The Best Free NBA Expert Picks Tonight

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Nets/Kings OVER 235.5

Two good offensive teams that don't mind getting up and down square off tonight when the Brooklyn Nets visit the Sacramento Kings.  The Kings rank 10th in pace, 12th in offensive rating and 20th in defensive rating this season.  The Nets rank 18th in pace, 7th in offensive rating and 18th in defensive rating.

The Kings will control the tempo playing at home and this will be and up and down game.  The OVER is 7-2 in Sacramento's nine home games this season and we're seeing an average of 240.9 combined points per game in those games.

Brooklyn games are averaging 239.1 combined points per game on the road this season where they have been much more high scoring.  Their last trip to Sacramento resulted in a 153-121 win for the Kings and 274 combined points.

The OVER is 34-19 in Kings last 53 home games.  Sacramento is 19-6 OVER in its last 25 home games when playing just its 2nd game in 5 days.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

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No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a 2550-2157 NBA Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $224,910! He is a 7-Time Top 10 NBA Capper (#1 2012-13, #2 2020-21, #2 2021-22, #3 2017-18, #7 2008-09, #9 2015-16, #10 2011-12) as well! He is also on a 840-662 NBA Run over the long haul!

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1* NBA - Raptors/Knicks FREE PICK on Knicks -4

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Detroit Pistons +7.5

This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Indiana Pacers.  They made it all the way to the championship game of the in-season tournament only to lose to the Los Angeles Lakers.  I don't see them being motivated at all to face the Detroit Pistons tonight.  This is a Pistons team on a 19-game losing streak, so you can see why the Pacers won't be motivated.  They already don't play any defense and I expect their defensive effort to be worse than usual in this one.  The Pistons have had the last two days off and want to get this losing streak over with.  Don't be surprised if they pull off the upset tonight, and at the very least keep it close.  Give me the Pistons.

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Dave's Monday Free Play:

1* on New Orleans Pelicans -3.5

The Key: The Pelicans have already lost to the Timberwolves twice this season.  They want to avenge those two defeats.  The Timberwolves may not have Anthony Edwards, who was removed from the previous game with a hop injury.  The Pelicans are as healthy as they have been all year and advanced to the semifinals of the in-season tournament before losing to the eventual champion Lakers.  They have had the last 3 days off to rest and get ready to face the Timberwolves.  I like the price we are getting on the Pelicans given the injury situation, the revenge and the fact that the Timberwolves are getting too much respect off 6 straight victories against an extremely soft schedule.  Take New Orleans.

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7* NBA - Spurs/Rockets Free Pick

PLAY ON: Rockets -8.5

I'm laying the 8.5 with the Rockets at home against the Spurs. This might seem like a big number to lay with Houston, but it's really not. San Antonio hasn't won a game in more than a month (Nov. 2nd). They come in on a 16-game losing streak. Out of those 16 losses, only 3 were decided by fewer than 7 points. Plenty of motivation for Houston to come out of the mini break for the in-season tournament. Even though they have won their last two and fresh off an upset win at Denver, they are just 4-6 in their last 10. Houston is 9-1 SU and 9-1 ATS at home this season, where they are winning by an average of 12.9 ppg. Spurs are getting outscored on average by 16.7 ppg in road games this season. Give me the Rockets -8.5! 

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Brooklyn is putting up 116.9 points a game and is shooting 47.3% from the field and 38.7% from three. They are first in three-point percentage, and second in fastbreak points.  Brooklyn ranks third in total rebounds per game. Brooklyn is giving up 113.1 PPG and their opponents shoot 45% from the field and 35.2% from three. The Kings are putting up 116.4 points a game and are shooting 46.4% from the field and 35.4% from deep. The Kings are giving up 116.7 points and their opponents are shooting 49.2% from the field and 37.5% from deep. Both offenses are in the top 12 in offensive rating but in the bottom half of defensive rating. The Kings average more points at home and the Nets average more points on the road than at home. Brooklyn is a well balanced team, with seven players averaging double-digits. The Kings have six players averaging double-digit points. Both teams have scoring depth and and not great on the defensive end. I like this game over the number.

Play on the OVER. This is a FREE PLAY.

Ricky's 1* play on NY.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

-  New York are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.

-  Toronto are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

 - Toronto are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

Verdict: The Value is on the home favorite.

This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our Monday Free Play. Cleveland has won three straight games, going 2-0-1 ATS, and has been victorious in five of its last six games to move to 13-9 on the season. The Cavaliers are sitting in the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference and are in a tough spot with a pair of games at Boston on deck. The Cavaliers have been a much better team on the road as they are 7-3 and that is keeping this price sport. Orlando snapped a two-game losing streak with a blowout home win over Detroit on Friday to improve to 15-7 on the season, good for a tie for No. 2 with Milwaukee in the conference. The Magic have been exceptional on defense as they are No. 2 in defensive efficiency which is a vast improvement from their No. 17 ranking last season. Orlando has been dominant at home where it is 10-1 and outscoring opponents by over 14 ppg. Overall, the Magic are a perfect 8-0 when favored. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 off a home win by 20 points or more. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (540) Orlando Magic

The NFL Regular and Postseason record is 111-90-3 (+$11,410) since the start of last season. 2 Monday Winners. College Hoops 13-1 and 38-15 CBB runs. CBB Monday Winner. NBA +$11,410 run. NBA Triple Play tonight.

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR MONDAY, 12/11:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Monday is with the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points versus the Washington Wizards. Philadelphia (14-7) has won two straight games after their 125-114 victory against Atlanta as an 8.5-point favorite on Friday. The 76ers have then covered the points spread in 18 of their last 26 home games after a straight-up win at home. They have also covered the point spread in 24 of their last 37 home games with the Total set at 220 or higher. Washington (3-18) has lost four games in a row after their 124-97 loss at Brooklyn as a 9.5-point underdog on Friday. The Wizards have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after losing four of their last five games. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 30 games when playing with two days of rest. Take Philadelphia minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports BROKE OUT with a 4-0 sweep in All-Sports on Sunday including a 3-0 NFL mark headlined by DELIVERING their 25* NFC East Game of the Year on Dallas! Frank is on a 24 of 35 (69%) NFL TOTALS TEAR with featured 25*/20*/10* plays after his 2-0 NFL Totals mark yesterday to fuel his 56 of 84 (67%) NFL Totals featured plays run — and now he furthers his 15 of 23 (65%) NFL Game of the Month/Year Totals mark with his 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Month tonight! DO NOT MISS OUT!

The Bucks returned home after losing to the Pacers, 128-119, this past Thursday in Las Vegas during the semifinals of the NBA's inaugural in-season tournament. The Bucks were the top seed in the tournament.

Milwaukee won't have to wait long to get revenge. The Bucks host the Pacers on Wednesday. But first there is this matchup. The Bulls have taken this rivalry far more serious than the Bucks have for years.

Chicago is hot, too, riding a season-best four-game winning streak. The Bulls have beaten two good teams during this streak - the Pelicans and Bucks.

The Bucks are serious title contenders because they traded for Damian Lillard. However, they lost Jrue Holiday in that trade. That has considerably weakened Milwaukee's defense. The Bucks rank 24th defensively. They are giving up six more points per game than the Bulls, who rank 14th defensively.

(Editor's note: Stephen is 10-6-1 on his last 17 NBA plays and 15-8 on his past 23 college basketball plays. Stephen has a pair of NBA plays and one CBB play today in addition to this free selection. He also has an NFL totals play going looking to go 83-57-3 on his last 143 NFL totals.)

PSP's Data Driven NBA Free Pick

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind.

Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Pistons. Indiana are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Detroit. Indiana are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.

Monday NBA Free play. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Monday.

The Pacers should be in a foul mood after falling flat in the final of the in-season tournament against the Lakers on Saturday. Indiana was never all that competitive in that game and eventually folded the tent in the fourth quarter. I look for a strong bounce-back performance against the 2-20 Pistons on Monday. Ordinarily a team like the Pacers might overlook Detroit but I don't believe that will be the case here. Note that the Pistons will be playing with revenge after suffering a 136-113 loss in Indiana on November 24th. That's of little consequence, however, as Detroit is a woeful 11-28 ATS in its last 39 games when seeking same-season revenge against an opponent. The Pacers have dropped the cash in consecutive games just once all season. Take Indiana.