Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars NCAAB Free Pick 02/11/15
Play Villanova Wildcats -4.5.
The Wildcats continue to win, and while they do not get the headlines of many marquee teams, they are 21-2 and ranked 6th in the nation. They have been playing some great defense and as I look at the last 5 games averages between these two teams, in a series where the road team has covered 11 out of the last 15, the point differential on defense is 14 ppg on points allowed, and that is significant, especially considering Providence is not a great 3 point shooting team and the Wildcats are ranked 16th in the nation in defending the 3 point shot.
When I look at the teams and their depth it favors Nova, and if you look at every single stat category that counts they all favor Nova, offense, defense, rebounding, bench points, free throws, FG %, and turnovers. So basically all the fundamentals side with Nova, and this is a short number even though Josh Hart is doubtful tonight for the Wildcats I think they have enough here to win by 8 points, and I have a 4 point overlay ion the spread with my power ratings. I will take Nova to continue to roll, despite the fact Providence has covered 6 out of the last 7 meetings, I also like trends to reverse.
Villanova -4.5 is my Free Pro Pick
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