Posted 2 years ago in Featured, Featured MLB Free Picks
Matchup: Cleveland Indians (83-60) at Chicago White Sox (69-74)
When: Wednesday, September 14 – 8:10 PM EST
Where: U.S. Cellular Field, Chicago, Illinois
Odds: Indians +105 / White Sox -115
Over/Under: 8.5
The Cleveland Indians are 2-3 on their seven-game road trip and 4-5 in their last nine overall following an 8-1 setback to the White Sox on Tuesday. They’ve been outscored by a combined 19-5 score in the first two games of this set. The White Sox are 5-3 on their 10-game homestand and Jose Abreu is red hot with multiple hits in eight of his last 12 games.
Indians right-hander Josh Tomlin (11-8, 4.85 ERA) will toss opposite White Sox southpaw Carlos Rodon (7-8, 3.80) tonight. Tomlin is 3-2 with a 3.22 ERA in eight career games (seven starts) versus the White Sox while Rodon has yet to lose to the Indians in his career, going 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in seven career meetings.
Trends would suggest that we’ll see a high-scoring contest tonight though, and that’s where we recommend you to place your money.
Trends
Cleveland Indians
- Over is 5-1 in Indians last 6 Wednesday games.
- Over is 12-5 in Indians last 17 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Indians last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Tomlins last 4 Wednesday starts.
- Over is 4-1 in Tomlins last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 10-3 in Tomlins last 13 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 21-8-3 in Tomlins last 32 starts on grass.
- Over is 18-7-2 in Tomlins last 27 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 21-9-3 in Tomlins last 33 starts overall.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Tomlins last 11 starts vs. American League Central.
Chicago White Sox
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 9-2 in White Sox last 11 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in White Sox last 11 on grass.
- Over is 9-2 in White Sox last 11 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Rodons last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in Rodons last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-1 in Rodons last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Rodons last 5 starts overall.
Head-To-Head
- Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Chicago.
- Over is 11-5-2 in the last 18 meetings.
Umpire (Dale Scott)
- Over is 3-0-1 in Scotts last 4 Wednesday games behind home plate.
- Over is 33-15-3 in Scotts last 51 games behind home plate.
Our Pick: Over 8.5 Runs
Ben Burns. Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Get on board with a subscription now; you won't regret it.
Jesse Schule is not a believer in systems or formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe, an approach that has proven extremely successful. You simply can't go wrong with a subscription from "The Iceman".
Mike Lundin. A former poker pro, Mike made his picks available to the public in June of 2014. The late start didn't stop him from finishing the year with a profit of $34,970 for $1,000/game clients! He has since racked up multiple Top 10 finishes across several sports. Join with a premium subscription and break the bookie.
