UCF Knights vs. East Carolina Pirates NCAAF Free Pick
Play On: UCF Knights+7.
Nice line value for the far better defensive team, who can claim a tie for AAC superiority with this victory tonight! The Knights have a 7-4 ATS record, including 5-2 ATS in conference play. Compare that to the 1-6 ATS log for the Pirates in AAC action. Yet, because they have a flashy offense and get far more ink, we are receiving nearly a TD more with our defensive dog. No doubt the Pirates can be an explosive offensive team behind QB Carden, they average 38 PPG and 364/7.7 through the air. Tonight, however, Carden faces the number 17 defense in the nation, a UCF team that allows just 17 PPG, 271 YPG and 4.2 YP play. That includes 166/5.0 through the air for the No. 1 pass efficiency defense in the country. QB Holtman, though not nearly as flashy, has led the Knights to a 3-0 SU ATS finish in which they have handled lower echelon teams Tulsa, SMU and USF by combined scores of 100-14. Must be eager to line up with the superior coach in UCF HC O’Leary, the better defense and the value price!