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Dave’s Sunday Free Play:
1* on Atlanta Falcons +3
The Key: The Las Vegas Raiders are in a tough situation today. They must travel out East for an early start time here and try and shake off their 31-35 loss to the Chiefs in which they allowed the winning touchdown in the final minute. The Chiefs are their biggest rivals, so they could easily suffer a hangover here from that defeat. And the price is right to back a Falcons team coming off a bad loss to the Saints. The Falcons have won 3 of their previous 4 with their only loss coming by a single point. They will keep going hard under head coach Raheem Morris as they have been since he took over. And they will have Calvin Ridley healthy and could have Julio Jones back after he got hurt against the Saints. The Raiders have one of the worst pass rushes in the NFL so Matt Ryan won’t be getting sacked 8 times like he did against the Saints. He’ll have time to pick apart a soft Raiders defense that yields 27.6 PPG this year. The Raiders are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games off 4 or more consecutive ATS wins. Take Atlanta.
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Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Rotation #258 Sunday Free Pick Jacksonville Jaguars (+) vs Cleveland Browns @ 1 ET - The Browns are 7-3 this season but getting outgained and outscored on the season. Granted the margins are small in both categories but I feel Cleveland is over-rated as a result. This is not the type of dominant team I would think of as a 7-3 team. The Browns were on an 0-4 ATS run prior to beating a bad Eagles team last week and they only beat them by 5 points. That said, I do like the big home dog value here with the Jaguars. Yes, I am aware that Jacksonville is an ugly 1-9 SU on the season and has lost 9 straight games SU. However, this team had covered back to back games before getting beat bad by Pittsburgh last week. That was a turnover-fueled loss for the Jaguars. Now the Jags are back home again for a 2nd straight week and I expect them to be much better than they were last week against a Steelers team that is 10-0 on the season. Keep in mind, the Browns lost by 31 when they faced Pittsburgh. This is simply not a great Cleveland team and their last 3 wins have all been by a margin of 5 or less points. I believe this one will too...that is, if the Browns even win! I am grabbing the generous points here. Free Pick JACKSONVILLE
1* Free Sharp Play on Nordsjaelland +200
*All soccer picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*
R&R Totals FREE NFL Over-Under Sunday 11-29-20
UNDER 48 1/2 -106 Cleveland/Jacksonville
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R&R Totals has a TOP NFL Over-Under for Sunday! Now an impressive 157-124 (56%) over his last 305 OVERALL picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $23,450 since February 29, 2020!
PICK - Bears/Packers UNDER 44
I think there's a lot to like with the UNDER 44 when the Packers host the Bears on Sunday Night Football. This Chicago offense is a joke. Not only do they got very little to work with at the skill positions, but the offensive line is atrocious. Not many QBs could have success with that unit.
Mitch Trubisky will be back under center for the Bears. Just because we haven't seen Trubisky in weeks, doesn't mean he's going to look any different. Only thing he brings to the table that Foles doesn't have is mobility, which I think will help the UNDER. Good chance Trubisky keeps a few drives going with his feet. That means more time of the clock and more time where Aaron Rodgers doesn't have the ball.
Speaking of Rodgers and the Packers offense, they couldn't have looked much worse in the 2nd half of last week's loss to the Colts. When you really look at the schedule for GB, you see they have played a lot of bad defensive teams.
Last year in the two games between these two teams they combined for 47 points. They only scored 13 in the first meeting and then 34 in the second matchup. Packers haven't scored more than 24 points in 5 straight meetings in the series.
It also worth pointing out that it's going to be right around freezing with a 15 mph cross-wind that could get stronger as the game goes on.
UNDER is 12-2-1 in the Bears last 15 games vs a team that's won more than 70% of their games and 8-2 in their last 10 when on a losing streak of 4 or more. Give me the UNDER 44!
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Mikey Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 11-29-20
NY Jets +7 1/2 -121
Mikey cashed again yesterday with Clemson! 100% with all football picks the past 4 weeks!! Passing on Sunday! Back Monday or Tuesday with more winners for next week!
#261 ASA FREE PLAY ON Tennessee +3 over Indianapolis, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - These same two AFC South rivals recently squared off in Tennessee on a Thursday night prime time game with the Colts prevailing 34-17 as a 1-point favorite. Obviously, in these current times, home field really doesn’t equate to much other than travel so the move to minus -3 here is more of an adjustment than we expected. In the previous meeting the Titans were reeling a bit with losses in two of three games but are now coming off an emotionally lifting win over the Ravens. On the other hand, the Colts are off a very big win over the Packers, a game in which they trailed by 14-points going into the third quarter but rallied for the OT win. This is a HUGE game in deciding the AFC South with both teams 7-3 but the Colts holding the tie breaker with the head-to-head win a few weeks back. Even when trailing and in a losing effort the Titans still churned out 150+ rushing yards against the Colts in the first meeting which is an encouraging sign here. The big difference in the first meeting was a blocked punt for a TD by the Colts in the 3rd quarter. The biggest advantage the Titans have in this contest is the running game with Derrick Henry. Tennessee is 5th in rushing yards per game at 151 and average 4.8 yards per rush (7th). The Colts have the 3rd best rush defense in the NFL in terms of total yards as they allow just 89RYPG. But those numbers are somewhat misleading as they have only faced three top tier rushing teams this season and one of those games was against the Vikings who weren’t running the football early in the season. The other game the Colts played against a top rushing teams was versus Baltimore and they lost by two touchdowns. The Colts are a bottom tier rushing team which puts a lot of pressure on immobile QB Rivers who is 20th in the NFL in total quarterback ratings. They’ll be more depleted here with RB Taylor just put on the Covid list and will not play. Historical support shows us the visitor has covered 4 straight in this series. Also, since 2000, teams that meet within two weeks of their first meeting, the loser of the first clash is 17-7-1 ATS in the second showdown. We love the rushing angle and the dog playing with revenge. Play Tennessee.
I think we see a 1-1 score in this soccer match set for Monday afternoon.
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Chiefs/Bucs OVER 55.5
The Rams did pretty much whatever they wanted against this Bucs defense last week with 27 points and 376 passing yards. And Patrick Mahomes is going to light up the scoreboard just as he has been doing all season and especially of late. The Chiefs have scored at least 33 points in four straight games and are averaging 32.1 points per game on the season. The Bucs have the weapons to keep up as they score 29.1 points per game. And the weather is going to be nearly 80 degrees with less than 10 MPH winds this afternoon in Tampa Bay. Don’t overthink this one. Give me the OVER.
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Miami at New York Jets 1:00 ET
Jets (+) over Dolphins- The Dolphins have been using laser beams that the shoot into opponents eyes to confuse them...that's about the only way to explain where they are at 6-4 and playoff bound. I know the Jets (0-10) are terrible but they're effort is still there as they have 'covered' their last two against New England who the should have beaten and the Chargers last week. New York will get Sam Darnold back for this one and I don't know if that will help or not be the Jets will fight every minute for a win. Tua Tua Tua has been mediocre at best but very functional as Miami offense ranks 329h as they average 297 yards a game. The Jets offense is dead last scoring just 14.9 points and last in passing yards at 170 a game. But, those passing yards should improve with Darnold's return. I can't help but believe that Miami is that much better than they are now rated as they are still 8-20 ATS on field turf. New York is 5-2 ATS in their last seven as home dogs. Take the J-E-T-S!
The set-up: The Chiefs held on for a 35-31 win over the Raiders last weekend and I think they'll find a way to cover on the road here again against the inconsistent Bucs. Tampa enters off a 27-24 loss to the Rams at home. KC comes to town on top form, having won five straight. Overall the Chiefs average 32.1 PPG and it concedes 21.4.
The picks: The Bucs average 29.1 PPG and they allow 23. Tampa though is a poor 2-9-2 ATS in its last 13 at home, while KC is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. teams with a winning home record. Bucs' QB Tom Brady has thrown five interceptions in his last three games and KC already has ten interceptions this year. The defending champs are definitely worth a second look in this one.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the KC Chiefs.
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Buffalo Bills -4.5
After losing on a Hail Mary to the Arizona Cardinals last time out, the Buffalo Bills (7-3) find themselves just one game ahead of the Miami Dolphins (6-4) for first place in the AFC East. They will come out of their bye week highly motivated for a victory here against the Los Angeles Chargers. And that bye has allowed several players to get healthy as the Bills needed a bye as much as anyone.
This Buffalo offense is hitting on all cylinders right now. They are scoring 27.2 points per game on the season and are coming off 44 and 30-point efforts against the Seahawks and Cardinals, respectively. Now their offense should torch a Los Angeles Chargers defense that has allowed at least 28 points in seven consecutive games.
That includes 29 points to the Jaguars, 31 to the Broncos, 29 to the Dolphins and 28 to the Jets. Those are the 21st, 27th, 29th and 32nd offenses in the NFL this season, so they are giving up big points against even poor offenses. So you can imagine what the Bills are going to do to them, especially with the Chargers being without four key defenders in DE Ingram, CB Hayward, CB Harris and LB Nwosu.
The Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. AFC opponents. Los Angeles is 0-6 ATS in its last six November games. Buffalo is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 November games. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. This is a tough spot for a West Coast team like the Chargers traveling out East for that 10:00 AM body clock game here, too. Plus they have to face a motivated Buffalo team off its bye week. Bet the Bills Sunday.
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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Jacksonville State +4½ -109
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
** Sunday Featured Free Play **
The NFL Comp Play is on Cleveland at 1:00 eastern. The Jaguars are in the nasty database system below that shows how poorly dogs of more than 6 do on grass vs opponents who do well running the ball. The Jags are 0-9 to the spread at home after 2 or more turnovers and a dog loss. The Browns are 7-3 and should do well here against a shoddy Jags defense. Look for Cleveland to cover. On Sunday a massive card is up an executive Level TIER 1 Play, the Sunday night Total of the Year, a 22-1 early play, a rare 15-0 6* in later afternoon . Jump on and cash out on Sunday. For the Comp play. Go with the Browns. Rob V- GC Sports.
Nov 29, 2020viewSunday122020JaguarsBrownshome7.049.5
Panthers vs Vikings Free Pick November 29, 2020
The Minnesota Vikings had held opponents to an average of 18.3 points per game prior to a 31-28 loss to Dallas last time out. This looks like a good opportunity for their defense to get back on track, facing a Carolina team with a bruised up QB in Teddy Bridgewater and it's all-pro running back Christian McCaffrey (shoulder) ruled out.
The Panthers snapped a five-game losing streak with a shut win over Detroit last week, but that kind of defensive performance has not been the norm this season. The team ranks 19th in total defense and 21st for points allowed, and note that the Vikes have scored at least 28 points in six straight games.
Vikings are 38-13 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight-up loss and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Panthers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Free pick on Minnesota Vikings.
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I'm not sure whether or not the Bears can hang with the Packers the entire way. However, I do like their chances of, at least, keeping things close for the first half. The Bears have seen three straight games decided by seven or less while the Pack have seen each of their last two games decided by four or less. Consider Chicago for the first half.
Pure Lock's FREE NFL play Sunday 11-29-20
Minnesota -3 -108
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Play - New York Jets (Game 266).
Edges - Jets: 4-1 ATS at home versus winning foes … Dolphins: 2-11 ATS as division road favorites of more than three points … We recommend a 1* play on the NY Jets. Thank you and good luck as always.
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My free play is on the NYJ at 1:00 ET.
The Miami Dolphins had their five-game winning streak snapped with a 20-13 loss in Denver last Sunday but look (expect?) to get back on track Sunday at MetLife Stadium when they face the 0-10 NY Jets, The Jets have lost 10 straight games in the same season for the first time in club history and they are two losses from matching their longest losing streak ever, a 12-game skid that bridged the 1995-96 seasons. The two AFC East rivals met in Miami back on Oct 24, with the Dolphins winning 24-0.
Tua Tagovailoa was sacked SIX times last Sunday before being benched in favor of Ryan Fitzpatrick, who started against the Jets the last time the teams met. Tagovailoa came in late during that game and has been Miami's starter since. However, Tagovailoa injured the thumb on his throwing hand in practice during the week. He was originally downgraded from questionable to doubtful for Sunday's game but on Saturday afternoon, the Jets said that veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick would start. He was completing 69.8% when he was benched with 10 TDs and eight INTs. Miami owns an awful running game, averaging 94.4 YPG (30th), with Myles Gaskins (despite playing in only seven games) leading the team with 387 yards on 3.9 YPC with two TDs. He also has 30 catches, second-most on the team. WR Parker leads with 44 catches and four TDs, while TE Gesicki has 28 receptions (14.8 YPC) with two TDs. Interestingly, while the offense is averaging just 308.6 YPG (29th), the Dolphins are averaging 26.5 PPG (14th). The defense allows 380.6 YPG (21st) but allows a surprisingly low 26.4 PPG (4th).
The Jets also have a change at QB, as Sam Darnold is healthy enough to start, after missing two games with an injured right shoulder. The Jets run the ball no better than the Dolphins, averaging 98.6 YPG on the ground (25th). Leading the way is Frank Gore (447 yards), who is closing in being 100-years-old. However, the real good news is that this game will mark the first time this season Darnold would take the field with all three of his starting WRs, Jamison Crowder, Breshad Perriman and Denzel Mims. The Jets enter the game last in scoring (14.9 PPG) and in total offense (268.6 YPG). Then there is a defense that allows 30.2 PPG (31st) on 400.0 YPG (28th).
Fitzpatrick was NONE too happy about being benched and the Jets defense may give him every opportunity to deliver a "big game" but Darnold should love the fact that his WR starters are back and let's NOT ignore that while the Jets have continued to lose, they have scored 27 and 28 points in their last two games. It's also noteworthy that they've covered THREE of their last four, as well. Take the points!
T.M. Selection: Panthers/Vikes UNDER (1* FREE PLAY).
Carolina has nothing to play for anymore and I think it'll just go through the motions today. Minnesota though is still very in the hunt in the NFC North, so this is definitely an important game for it.
Carolina has split its last four road games. The Panthers have PJ Walker under center and while he managed to pull off the 20-0 win over the lowly Lions last weekend, I think he'll have a lot more trouble this week in this difficult road venue.
Carolina's defense looked great last weekend though, posting its first shutout in five years. Overall the Panthers allowed just 185 yards of offense to veteran quarterback Matt Stafford.
Carolina will lean on Mike Davis again here again to help alleviate some of the pressure off Walker. So far the Panthers' running back has 449 yards and three touchdowns.
The Vikes three-game win streak came to an end in their 31-28 setback at home to Dallas last weekend. Minnesota was winning games previous to that because it started to play some defense. It held Green Bay to 22 points, Detroit to 20 and the Bears to only 13 in those three victories and last week it simply ran into a desperate team and it had to play from behind the entire night.
So Minnesota will also look to establish Dalvin Cook and the ground game, the dynamic back already has 1,069 yards and 13 touchdowns on the ground.
I base my picks on many different things, but I base my Over/Under selections primarily on "situations" and in this case, this particular matchup feels like more of a "chess match," than a "run and gun shootout."
T.M. Prediction: 23-16 Minnesota.
OK, so the Broncos don't have a quarterback. It's not unique. The Bears haven't had one and now the Bengals don't. The oddsmaker has acted accordingly dropping the total all the way down to 36. That's low enough for me to make a pizza bet on the Over. The Saints may be able to reach this total just by themselves. New Orleans is the No. 5 scoring team in the league averaging nearly 30 points per game. The Saints have scored at least 24 points every game. The Broncos are below average defensively surrendering 26.7 points per game. If this game was to get out of hand, it's not inconceivable Denver's defense could quit. Taysom Hill has weapons with Alvin Kamara, Michael Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. Hill doesn't have the accuracy of Drew Brees, but he provides a running option the Saints don't get from their other quarterbacks. Hill also should be more comfortable now that he has made an NFL start. Welcome Kendall Hinton. What do we have with him? Who knows? He's a practice squad wide receiver who played QB for parts of four seasons at Wake Forest completing 133 of 251 passes for 53 percent with 8 TD's and 7 interceptions. The Broncos have speed on the flanks with Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler. Noah Fant is an emerging tight end star. Melvin Gordon and Phillip Lindsay are an above average running back tandem. The Broncos also have a good kicker, Brandon McManus. He gets to kick in elevated conditions. There are no weather problems either with clear skies, no wind and temperatures in the high 30's. I'd rather try to go Over this low total in today's NFL with rules heavily skewed toward offense than try to make an Over work with a mid-40's total if Brett Rypien, or even recently resurrected from the junkyard Blake Bortles, were behind center.
Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on New York minus the points over Cincinnati at 1 pm et on Sunday.
This situation sets up nicely for the Giants as they look to take hold of a truly awful NFC East division. Cincinnati of course lost its best player to a season-ending injury last week with super rookie QB Joe Burrow going down. That leaves this week's game in the hands of practice squad QB Brandon Allen. My bigger concern with the Bengals is their defense, which hasn't shown any semblance of a pass rush nor has it been able to slow opposing ground attacks, allowing over five yards per rush. Giants QB Daniel Jones has shown some signs of career progression this season, even if it has been in baby steps. He has a relatively healthy supporting cast right now (outside of RB Saquon Barkley of course) and should feast on a bottom-tier Bengals defense here. I'll plug my nose and lay the points with the G-Men here. Take New York (8*).
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