Brandon Lee – Sports Handicapper

PICK - Auburn Tigers +11
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 625

I like the value here with Auburn as a double-digit dog against Alabama. This just feels like to many points for the Crimson Tide to be laying in this spot. With Saturday's win at Mississippi State the Crimson Tide secured the SEC regular-season title for the first time in 19 years. It would only be human nature for Alabama to suffer a letdown after that clinching performance against the Bulldogs. 

On the flip side of this Auburn will be 100% ready for this matchup. Not just because this is their biggest rival, but because they want revenge against the best team in the league. The Tigers let a win over Alabama pass them by earlier this season, as they fell 90-94 at home to the Crimson Tide. 

Auburn won't be lacking confidence coming into this one as they just upset Tennessee 77-72 as a 8-point home dog on Saturday. Sharife Cooper isn't expected to play here, but he also didn't play against the Vols and that was the best the Tigers have looked in weeks. Auburn is 8-2 ATS this season off a cover, while the Tide are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Give me the Tigers +11!

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40* GRIZZLIES/WIZARDS NBA ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +1) 

I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the Wizards as a home dog against the Grizzlies. Washington isn't viewed as a very good team and are just 13-19 on the season. Thing is the Wizards have been playing their best basketball over the last couple of weeks. Washington is 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games. 

The other big thing here is we are seeing Memphis way overvalued after their 133-84 thrashing of the Rockets on the road in their last game. That was more of Houston being an absolute mess than anything. Not saying the Grizzlies aren't a good team, but I don't think they should be favored on the road here. Wizards are 10-1 ATS last 11 home games after covering 4 of their last 5. Give me Washington +1! 

40* NUGGETS/BUCKS NBA ATS NO-BRAINER (Bucks -7) 

I got no problem laying the 7-points with Milwaukee at home against the Nuggets. I'm still pissed about Denver pulling off that stupid cover last night against the Bulls. Nuggets were lucky not to lose that game after leading by double-digits. I just don't see Denver having enough gas in the tank here to keep it close against a Bucks team that I believe is starting to get back on track. 

Not only are the Nuggets playing on no rest, this will be their 3rd road game in 4 days. A stretch that is that much more difficult when you factor in all the guys the Nuggets have been without. Bucks have won 5 straight and covered in 4 of those. They are also riding a huge wave of momentum after their comeback win at home over the Clippers last time out. Give me Milwaukee -7! 

40* DUKE/GA TECH NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Georgia Tech -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Yellow Jackets as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against Duke. The Blue Devils have been playing better here of late and all the talk right now is what Duke has to do to make the NCAA Tournament. I'm not denying that the Blue Devils are playing better, I just think it has them overvalued here against the Yellow Jackets. 

Georgia Tech is one of the better teams in the ACC that people don't know about. The Yellow Jackets are just 9-6 in league play, but could be much better as they have had a number of games not go their way late in games. They have figured out how to close games out here of late, as they come in having won 4 straight. One of those games they felt like they should have won that they didn't was a 68-75 loss at Duke earlier this season. No way they have forgot about that loss. Yellow Jackets are also 12-3 ATS last 15 at home after 2 straight games where they made 50% or more of their shots and a perfect 7-0 ATS last 3 seasons when they come in having won 3 or more games in a row. Give me Georgia Tech -1.5! 

50* KENTUCKY/OLE MISS NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Ole Miss -3) 

I love the value here with Ole Miss as a mere 3-point home favorite against Kentucky. Lot of people might be hesitant to back the Rebels after watching them lose outright at Vandy on Saturday as a 10.5-point favorite, especially given the Commodores were down their two best players. 

Thing is, the Rebels really didn't have much to play for. Even though Ole Miss had won 5 of 6 coming into that game, they know their only path to the NCAA Tournament is to win the SEC Tournament. Makes it pretty easy for them to struggle to show up with the right kind of mindset against a bad Vandy team that didn't figure to put up a fight without their two best players. 

I expect to see a completely different Ole Miss team when they take the floor here against Kentucky. I know the Wildcats have played better of late, but this is just not their season. Books have also continued to overvalue this team. Kentucky is just 3-9 ATS in their last 12. Give me Ole Miss -3! 

40* WAKE FOREST/PITT NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Pittsburgh -4.5) 

I will gladly take my chances here with Pitt as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against Wake Forest. I know the Panthers have had a couple of key guys decide to leave the team via the transfer portal, but it's not as bad as it might look. Pitt comes in having lost 5 straight and 8 of their last 9, but could easily have a winning record during this stretch. Of those 8 losses, 7 have come by 10 or fewer with 3 of them by 3 or fewer. 

I just think that this team has been so close that they are going to show up here and take care of business against the Demon Deacons. I don't even know if they need their best showing to win and cover here. Wake Forest has lost 5 straight and have struggled to even keep games close. In their last 4 games they have lost by 24 at home to Duke, by 18 at home to NC State, by 21 at home to Clemson and by 38 at Virginia Tech. Give me Pittsburgh -4.5!