Thursday Night Football Texans vs. Patriots Betting Preview – September 22, 2016

Posted 1 year ago in Featured NFL Free Picks

Matchup: Houston Texans (2-0) vs. New England Patriots (2-0)
8:25 PM ET, Thursday, September 22, 2016
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
Line: HOU PK / NE PK
Over/Under: 40.5

The Houston Texans will take on the New England Patriots on Thursday Night Football, a game you can watch live at CBS. Houston beat the Chiefs 19-12 at home last week while New England took down Miami by a 31-24 scoreline here at Foxborough.

The Pats opened as a 2.5-point home underdog but the teams are now at a pick’em, despite 55 percent of the money coming in on the visitors. The sharps seem to favor the Patriots even though they’re expected to start third-round rookie Jacoby Brissett with Tom Brady suspended and Jimmy Garoppolo nursing a shoulder injury.

The Patriots are 2-0 ATS on the season after a 23-21 win at Arizona in their season opener, where they closed as a 7-point underdog, and a 31-24 win against Miami last week just about covering the closing line of -5.5 points. They allowed Ryan Tannehill to throw for 389 yards and a pair of touchdowns, but the Patriots are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and expect Bill Belichick to sort out New England’s secondary for this contest.

The Texans are also 2-0 ATS for the season after comfortable home wins against the Bears and the Chiefs. Both their games have gone under the total and we can note that the Texans D forced two fumbles in week one and three against the Chiefs, two of which were recovered. J.J. Watt was a force as usual last week, making 1.5 sacks with five tackles, and linebacker Whitney Mercilus has two sacks this season and 17 in his last 14 games overall. The Texans D will surely make things difficult for the inexperienced Brissett in this contest.  The Texans have not fared well in recent appearances on Thursday Night Football going 0-6 ATS in their last six Thursday games.

Our Lean: Houston Texans PK

The loss of Jimmy Garoppolo is a huge blow for the Pats, both on the field and psychologically. The Texans D should have no trouble to silence Brissett and earn the team the victory in this one.

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