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This is a FREE PLAY on the Red Sox.

Boston has moved to 22-21 on the road this year after taking the first two games of this three-game series and I think the Red Sox will now complete the sweep in what sets up as another favorable starting pitching matchup for them on Sunday night.

The Angels are now 21-24 at home and they turn to Ryan Johnson (1-3, 7.40 ERA), who gave up three runs over five innings in a loss to the Mariners in his last outing. He owns a pedestrian 18:9 K:BB over 24.1 innings of work this season.

He'll be opposed by Ranger Suarez (4-3, 2.94 ERA), who gave up three runs with eight K's over six innings in a win over the Nationals in his last trip to the hill.

Suarez excelled in June, posting a 2.10 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and a 35:7 K:BB over five starts.

I think Suarez and the RED SOX are worth a "second look" on Sunday night.

Good luck, NP

1* Free Play on Fever +3½ -110

ASA WNBA play on OVER 180.5 Indiana Fever at LV Aces, 7pm ET - This game is going to be missing two of the league’s biggest stars as Caitlyn Clark for the Fever and A’ja Wilson for the Aces are listed as out. We can count on this game be fast paced as the Fever rank 1st in possessions per game, the Aces are 6th. Las Vegas has the #1 rated offense in terms of efficiency as they average 1.087 points per possession. Indiana is 3rd at 1.073PPP. Both teams are also top 3 when it comes to eFG% with the Aces at 55%, the Fever eFG% is 54.3%. Indiana is coming off a pair of games without Clark and still managed to score 109 and 111 points. Without Wilson the Aces scored 85 against the Liberty and 98 against the Sky. It’s not like either defense is capable of stopping the others offense either. Las Vegas is 8th in defensive net rating, the Fever are 7th. This all adds up to what should be a game that finishes with 184 or more points.

R&R Totals FREE WNBA Over-Under Sunday 7-5-26

OVER 181 Indiana/Las Vegas

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Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Padres/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the OVER 9.5 between the Dodgers and Padres tonight given the poor quality of these two starting pitchers. JP Sears is 1-1 with a 6.97 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 2 starts this year yielding 8 ER and 4 HR in 10 1/3 innings. Emmet Sheehan is 4-5 with a 5.08 ERA in 15 starts this year yielding 41 ER and 15 HR in 72 2/3 innings. Take the OVER.

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Jim Feist’ FREE Play of the Day is on the OVER as our play in Sunday’s CFL game between the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Hamilton Tiger-Cats.

57.5 is right around the betting average for this total and both of these offenses showed they can eclipse that number in the first meeting. Hamilton won 37-27 back in June and piled up 64 points against Winnipeg. Expect more of the same.

Bo Levi Mitchell will spread the ball around and keep the Tiger- Cats one step ahead of Winnipeg’s pass defense. The Blue Bombers haven’t created many turnovers or big plays on defence, so if Hamilton gets into a groove early they can score quickly in this one. At home, with confidence coming offensively…

And Winnipeg can’t be patient with 1-2 record. They have to attack, too. If Hamilton strikes early Zach Collaros will have to play from behind and throw more. Over bettors love that scenario: two veteran QBs, early scoring drives and game script that keeps both offenses on the field.

Jim Feist is smiling knowing there’s a great chance this CFL total hits the board. It went OVER in game one, Hamilton is at home playing with confidence and Winnipeg will have to play catch up.

Jim's Free play: 695. Blue Bombers / Tiger Cats OVER

Sunday night baseball brings the Los Angeles Dodgers hosting the San Diego Padres at Dodger Stadium, and the trends point squarely toward the home side. The Dodgers sit at 59-31 atop the NL West with a run differential north of plus 160, translating to roughly a plus 1.8 run margin per game across the season. They lead the majors in runs scored around 5.37 per contest while posting a team ERA near 3.5 and a batting average of .265 to .267. At home they have been especially dominant with a strong record in the 27-14 range or better, winning by multiple runs in several recent outings.

The Padres, meanwhile, check in at 43-45 and have dropped eight straight, sitting near the bottom in batting average at .225 and runs scored under 4 per game with a negative run differential. Their staff has allowed more traffic and higher ERAs overall, and in this season series the Dodgers have already taken the majority of the matchups, often by comfortable margins like 12-7, 4-3, and 3-0. JP Sears for San Diego carries a 6.97 ERA and WHIP over 1.7 in limited work, while Emmet Sheehan for the Dodgers sits at 5.08 but benefits from elite bullpen depth and defensive support.

The math favors the Dodgers clearing 1.5 runs at home here. They have covered that spread frequently against weaker lineups and in recent home games against division foes, where their offense pulls away late and their pitching limits damage. The Padres road offense has gone quiet during the skid, and the Dodgers lineup depth creates too many matchup problems. This is one of those spots where the numbers, the home edge, and the current form all align for value on the run line.

If you are grinding these games like I do, backing the Dodgers minus 1.5 feels like the sharp play tonight. They have the tools, the track record, and the momentum to extend the good times in this rivalry.

PSP Data Driven 1* Red Sox.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. The Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 games.