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Free NFL Expert Picks
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10* FREE NFL PICK (Texans -7)
I’m sure this line is inflated a bit, but there’s just no way I’m risking my hard earned cash on this Jets team. We don’t even know if New York is going to show up for this game. A win here and the Jets will be flirting with not even having a pick in the Top 10.
Even if the Jets lay it all on the line in this game, there’s still a decent chance they lose by double-digits. Houston is the far superior team and I have to believe the Texans know just how important this game is. Nothing is a sure thing in the NFL and a loss this week and the pressure will really start to mount. I expect this team to be 100% locked in and that should be more than enough for them to cover this spread.
I’ve got major concerns for Jets’ rookie quarterback Sam Darnold. I get the feeling he might be one of those guys who has all the things scouts look for in the physical attributes of a quarterback, but not the smarts to be a top notch signal caller in the NFL. He’s thrown 15 interceptions with 8 of those coming in his last 4 starts. He’s also completing just 55.9% of his attempts and only putting up 6.72 yards/pass attempt. He’s not going to have leading rusher (Isaiah Crowell) or leading recover (Quincy Enunwa), as both are out for this game.
I just think with the talent the Texans have on the defensive side of the ball, most notably J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney, it’s pretty much a guarantee that Darnold makes a costly mistake. I also don’t think he’s capable of leading this team back if things were to spiral out of control early.
Houston hasn’t disappointed in this spot of late, as they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record. Jets on the other hand are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 off a win and 0-4 ATS in their last vs a team with a winning record. Give me the Texans -7!
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Arizona Cardinals +10
The Atlanta Falcons are just not in a good state of mind right now. And with their poor mental state, they have no business laying 10 points this week, not even against a team that’s considered to be one of the worst in the NFL in the Arizona Cardinals. Let’s dive a little deeper into Atlanta’s state of mind.
This is a Falcons team that went to the Super Bowl two years ago and lost to the Patriots in excruciating fashion. Then last year they earned their way back to the playoffs and even beat the Rams on the road before a tough loss to the Eagles. So this is a team used to playing in big games the past two seasons.
But here they sit at 4-9 on the season and with nothing to play for. It has been a challenge for them to find reasons to be motivated every week, and they just haven’t been. They got back to 4-4 on the season with back-to-back wins over the Giants and Redskins, but have completely fallen apart since.
Indeed, the Falcons are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. Four of those five losses came by double-digits, and the five losses have come by an average of 10.6 points per game. That’s the sign of a team that has quit, and at the very least one that is just going through the motions. How can they possibly be motivated to face this 3-10 Arizona team this week?
The Falcons have an atrocious defense that is giving up 28.2 points and 387.1 yards per game on the season. They have been even worse at home, giving up 28.7 points and 430.6 yards per game in their seven home games thus far. They are just 2-5 ATS at home this season, and 3-10 ATS overall.
The Cardinals have a first-year head coach and a rookie quarterback in Josh Rosen, who is making strides every week. They are exactly the type of team that even at 3-10 will show up every week. They certainly showed up two weeks ago in their last road game, a shocking 20-17 upset win at Green Bay as 13.5-point underdogs. That’s the same Packers team that just beat the Falcons 34-20 at home last week.
I think the Cardinals are being undervalued off their 3-17 home loss to the Lions last week. But that was one of the most misleading finals of the week. The Lions only had one offensive touchdown and managed just 218 total yards against this very solid Arizona defense. The Cardinals outgained them by 61 yards, yet lost by 14.
Rosen should get some help this week from running back David Johnson, who should have plenty of success against this Atlanta defense. The Falcons rank 26th in the NFL in giving up 131.2 rushing yards per game, and they are even worse ranking 29th in yards per carry (5.0) allowed. Opposing quarterbacks are also completing 71.3% of their passes inside the Georgia Dome this season. Rosen is in line for one of his best games of the season.
Plays on road teams (Arizona) - after failing to cover three of their last four games coming in, in December games are 43-16 (72.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Cardinals are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Arizona is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven against NFC opponents. The Falcons are 0-6 ATS in their last six vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Cardinals Sunday.
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Play - Tennessee Titans (Game 319).
Edges - Titans: 16-7 ATS all-time away versus NFC East; and 2-0 SUATS as dogs versus NFC East this season … Giants: 2-7 ATS home all-time versus AFC South … We recommend a 1* play on Tennessee. Thank you and good luck as always.
> > This is it. Marc’s Top Rated 10* NFL Game Of The Year is locked and loaded. It’s backed with jaw-dropping winning angles inside the game, including both coaches in NEVER LOST situations that are 21-0 ATS. If you’re serious about winning then you know exactly what to do!
This is a 1* Free Play on the Baltimore Ravens.
The Bucs did their best to play “spoiler” to the Saints last weekend and while they looked “OK” for one quarter, eventually they’d stumble and succumb to the superior team. The Bucs laid everything on the line at home and the result was a 28-14 setback. Now they have to hit the road and face the league’s No. 1 defense which comes in off a tough 27-24 OT road loss in KC. The Ravens will be hungry to return to form and to keep pace in the playoff picture.
Additionally note that Tampa is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine after a loss by ten points or more, while Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. Lay the points.
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #313 Dallas Cowboys over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX) Just believe that the wrong team is favored in this game. Dallas has won 5 straight games including beating teams that are better than what they will see from Indianapolis this week. The Colts need to win out to keep their slim hopes of a playoff berth alive and I just do not see that happening. They will struggle to move the football against the Cowboys defense and expect this to be a low scoring game. Dallas has covered the spread in 5 straight games during this 5 game winning streak. Indianapolis is 5-12 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 19 games following a victory in their previous game. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card. Monster runs going in all sports and now is the time to sign-up with a veteran handicapper that has been in business since 1971.
The Cowboys have completely turned their season around.
After it looked like they were down and out, the offense has completely shifted gears with Amari Cooper coming over. He added the value on Sunday as he caught a deflected pass in overtime to help Dallas grab a win over Philadelphia.
They hold value here on Sunday as the Colts haven't been as sharp as they'd like to be as of late. Indianapolis has been sloppy taking caring of the ball and have struggled to cover the number at home.
Grab the points here. Back Dallas.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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This time of year the NFL can be a bit tricky, even for professional handicappers. I try to stay away from playing teams, and moreover entire games that do not have any meaning. If a team has no shot at making the post-season, I, personally, won't make a play on them. If there is a matchup where both combatants are done, come the end of December, I don't play the game at all. Many bettors tend to over think the situation. For me, trying to rationalize if a team is playing for pride, or a head coach needing a contract extension, or in some cases, a draft pick, is too many "ifs" to factor in. This Sunday and Monday, I have the highest-rated NFL card yet this season, in my NFL 21-3 NO LIMIT, 13-2 DOMINATOR, 21-4 VEGAS INSIDER, NFC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH, and my MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR. Let's finish off the regular season with a HUGE PAYDAY$$$
Sunday's FREE NFL WINNER is the New England Patriots.
1:25 pm pst.
Yes, New England lost last week's matchup in Miami, 34-33. But, in all honesty, they haven't fared too well there, going 1-5 SU the last six at Hard Rock Stadium. One thing about the Patriots....they are money in bounce back situations, going 45-19-1 ATS the L65 games played following a SU loss. Pittsburgh is on a 3-game slide and haven't covered a game in over a month. They are banged-up and with no real ground game to keep defenses honest, they are having issues scoring points, which is resulting in their defense spending more time on the field, and in turn, yielding more points. More pressure on the aging, Big Ben, who doesn't have the talent pool as in recent years, this is why the QB has 7 TD's and a whopping, 6 INT's over the L4games. New England has taken 5 in a row in this series, going 4-1 ATS. The Steelers are 1-7 ATS the L8 games played in December and 3-8 ATS the L11 games played at home. The Patriots are 24-10 ATS the L34 vs. the AFC and 17-7 ATS the L24 on the road. Take New England. Thank you.