Free MLB Picks For Today

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our Monday Free Play. Washington took two of three against the skidding Athletics and is just two games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Nationals have been a better road team this season but this is Coors Field where anything can happen. The Rockies took the middle game of their three-game series with the Reds and they continue to be respectable at home where they are 23-27 and those are only two fewer wins than all of last season. Kyle Freeland is coming off a pair of poor starts to end the first half but both of those were on the road and he has actually fared better this season at Coors Field. We are not saying it has been good by any stretch but he is on an equal playing field tonight as far as pitching goes. Andrew Alvarez has split time between starting and long relief and neither has been great with his 4.04 ERA and while has been better on the road with his 2.45 ERA, it has only been in 18.2 innings and not in Colorado. Play (908) Colorado Rockies

Fargo is coming off a loss with the Phillies on Sunday to close an awful weekend but it is a new week and he is back Monday to continue the awesome start to the season. THREE WINNERS Monday to go for the 3-0 SWEEP!

Ricky's 1* play on PHI.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Philadelphia are 9-2 in its last 11 games against an opponent in the National League West Division.

- LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.

- LA Dodgers ared 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Cubs -110

1* Free Pick on Cardinals +106

1* Free Sharp Play on Tigers vs Cubs over 11½ -105

Monday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Tigers -101

1* Free Pick on Padres +135

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

At first glance this looks like an easy Milwaukee play. The Brewers own the much better record, Jacob Misiorowski has been sensational with a 1.62 ERA, and they're coming off a sweep of Miami. That's exactly why the Mets are offering value.

The biggest reason is the Luck Factor. New York owns a -9.22 Luck Rating, the lowest in baseball, while Milwaukee sits at +5.97, one of the highest. The 15.19-point gap is the largest on Monday's board. Our long-held theory is that the market eventually overprices the luckiest teams and discounts the unluckiest ones, creating value on clubs like the Mets.

The pitching matchup isn't as lopsided as the ERA suggests. Misiorowski has been dominant, but this is his first start since July 7 after missing his final pre-break outing because of arm fatigue. Milwaukee says the extra rest was precautionary, but any time a young pitcher returns after an extended layoff, there's at least some uncertainty about workload and sharpness.

Meanwhile, Freddy Peralta's season numbers (4.66 ERA) are inflated by a handful of disastrous outings. His strikeout ability remains intact with 104 punchouts in just over 104 innings, giving him swing-and-miss stuff capable of matching up with any lineup on a given night. If he simply avoids the big inning, the underdog price becomes attractive.

The Mets also arrive with momentum after taking the series finale in Philadelphia, beating the Phillies 6-1 behind six shutout innings from Nolan McLean while Francisco Lindor powered the offense with three hits and three RBIs.

Finally, this line appears to be charging a premium for Milwaukee's recent form. The Brewers have won six of their last ten and just completed a sweep, while New York's poor overall record continues to suppress its market value. That's exactly the type of pricing imbalance Luck Factor seeks to exploit.

Bottom line: Milwaukee is the better team, but betting is about price, not simply picking the better club. With the largest Luck Gap of the day (15.19), a live strikeout pitcher in Peralta, and a sizable underdog return, the Mets offer the stronger betting value than the odds imply.

1* MLB - Dodgers/Phillies FREE PICK on Phillies -128

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Monday 7-20-26

Oakland @ Arizona (9:40 PM EST)
Play On: Arizona -155

The Oakland A's travel to Arizona to take on the Diamondbacks on Monday night.

This is a FREE PLAY on the OVER A's/D-Backs.

I think the D-Backs will maintain their offensive momentum following their most recent 8-7 extra innings win over the Cardinals.

I also don't trust the A's Jeffrey Springs (3-9, 6.08 ERA), nor the D-Backs' Mitch Bratt (0-0, 6.00 ERA).

The opener of this series has "OVER" written all over it in my opinion.

Good luck, NP

Giants vs Royals MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): Royals right-hander Michael Wacha (5-7, 3.77 ERA) enters this start with one of the stronger quality-start profiles on the Kansas City staff, piling up 12 quality outings that speak to his ability to work six-plus innings and keep damage in check. Historically, Wacha has dominated this franchise, going 3-1 with a 1.94 ERA across 10 career starts versus the Giants, and even though his last meeting with them came back in 2024, that track record still creates a psychological edge.

Giants righty Trevor McDonald (3-7, 5.02 ERA) has been volatile with a WHIP hovering around 1.30, and recent form shows inconsistency in both strikeout production and ability to avoid the long ball, including home runs allowed in back-to-back starts.

The Bet: Royals (3%).

Mike's been going through a rough stretch, but the longer-term results don’t lie: 28-15 (65%), +$12,560 with MLB runlines on $1,000 wagers since April 24. He has two MLB runline premium picks, one 4% TOP PLAY, locked in for Monday.

Marc David Sports' Free Pick

We really like the road team in this matchup. The Nationals lost some momentum just before the All-Star break, but they came out of the break and took two of three from the A’s in Oakland. The Nats are 0–3 in Andrew Alvarez’s (2–3, 4.04 ERA) last three starts, yet this still sets up well for him given that Colorado struggles with left-handed pitching, while the Nats absolutely obliterates them, so this could turn into a short night for Kyle Freeland (2-8, 7.36).

This is a FREE PLAY on the NATIONALS!

[1%] Free Play on Cubs under 12 -110

3* on Tigers

PSP Data Driven 1* Rays +1.5

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. The Blue Jays are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. The Rays are 5-1 in the last 6 head to head meetings.