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Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Arizona Cardinals -1

The Arizona Cardinals improved down the stretch last year once Kyler Murray returned.  They built off that positive momentum all offseason and should be one of the more improved teams in the NFL.  I was impressed with the Cardinals taking the Bills to the brink in a 34-28 road loss last week, covering as 7-point dogs.

Now the Cardinals return for their home opener against the Los Angeles Rams.  This isn't the same Rams team as last year that made the playoffs because they have been decimated by injuries, plus their best defensive player in Aaron Donald retired.

The Rams suffered two more injuries to their offensive line in their opener against Detroit and now may be without as many as four starting offensive linemen.  Last year's Offensive Rookie of the Year in Puka Nacua suffered a knee injury against the Lions and is out for at least four weeks.  The Rams are also dealing with injuries at cornerback on defense.

Despite all these injuries, the Rams managed to take the Lions to OT, but fell short in a 26-20 defeat on Sunday Night Football.  The Lions really ran them over in OT with David Montgomery and bully ball.  The Cardinals are capable of doing the same thing with James Conner as they want to be a run-first team.

I question how the Rams bounce back mentally from that loss to the Lions.  They wanted revenge from their 24-23 playoff loss and came up just short again.  Matthew Stafford really wanted it against his former team and played as well as you could expect given the circumstances.  I question whether or not he can do it again with all these O-Line injuries and being without Nacua.

Speaking of revenge, the Cardinals want some of it themselves after being owned by Sean McVay over the years.  I would almost never beat against McVay when facing the Cardinals because of it.  But this is the best Arizona team he has seen in quite some time, and this is one of the worst Rams teams given all their injuries.

I'm expecting this line to climb due to these injuries as we get closer to Sunday, so getting Arizona -1 on Wednesday is a nice value currently.  Bet the Cardinals Sunday.

FREE PLAY on Cubs

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on West Virginia minus the points over Pittsburgh at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.

The Backyard Brawl will take place at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh on Saturday and this year's instalment features plenty of intrigue. I can't help but feel the wrong team is favored, even with Pittsburgh sporting the better record in the early going.

If you watched Pitt's come-from-behind win over Cincinnati last week you know that it really had no business winning that game. The Bearcats built a big lead and then stopped playing. I still find Cincinnati's hiring of head coach Scott Satterfield prior to last season a curious move but that's another story.

Last week's game was marred by poor quarterback play. Panthers QB Eli Holstein has shown flashes of brilliance but he's still a work-in-progress. Backfield burner Desmond Reid had to leave the game several times after getting banged-up. He can be a game-breaker but as a smallish back his durability is a question.

I'm high on the West Virginia defense in particular. This is a team that got off to a tough start to the season with a strange game against Penn State that included a long weather delay in Week 1. The Mountaineers rebounded as expected against FCS squad Albany last week, winning 49-14. I like the fact that they had a glorified scrimmage while Pitt was involved in such a hard-fought battle on the road against Cincinnati. Take West Virginia.

Mariners -102

The Mariners are worth a free play on Wednesday night as they take on San Diego. The Padres send out Michael King, who this Seattle offense can get to. He’s had some issues this season when it comes to pitching on the road and the Mariners offense tends to hit better inside this ballpark. Woo goes for the M’s and he owns just a 2.36 ERA this year. He allowed just 2 runs last time out and he’s been able to work deep into games and has consistently given the Mariners chances to win when he’s on the hill. This is a good spot and price for Seattle as they will have their chances against King. My daily free plays are meant to be 5* bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the MARINERS ML tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray

Wednesday 5* FREE MLB ML Play

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1* FREE INFO PLAY

1* MLB - Cubs/Dodgers FREE PICK on Cubs +155

1* Free Sharp Play on A's

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Under in Nevada Wolf Pack @ Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 14 BTN) We hit a free pick under last week and we will try for two in a row in this game. Nevada offense is better than last year, but it still struggles to score points on a consistent basis. Minnesota will be able to stop the run and that will mean Nevada have to move the football through the air. I do not see them having much success in that department. Minnesota ran it up last week against an FCS team, but they scored just 17 points against North Carolina in Week 1, a team that is traditionally bad on defense. I see about 40 total points being scored in this game and we will hit the under with this free play. Do not miss out on our weekend football card, featuring a top play in the NFL and a slate of winners all weekend long. Sign-up now and let Doc’s Sports and their 53 years of handicapping experience work for you.

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Wednesday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Giants -134

I'm betting the Giants -134 on the money line in Wednesday's home game against the Brewers. San Francisco will have Blake Snell on the mound. Snell only pitched 1 inning in his last start, but it wasn't all that bad. He wasn't hit hard, defense let him down and his command was just off. Snell had a 1.30 ERA in his previous appearances, with 10 or more K's in 4 outings. He also allowed 1 or fewer earned runs in 7 of those 10 appearances. Snell will be facing a Brewers offense that has scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5. Brewers will have Colin Rea on the mound. He's given up 9 ER over his last 3 starts (only 4 innings in each of his last 2 starts). He's also given up 10 ER over his last 3 starts vs SF. Give me the Giants -134! 

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PSP Data Driven 1* Free Pick.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind.
Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Houston are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland. Oakland are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Moneyline) .. 

While the Dodgers have now lost consecutive games, I believe that they will get back in the win column here on Wednesday evening. Los Angeles will give the ball to Bobby Miller (2-4, 7.79 ERA, 48 SO) who's been abysmal since his first start this season. He even got sent down to the Minor's already this season. Having said that, Miller is better than he's been pitching. He's got excellent stuff and is someone who could be very good for years to come for this organization. 

For the Cubs, Jordan Wicks (2-3, 4.03 ERA, 36 SO) will get the nod. Wicks is coming off a sub-par start allowing three runs in five innings pitched. Wicks has much worse stats on the road and his WHIP is very high. With the Dodgers playing this game at home, I believe that Miller will find his groove and pitch well here on Wednesday. Play on the Dodgers. 

Score Prediction: 6-2 Dodgers.

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