Utah Utes vs. Colorado State Rams NCAAF Free Pick


Play On: Utah Utes -2. 

Wild Card in this analysis is the response of Colorado St. to the defection of HC McElwain to Florida after guiding his team to a 10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS mark.  That completes a turnaround that has seen the Ram fortunes move in a positive direction.  Colorado St. is now 18-8 SU L2Y after going 13-35 SU the previous 4 years.  They are now on a 20-9 ATS run.  Offensive fortunes have improved to 36 PPG and 498 YPG on 7.2 OFF YP play, behind QB Grayson (32/6) and RB Hart. Among their pointspread feathers are records of 8-3 ATS as dog and 9-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  But without knowing the response of Ram players to the loss of McElwain,

I will side with Utah in this matchup.  Replacement QB Wilson (17/4) and RB Wilson have kept this team competitive in rugged PAC 12 play. Against the vigorous competition of that league, Utah saw 7/9 conference games decided by 6 or less points.   In going 8-4 SU ATS this season, the Utes recorded 5 road wins.  A negative is a 0-5 ATS record as road or neutral favorite.  But, under HC Whittingham, this team is 8-2 ATS in Bowls, indicating his ability to motivate his team for these games and make them a priority.  Final positive indicator for the Utes is their 52 defensive sacks, a number that leads the nation and will make life miserable for QB Grayson.

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