yards per game, and quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has passed for 2,524 yards, 20 touchdowns and seven picks on the season. Roethlisberger threw four TD passes as Pittsburgh hammered Indianapolis 45-10 last season, another game in which the Colts played without Luck, and the Steelers have won the last two matchups by a combined 45 points. Steelers WR Antonio Brown leads the NFL with 77 receptions and is fourth with 907 yards.
Defensively the Steelers rank 22nd in the NFL giving up 363.6 yards per game, but their rush defense ranks 9th and stopping the run will be extremely valuable here as the Colts’ passing game already will be hampered without Luck under center.
Steelers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points but just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in November. under is 5-1 in Steelers’ last six games overall.
Quarterback Andrew Luck, who was injured in Sunday’s 24-17 win over the Tennessee Titans early in the fourth quarter but still finished the game, has been officially ruled out for this game.
Enter Scott Tolzien, who has played in six games in his six-year career. Tolzien is 56-of-91 for 721 yards with a touchdown and five interceptions in the NFL. “We’ve got a guy that comes to work every single day and prepares like a starter ever since he’s been in this building,” Indianapolis coach Chuck Pagano said. “He understands and knows this offense and if that’s the case, he’ll go out and play winning football.”
The Colts may try to lean more on a ground game led by Frank Gore (642 yards, four touchdowns), but they rank 25th in the league in rushing and will face a Pittsburgh D that does well in stopping the rush. Indy ranks 24th in the NFL against the rush and dead last against the pass surrendering 284.5 yards per game. That could spell big big trouble against Big Ben.
At 5-5, the Colts are only a game back of Houston in the division, thanks to the Texans’ 27-20 loss Monday night to Oakland in Mexico City. Eight of the Colts 10 games this season have been decided by a touchdown or less, while the Steelers have just two such games.
The Colts are 12-1-1 ATS in their last 14 Thursday games and 8-0 ATS in their last eight games in November. Over is 7-2 in Colts last nine Thursday nights games.
Our Prediction: Steelers -9
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