Warriors vs. Hawks Free Pick 03/06/17 – Bryan Power NBA Predictions
By Bryan Power
1* Over Warriors/Hawks (7:35 ET):
Both teams played yesterday, failed to cover and stayed Under the total. The only difference is that the Warriors won their game, 112-105 in New York, while Atlanta lost SU at home to Indiana, 98-97. While a matchup of top five teams in defensive efficiency, I believe tonight’s game will go Over the total.
For Golden State, this is a low total. Yes, they don’t have Kevin Durant. But let us not forget that this was the top offense in the league each of the last two years before his arrival. They come into tonight averaging a league-best 117.5 points per game. Only Houston’s games average more total points per game than the Dubs’ 222.8. They’ve scored at least 108 pts in 16 of the last 17 games, Thursday’s somwhat disastrous showing at Chicago being the exception.
Atlanta sees its scoring rise to 106.1 PPG at home. They also allow 106.0 PPG at home. So they’re no strangers to high scoring games either. Yesterday’s tilt with Indiana saw the scoring slow way down in the 4Q, resulting in the team’s seventh Under in the last eight games. But the game before was a 135-130 final against Cleveland. Similarly, Golden State has now gone Under in five straight games. That’s certainly atypical. Due to the recent rash of Unders, this number is now too low. Slight recommendation to the Over.