Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Free Pick May 19, 2015

Published May 19, 2016.
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MLB Free Pick May 19, 2016
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
Play: Washington Nationals ML (-112)

Write up provided by Jimmy Boyd

Washington is showing great value here as a small road favorite against the Mets on Thursday. The Nationals evened up the series with a 7-1 win yesterday, as they finally got their offense going after scoring just 3 runs in their previous 3 games combined. I look for Washington to build off that win behind another strong outing from ace Stephen Strasburg.

The Nationals are a perfect 8-0 in Strasburg’s 8 starts this season, as he’s compiled a 2.95 ERA and 1.073 WHIP to start 2016. He’s been even better on the road, where his ERA is just 1.67. Strasburg also has a 2.78 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 9 career starts against the Mets.

New York will counter with Matt Harvey, who unlike Strasburg is off to a miserable start to the season. Harvey is just 3-5 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.532 WHIP over his first 8 starts and just gave up 5 runs on 11 hits in his last outing against the Rockies. The only reason the Nationals aren’t a bigger favorite is because of what Harvey has done in the past.

Mets are just 18-36 in their last 54 when listed as a dog of +100 to +150 and 1-4 in Harvey’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 or less runs in their previous game. Nationals are a dominant 21-6 in Strasburg’s last 27 starts, 7-0 in his last 7 on the road and 8-0 in his last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Take Washington!

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