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1* Free Play on Thunder/Jazz under223½ -110

With high hopes of making noise in the Western Conference, the Jazz (0-0) are set open the season by hosting the Thunder (0-0) in Utah. The over/under is set at 223.5 points.

Oklahoma City will open the 2019-20 season with an unrecognizable roster compared to last year’s. Receiving draft picks and Chris Paul in return for their trades, the Thunder experienced the departure of Paul George and Russell Westbrook, who both led the team in scoring a season ago.

Don’t expect the best version of Chris Paul, who averaged 15.6 points, 8.2 assists, and 4.6 rebounds per game last season.

And while the Thunder were moving backwards with an eye on the future, the Jazz were adding to a roster that finished fifth in the conference last year.

Although Utah parted ways with Derrick Favors, they added the talents of Bojan Bogdanovic and Mike Conley. That pairing will be added to the key pieces of Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, forming a relatively complete team.

If Mitchell can take the next step and become the league’s next bona fide scoring talent who can place a team on his back and close games out, the Jazz have a legitimate chance to overcome the daunting duos in Los Angeles and Houston.

1* Free Pick on Michigan State +6½ -105

Analysis will be posted shortly

Free Play on Western Kentucky +6 -113

Login shortly to view the writeup on the game.

Philadelphia -6

Opening night for two more teams is Wednesday night in the Association as the Boston Celtics take on the Philadelphia 76ers in an Eastern conference clash. The line in this matchup opened with the 76ers -6, and the Over/Under opened at 220. We're now seeing Philadelphia as a -5 point favorite and the over/under has come way down and is at 212. The nice thing about betting on the NBA early in the season is that you usually know just as much as the oddsmakers, so we stand a pretty good chance to get out to a nice start, and you stand to gain quite a bit if you're right with your hunches. 

Wednesday night Al Horford and Joel Embiid will be on the court together, and I don't think Boston have an answer for them. There will be plenty of motivation here with Horford playing against his old team so expect some fireworks. Combine his production with Embiid averaged 29ppg points and 15rpg in four games vs. Boston in 2018/19) in the middle and Tobias Harris at the SF position, and of course with Ben Simmons, and Josh Richardson and Phili should see an uptick in their points-per-game. This should jump start this team considering they ranked second in the NBA last year in first-quarter scoring at a 30ppg clip. They also averaged 61ppg in the first half at home.

For Boston Kemba Walker can score with the best of them and averaged 37ppg last year vs. Phili, but after him there's quite the dropoff. Jayson Tatum is the top returning scorer at 15.7ppg, and of course Gordon Hayward at full health will be tested. Jaylen Brown and Marcus Smart will also make big contributions as will Enes Kanter, but you and I know that this team doesn't match up well with Philadelphia. Some trends to consider. Boston are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games, and 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern conference. Philadelphia are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home.

Replacing Horford’s production will be impossible with their current frontcourt so I don't expect Boston to start out on the right foot here Wednesday night, and I do expect Ben Simmons to come out hitting jumpers because by all reports he's looking a little bit better, and that's saying a lot. 76ers by 10. 

Back the 76ers.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Wednesday 5* Free NBA ATS Play

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NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game.
This system is now at 372-243 ATS and active for next week on:
AIR, BALL, and OHST

OHU is 0-4 ATS (-8.12 ppg) since Sep 21, 2019.BALL is 4-0 ATS (14.88 ppg) since Sep 21, 2019.

It's easy to write off the Grizzlies since they have turned the page from the long-time, respected Mike Conley/Marc Gasol era. Memphis has a new coach, untested Taylor Jenkins, and is in rebuild mode. Miami, though, is nothing special. The Heat were just three games better than the Grizzlies last season, failing to make the playoffs at 39-43. That was the third time in the last five years the Heat didn't qualify for the postseason.  The Heat have undergone change, too. Dwayne Wade retired. Underrated Josh Richardson is gone. So is Hassan Whiteside, their top rebounder and shot blocker. But Miami is getting some love because of Jimmy Butler.  Yes, Butler definitely will be the best player on the court. Justice Winslow has upside. Bam Adebayo may be underrated. But Miami isn't that good of a team. The Heat also is dealing with a distraction brought about by idiot Dion Waiters ripping coach Erik Spoelstra. Waiters is suspended for this game cutting into Miami's bench and concentration level with his insubordination.  I really like Memphis' young talent and athleticism. I believe the Grizzlies are below-the-radar at this opening juncture and present good value getting this many points against a borderline Eastern Conference playoff team that went 19-22 at home last season. The Grizzlies have an intriguing young nucleus of Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. Rookie Brandon Clarke could be good, too. Jackson and Jonas Valanciunas, who is expected to play, give the Grizzlies a big man edge. All in all, it's enough to back the Grizzlies in this matchup. 

[1%] Free Play on Vikings over 40

on Pistons

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #159 Duke Blue Devils +3.5 over North Carolina Tar Heels (4p.m., Saturday, October 26 ACCNX) Carolina is coming off a marathon game last week and I am not sure how much they will have left in the tank for this game against their in-state rival. Both teams need to win this game in order to become bowl eligible and I expect it to go down to the wire and we will grab the points. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Duke and North Carolina. Duke is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend football card. 5 of 6 winning weeks in football and now is the time to sign-up with a long term package.

The set-up: Do or die? Now or never? Thankfully for the Browns even if they lose this game, they still have a mathematical shot at taking out division leader Baltimore. That said, I think this one sets up well for the Browns on a number of different levels and while I'll stop short in calling for the upset, I do definitely think that the stage is set for more of a competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. First off, the Browns truly are desperate for a win here. They also come in off their bye week. The Patriots are undefeated, but they enter off the short week after destroying the Jets on Monday night. Is it possible that New England gets caught "looking past" Cleveland as well today to its matchup in Baltimore next week, before its bye the following? Anything's possible. 

The pick: Additionally note that the Browns are a perfect 2-0 ATS in their last two off an upset loss as a home favorite, while the Patriots are a sub-par 4-5 ATS in their last nine as a home favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. In my opinion, the overwhelming situational factors working in favor of Cleveland in this one, combined with these strong ATS trends and this large line indeed make the visitors worthy of a "second look" in this particular matchup.

1* FREE PLAY on Cleveland Browns.

My 1* FREE PLAY is on the Denver Broncos.

This is a big game for both teams, but more so for the Broncos in my opinion. Denver enters off a 30-6 loss to the Chiefs, snapping a two-game win streak. The Colts on the other hand look primed for a bit of a letdown here in my opinion after their 30-23 win over division rival Houston last week. The Colts are in Pittsburgh next weekend, while the Broncos return home to face Cleveland, before their bye. The Broncos are only one game behind the Raiders for second in the division and three games back of now struggling Kansas City. This is an important "season defining" two-game stretch for Denver and I expect it to give the complacent home side everything it can handle.  

Key Trends:

- Denver is 2-0 ATS in its last two after allowing 30 points or more in its previous game.

- Indianapolis is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after two or more consecutive wins vs. the spread.

The verdict: Grab the points and expect an outright war until the final whistle!

under 73

This game between Jackson State and Prairie View A&M is being played on Thursday night. We have seen that games played during the week (not on Saturday) have stayed under, especially when we see a high total. This game's over/under is set at 73. Take the under.

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The NBA Comp play for Wednesday is on Sacramento at 10:00 eastern. The Kings played well down the stretch last season and won 3 of the last 4 in the series with Phoenix and have covered 7 of 10 as a road favorite. The Suns are 11-27 as a home dog of 6 or less and  have lost 25 of the last 32 divisional games. The Winning team in this series has covered 33 of the last 34. Play on Sacramento. On Wednesday we have a top rated NBA Play and we were #1 or 2 on top leader boards last season. In MLB we have a Game 2 specific World Series historical System and a solid 87-26 NHL Power play system. . for the NBA Free play. Go with the Kings. RV- GC Sports

Hump day card has our First Play of the NBA Season as we finished first or 2nd on several major leader boards. World Series game 2 and an 87-26 NHL Power System play. 

$$ #1 RANKED NBA LAST SEASON $$

MIKE LUNDIN'S PISTONS @ PACERS FREE PICK

The Indiana Pacers have lost some key pieces and will be without Victor Oladipo (knee) here in the season opener, but they've also brought in players like T.J. Warren, Jeremy Lamb, Malcolm Brogdon and Justin Holiday during the off-season.

I trust the home team to win and cover here against a relatively weak Detroit side.

The Pistons will be without the services of star forward Blake Griffin who by the looks of it will be out until next month. While Indiana has enough depth on its roster to make up for the loss of Oladipo, the Pistons are like a completely different team without Griffin.  

Pistons are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings overall and 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Indiana.

Free pick on Indiana Pacers. 

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Mike closed out the 2018/2019 NBA season on a 50-38 (57%) RUN W/ TOP RATED PLAYS and he's set to cash another BIG TICKET with this KINGS @ SUNS *TOP PLAY* on Tuesday. The LATE 10:00 PM ET TIP-OFF is perfect if you're looking for late night action. 

This line has climbed a bit from its opener, providing some additional value with the home team. The Hornets took two of three meetings last season (both here) and finished ahead of the Bulls in the standings. So, why are the Bulls favored? Well, with Kemba Walker and others having moved on to greener pastures, the Hornets are probably in for a long season. The Bulls, on the other hand, are hoping to improve on last season. That said, this is opening night. There's going to be a lot of excitement in the building and the Charlotte players will be highly motivated to show that they can with with the new lineup. Remember, the Hornets were 25-16 here last season. While there is some talent on the roster, this is still essentially the same Chicago team which went 22-60 last season. Until they prove this year will be different, I don't feel they're ready to be favored on the road. Even here. Consider grabbing the points. 

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1* Free Pick on Bulls -2½ -110

Both of these teams especially the Pistons could step up and make the top 5 in the Eastern Conference.  We all know the Pacers are one of the better teams, but missing their superstar for a while is a huge question mark.  I realize Blake Griffin is out tonight, but this line is is too many points.   I won't call for the outright upset, but this Pistons team is better than what they are getting credit for. 

Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Brooklyn Nets -3.5 

Kyrie Irving has gotten a bad rap in recent seasons.  He forced his way out of Cleveland and wound up getting traded to the Boston Celtics.  He didn’t choose to be there, and things just didn’t work out.  But now he chose to be with the Brooklyn Nets in free agency.  He wants to be here, and I expect him to be ‘all in’ because of it. 

The bad rap Irving is getting has many bettors fading the Nets early in the season.  They opened as 5-point favorites here against the Timberwolves, and this line has been bet down to -3.5.  I think there’s value on the Nets because of it and I expect them to win and cover in their home opener. 

The Nets are still loaded with several key players from the team that went 42-40 and made the playoffs last year.  They still have starters Caris LeVert, Joe Harris and Jarrett Allen returning, and all three should take a leap forward this year after solid seasons last year.  They added C DeAndre Jordan, who is great friends with Irving and Kevin Durant, so the chemistry will be good.  They also added underrated players in F Taurean Prince, Garrett Temple and Wilson Chandler, though Chandler will miss the opener due to suspension. 

The Timberwolves went just 11-30 on the road last season.  They still have stalwarts Andrew Wiggins, Karl-Anthony Towns and Jeff Teague, and getting a full season of Robert Covington will be big for them.  But I just don’t like the depth on this team as they lost Derrick Rose, Taj Gibson, Tyus Jones and Dario Saric in the offseason.  They are expected to have to start Jake Layman, who was their biggest offseason acquisition, which is not good.  Bet the Nets Wednesday. 

FREE PLAY on Thunder/Jazz under 222½ -109