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1* Free Pick on Ryan Palmer +100

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1* Free Pick on Diamondbacks +115

1* Free Play on Abraham Ancer -184

Recommended Bet: Zalgiris -340

Manchester City -139

Real Madrid 1

Man City 2

The free soccer pick takes place on Saturday when two heavyweights meet.

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The set-up: The question of whether or not Tom Brady is "washed up" will be answered after the first few weeks of the 2020/21 season and there's no question that TB faces a stiff test right out of the gate by traveling to division rival New Orleans in Week 1. Brady has plenty of weapons to utilize, but team chemistry, especially with what is predicted to be a shortened pre-season, is not something that can be achieved over night.  

The pick: Drew Brees may have put a foot in his mouth back in early June, but the veteran QB quickly made amends with his teammates and the media and I think that the entire ordeal he went through will in fact just "add fuel to the fire." Time is running out for both Brees and Brady, but the Saints' pivots numbers remain solid, while TB's have dropped off significantly the last few years. Divisional contests are always the most important for a team and they almost always mean more to the home side. This is one of the most anticipated games of the season and I look for New Orleans to come prepared. I'm laying the points and expecting a rout.

1* FREE PLAY on the New Orleans Saints.

1* Free Sharp Play on Orioles +170

Despite the Panthers having home field advantage, the Raiders are currently slight favorites. While that may have some leaning towards the home underdog, the Raiders are favored for a reason. Carolina has a new head coach, a new offensive coordinator, a new defensive coordinator and a new starting QB. Under normal circurmstances, that might not be such a bad thing. After all, everyone is surely hungry to get the new era started with a win. However, these circumstances aren't normal. Due to the pandemic, the team hasn't had a chance to get together and that is likely to make adjusting to all the new faces/schemes difficult. Consider Vegas. 

Play - Chiefs-Texans UNDER

Edges - The 2020 season debuts with the rematch from last year’s Divisional Round matchup in which the Chiefs blew out the Texans, 51-31, after trailing by 24 points in the second quarter, only to score 41 unanswered points on seven consecutive drives.  With defending Super Bowl champions just 1-6-1 UNDER on Thursdays the past five seasons, as well as 3-9-1 UNDER in home openers since 2007, we’ll take advantage of a very popular public line and go UNDER the total in this game. We recommend a 1* play on UNDER the total. Thank you and good luck as always. 

Remember, my powerful database has uncovered a live dog on the opening week card that it see

[1%] Free Play on Grizzlies +4½

UNDER 8.5

6:40 first pitch Friday evening at Tropicana Field in Tampa Bay the Yankees 9-2 (5-1 V) come to town to take on the Rays in game 1 of a 4 game set. 5-7 (5-2 H)  Starting pitchers for this one are Masahiro Tanaka (3.38 ERA, 1.88 WHIP) and Blake Snell (5.40 ERA, 1.80 WHIP).

The last time these two teams met was September 2019 and the Rays won 4-0.

I'm hearing Tanaka is still building up his arm strength after the concussion he got in July. Last game out he tossed 51 pitches only allowing 2 runs (1 earned), in 2 2/3 innings. I'm expecting approx. 70-80 pitches from him Friday. 

On the other side Snell is also building up arm strength after three-plus innings against the Orioles. In that game Snell allowed 3-runs. He carries a 3-6 record vs. the Yankees into this matchup with a 4.41 ERA in 16 career starts.

Some betting trends to consider for this one. Under is 5-2-1 in NYY last 8 on astroturf. The Rays have been better against the Yankees, 20-15 the past four years versus 10-29 in the Bronx which tells me Snell and the rest of Tampa Bay will be dialed in for this one. 

“I’m way more focused because it’s such a talented team. I face them all the time. There’s no better feeling than beating the Yankees." - Blake Snell

Going against conventional wisdom with this total play on Friday. 

I'm on the UNDER 8.5. The pitchers show up!

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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