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John Ryan

Game Details
Apr 27 '24, 1:00 PM in 10h
NBA | Cavs vs Magic
Play on: OVER 201½ -110
Game Analysis

Cavaliers vs Magic

1 ET | Kia Center

5-Unit Bet on the Over currently priced at 201.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 22-10-1 Over record good for 69% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·      Bet the Over.

·      The home team priced between a 3.5-point favorite and a 3.5-point underdog.

·      The game occurs in the playoffs.

·      The home team is coming off a home win.

·      The road team shot less than 25% from beyond the arc.

 

Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add the remaining 25% of your 8-Unit best bet at 196.5 points during the first half of action.

My predictive model shows an 82% probability that the Magic have an 85% probability that they will score 111 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. In home games over the last five seasons the Magic have seen the Over go 31-11 for 74% winning bets when they have met these performance measures in games that had a posted total of 200 or more points.

Pick Released on Apr 26 at 02:24 pm
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