Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF Free Pick
Play On: Texas Longhorns +7.
The Key: Texas is being undervalued here, largely due to a poor showing against TCU in its regular-season finale. Consider that underdogs of 3.5 to 10.0 points that average 21.0-28.0 ppg in games played seven games or more into the season are 50-16 ATS since 1992 if they were held to three points or less in the first half of their last game and if they are playing a team that averages 28.0-34.0 ppg.
In addition, Texas has performed much better than Arkansas in games played away from home, going 3-3 SU and 5-1 ATS in such contests this season. Arkansas is 1-4 SU and 3-2 ATS in such contests. The Longhorns are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Teams headed up by Charlie Strong are 8-0 ATS after being held to three points or less in the first half of their last game. Strong’s squads are also 8-0 ATS in games played away from home following a home loss. Take the points.
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