UNLV vs. Boise State Free Picks 11/18/16 – College Football Odds
UNLV Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos Free Picks 11/18/16. More Free College Football Predictions & Picks from expert handicappers.
The Boise State Broncos will host the UNLV Rebels at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho Friday night. The 4-6 Rebels are in need of win if they are to reach bowl eligibility this year while the 9-1 Broncos are in control their Mountain West Conference destiny, holding a 5-1 conference record. BSU won 55-27 at UNLV as a 21-point favorite last year.
The Broncos opened as a 26.5-point favorite, but the line has moved to BSU -28 at most books as of Friday morning. “Only” 56 percent of the tickets are backing Boise State, so while a line move could be expected this is a fairly big one, indicating a lot of sharp money on the home team. The total is set at 66.5 points with 57 percent of the tickets backing the over.
UNLV avoided a third consecutive loss when it defeated Wyoming 69-66 in overtime as a 7.5-point underdog last week. The Rebels rolled up 401 rushing yards and their 653 yards of total offense was the second most in school history.
UNLV has relied on its running game all season, but Kurt Palandech had a decent game under center throwing for 252 yards and three touchdowns. UNLV is scoring an average of 34.4 points per game, ranking them 41st overall, but its defense has plenty of holes in it and has conceded an average of 35.4 points per game on the season.
Rebels are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record but 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Over is 14-3 in Rebels last 17 conference games and 12-2 in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Boise State Broncos
The Broncos coasted toan easy win in a 52-16 rout at Hawaii as a 21.5-point favorite last week. They’re an undefeated 5-0 home at Albertsons Stadium, but not covered the spread in any of the victories.
Sophomore quarterback Brett Rypien is having an outstanding year, racking up 2916 passing yards with a 22:6 TD/INT ratio. Jeremy McNichols has rushed for 1216 yards on the ground, and leads the Nation with 22 touchdowns scored. Boise State’s powerful offense is averaging 36.5 points per game, ranking them 29th in the Nation while the team is 22 allowing points per game, ranking them 29th overall.
The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game but 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Over is 6-0 in Broncos last six Friday night games but under is 10-2 in their last 12 home games.
Our Prediction: Over 66.5 Points
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