Texans vs. Raiders Free Picks 11/21/16 – Monday Night Football Odds
Houston Texans vs. Oakland Raiders Free Picks 11/21/16. More Free Sports Betting Tips, Predictions & Picks from professional handicappers.
The 6-3 Houston Texans and 7-2 Oakland Raiders travel to Mexico Monday night to battle it out at Estadio Azteca in a clash of AFC division leaders. The game marks the first time Monday Night Football has been played in a country other than the United States. The Raiders are coming off a bye week and dominated the reigning Super Bowl champions Denver Broncos 30-20 in Week 9 action while Houston is coming off a win against the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 10.
The Raiders opened as a 5.5-point favorite, but the public is very high on Oakland after its recent success and 80 percent of the tickets are firmly behind Oakland, forcing the spread to move half a point at most shops, including 5Dimes, Pinnacle and MyBookie. The total opened at 46.5-points but has dropped to 45 despite more than 80 percent of the wagers backing the over. It would appear that the betting public is on the over while the sharps believe we’ll see a low-scoring contest.
Houston has won three of its last four games despite playing far from its best football. The team has beaten up on Indianapolis, Detroit and Jacksonville while losing to Denver during that stretch. Houston’s defense is the main reason this team has managed six wins on the season as Brock Osweiler’s struggles under center continues. He has 11 TDs and 9 INTs on the season and has registered only 416 passing yards over his last three games.
Houston has been forced to lean on its running game and defense to deliver the victories, and the Texans rank fourth in total defense, giving up 317.4 yards per game. Houston has the league’s worst passing attack with an average of 187.3 yards per game, but the good news for the Texans is that the Raiders hollow defense struggles equally with the run and the pass, so Osweiler might break out with a decent performance tonight. Osweiler threw for 308 yards versus Oakland last season while with Denver, but he was sacked five times by the Raiders’ defensive end Khalil Mack in that game.
The Texans are 6-0 ATS in their last six games in November but 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. a team with a winning record. They’re 1-8 ATS in their last nine Monday night games while the over is 4-1 in Texans last five games in Week 11.
Oakland has won three on the bounce, but the team is surrendering plenty of yardage and points. The Raiders are 4th worst in total defense with 398 yards per game, but they make up for it on the other side of the ball and are 5th in the NFL in total offense averaging 401.1 yards per game.
Derek Carr has been the driving force for the offense with 17 scoring passes and three interceptions, but it was the running game that was the deciding factor in a 30-20 win against Denver in Week 9. The Raiders outgained the visiting Broncos 218-33 on the ground behind three touchdowns from Latavius Murray. Murray, along with running backs Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington, dominated the ground in what was one of the best rushing performances in the NFL this year.
Houston is just 26th in the NFL in defending the rush, giving up 120.7 yards per game, so look for Raiders’ success on the ground to continue.
The Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a bye week but just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 Monday games. Over is 5-1 in Raiders last six games overall and 4-1 in Raiders last five Monday night games.
Our Predictions: Oakland Raiders -6 & Over 45 Points
The Raiders have had an extra week to prepare on both sides of the ball, giving them the clear edge in the matchup. Oakland’s explosive offense will force Houston to come out of its shell and play a high-scoring encounter.