NFL Expert Free Picks & Predictions

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our Sunday Free Play. We have seen line movement in this game based on recent results and of course, recent trades. Minnesota could not keep up with Buffalo as its quarterback play let down again and it was time for a move so the Vikings reunited with Kirk Cousins and he will be making the start. He was above average in Las Vegas as he threw 20 touchdowns, trailing only Joe Burrow and while his eight interceptions were a concern, he will be working with a better receiving corps and he knows this system. The defense will remain stout and while stopping Green Bay is unlikely, they just need to slow them down. The public is going to be all over Green Bay based on what they did to the Patriots last week and as long as we can get that key number of 3, this has the makings of a great divisional battle. Here, we play on road teams off a home loss by 10 or more points, with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 on the season. This situation is 21-7 (75 percent) since 2017. Play (275) Minnesota Vikings

Matt is coming off a win with Washington on Thursday to open Week Ten and he is now a SIZZLING 39-17-4 ATS to start the season in the NFL! ! In total, he has FIVE Premium Winners for Sunday highlighted by his AFC Game of the Year which are on a 17-9-1 run and culminated with a Primetime Winner which are 19-3-1 on the season!

Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Cardinals +10

The NFL Comp play is on the Tennessee Titans plus the 10-11 points at 1 eastern. Rob notes that Home dogs of more than 7 with 10+ days rest have covered 14 of 16 times if they scored more than 10 points since 1991. The Jaguars likely bag the win here but the game should stay within the number as the Titans have covered 8 of 10 with rest while The Jags have failed to cover 7 of 9 vs a team with rest. Look for the Titans to get the cover here. GL Rob -V

1* Free Pick on Raiders +3½

Seattle rolls into Las Vegas without its starting quarterback, and I don't think a field goal and a half properly prices what this offense looks like right now.

Sam Darnold is out. Drew Lock is in line to start again, and even he is questionable with Jalen Milroe behind him, a quarterback who hasn't taken a regular-season snap this year. Seattle has scored 17 points in back-to-back games with Lock running the show, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba just posted a season low in receiving yards working with him.

The protection in front of Lock is a problem too. Left tackle Charles Cross and guard Quenton Nelson are both doubtful. A backup quarterback behind a patchwork line on the road is a hard way to cover anything.

Seattle is averaging just 19.4 points over its last 5, and the Seahawks are 2-3 in that stretch. This is not the offense the market remembers from earlier in the season.

The Raiders can score on anybody. Kirk Cousins has produced 21 total touchdowns through nine starts. Brock Bowers has hit 70 receiving yards in all seven of his appearances with 6 touchdowns, and Matt Gay is 19-for-21 on field goals kicking indoors. Vegas is averaging 26.4 points a game and hung 38 on the Jets two weeks ago.

Seattle's defense is legitimately good, no argument there. But against a limited offense that struggles to reach 20, the Raiders only need to keep this a one-score game, and they have the weapons to do it at home.

Give me the Raiders +3.5 (-110) in Seahawks at Raiders.

Texans -4.5

Houston is finding its offensive rhythm at exactly the right time, and Cleveland is walking into a matchup that doesn't favor its defense. The Texans just hung 44 points on the Chargers, and that balanced attack should give the Browns plenty of headaches. Houston can establish the ground game early, forcing Cleveland to respect the run before opening up opportunities through the air. Deshaun Watson facing his former team makes for a nice storyline, but revenge doesn't block anybody or stop an offense that's gaining momentum. With playoff positioning on the line, Houston has the weapons to create separation and turn this into a comfortable win. Lay the points with the Texans. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the Texans -4.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Sunday FREE NFL ATS Play

The current run has been strong. A BIG Card is going up for this weekend, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Sunday’s late-window matchup at AT&T Stadium pits a high-octane 49ers attack against a Cowboys defense that has spent most of the season looking for answers. The total sits at 55.5 after opening lower, and the ingredients on both sides of the ball point toward a game that can clear it.

Brock Purdy has been efficient all year, completing passes at a high rate with 17 touchdowns against five interceptions and a passer rating north of 109. He operates in a scheme that creates clean windows and easy completions, and he has already shown he can move the chains with his legs when needed. Dak Prescott counters with volume. He has thrown for over 2,300 yards with 16 scores, leaning on CeeDee Lamb as the primary target. Lamb has already cleared 900 receiving yards with seven touchdowns. When Prescott has time, the Cowboys can pile up yards quickly through the air. The quarterback contrast is not about who is better in a vacuum; it is about two capable passers facing defenses with clear vulnerabilities. Purdy gets a soft run front and a secondary that has been gashed on third downs. Prescott faces a 49ers defense that is stingier overall but still allows enough explosive plays to keep drives alive.

The running game tilts the scale further. Christian McCaffrey remains the engine of the 49ers’ offense, with nine rushing touchdowns and a dual-threat role that forces defenses to account for him on every snap. Dallas ranks near the bottom of the league in rushing yards allowed per game, giving up well over 140 on the ground and ranking among the worst units on third down. The Cowboys have surrendered multiple long runs this season, including several of 40-plus yards. When a scheme like Kyle Shanahan’s can mix zone runs, misdirection, and play-action off the run, a defense that struggles to set the edge tends to give up chunk plays. George Kittle adds another layer. He has been productive in the intermediate areas and in the red zone, and Dallas has not consistently taken those routes away.

On the other side, the Cowboys’ offense can keep pace. They average more than 27 points per game themselves, and their passing game has the pieces to stress a secondary. The 49ers defense is improved and ranks among the better units in points allowed, but it is not immune to big plays, particularly when the opposing quarterback can get the ball out quickly to Lamb. Both teams convert in the red zone at solid rates, which raises the ceiling when drives reach the 20-yard line.

The systems clash in a way that favors scoring. Shanahan’s offense ranks near the top of the league in yards per play and red-zone efficiency. It is designed to create numbers advantages and keep defenses guessing between the run and the pass. Dallas’ defense ranks near the bottom in total yards allowed, third-down stops, and points allowed. They have given up 20 or more points in a long stretch of consecutive games, a franchise-length streak that has stretched across multiple months. When a team that converts at a high rate on third down faces a unit that ranks last in that category, sustained drives become more likely. The Cowboys’ own offense, built around Prescott’s arm and Lamb’s separation, has shown it can score in bunches even when the defense is struggling. Recent Cowboys games have produced totals in the high 40s, 50s, and 60s multiple times this season. San Francisco’s last outing was a 38-17 win, continuing a pattern of putting points on the board against weaker fronts.

Longer-term patterns in the series reinforce the scoring outlook. The rivalry has produced several high-scoring games in recent years. The 2023 meeting ended 42-10 in favor of the 49ers. The 2024 game finished 30-24. The 2020 contest went 41-33. While not every meeting has been a shootout, the sample includes multiple results well above 50 combined points, especially when both offenses are functional. AT&T Stadium is a controlled indoor environment, removing wind or weather as a limiting factor. The line movement from the mid-52s up to 55.5 reflects money coming in on the over as the matchup details have settled.

Neither side is limited to a ground-and-pound approach that grinds the clock. Both have playmakers who can turn short fields or broken plays into touchdowns. McCaffrey and Kittle create matchup problems in space for Dallas. Lamb and the Cowboys’ receivers create separation against a 49ers secondary that has had to cover a lot of ground this year. When two offenses that rank in the top half of the league in scoring face defenses with clear soft spots—one that cannot stop the run or third downs, the other that is good but not elite at eliminating explosives—the combined output tends to climb.

The 55.5 number is not a soft total for a game featuring these two attacks. It is the highest on the Week 10 slate for a reason. The player-level edges, the scheme mismatches, the recent scoring form on both sides, and the indoor setting all lean the same direction. History between the clubs shows they are capable of clearing numbers in this range when the offenses are clicking. Everything points to a game that can go over 55.5.

My selection is on Arizona plus the points over Los Angeles at 4:05 pm et on Sunday.

Bettors figure to line up to back the Rams on Sunday as they roll into this game on the heels of three straight wins both SU and ATS and just welcomed back Myles Garrett to an already fearsome defense last week. Of course, Arizona is down to third-string rookie quarterback Carson Beck after trading away Jacoby Brissett and losing backup Gardner Minshew to an injury. I don't expect the Cardinals to put too much on Beck's plate here. While Arizona isn't a great team, it hasn't given up on the season, having split its last four games. The problem for the Cards has been stringing together consecutive strong performances which is why last Sunday's rather lifeless 14-3 loss in Seattle wasn't a surprise following an 'upset' win in Dallas the week previous. Arizona continues to play hard defensively, holding six of its nine opponents to 5.8 yards per play or fewer this season and its last two foes to just 3.8 and 4.8 yards per play. The Rams offense has been anything but explosive for much of the season and will be without WR Puka Nacua who joins Davante Adams on the sidelines this week. This one might not be pretty but we'll grab all the points we can get with Arizona. Take Arizona (8*).

1* Free Pick on Chiefs/Falcons over 47

3* on under