Jack Jones – Sports Handicapper

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Pittsburgh Pirates -128 

The Pittsburgh Pirates will be highly motivated for a victory at home Thursday.  They lost the first two games of this series to the Colorado Rockies and they certainly don’t want to get swept by them at home in Game 3. 

Jordan Lyles has been the best starter for the Pirates this season, and he takes the ball this afternoon.  Lyles is 4-1 with a 1.97 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in eight starts with 47 K’s and only 4 homers allowed in 45 2/3 innings. 

Antoni Senzatela is 3-3 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.448 WHIP in seven starts fro the Rockies, including 1-2 with a 6.06 ERA and 1.469 WHIP in his last three starts.  Lyles pitched 7 1/3 shutout innings with 10 K's in a 4-0 victory over the Rockies in his last start against them. 

The Pirates are 7-1 in Lyles’ eight starts this season.  The Rockies are 1-5 in their last six road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Pirates are 16-7 in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Bet the Pirates Thursday.

No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones had another huge year last year as he was the No. 3 Ranked Overall Capper in 2018! He has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 20 months! He is riding a 1,084-872 Run L623 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $134,200!

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No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a 1,675-1,441 NBA Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $128,780! He is a 4-Time Top 10 NBA Capper (#1 2012-13, #3 2017-18, #9 2008-09, #10 2015-16) as well!

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25* NBA Eastern Conference Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Milwaukee Bucks -6.5 

After losing both games in Toronto, and getting embarrassed in Game 4, the Milwaukee Bucks return home highly motivated for a victory in Game 5 to regain control of this series.  The Bucks are still 10-3 SU & 10-3 ATS in these playoffs and the best team in the East, and that will show tonight. 

Milwaukee has been a great bet off a loss.  In fact, the Bucks are 22-2 SU & 19-5 ATS following a loss this season.  That’s right, they’ve only lost back-to-back games twice all season, and it just happened for the second time.  It’s been a resilient team, and that resiliency will really be on display tonight with the support of their home crowd on their side. 

Kawhi Leonard is clearly hobbled and tired.  The Bucks made the mistake of double-teaming him last game, and he found open shooters time and time again.  The Raptors’ roll players hit those shots at home, but now it will be the Bucks’ role players who step up at home this time around.  And I expect Mike Budenholzer to make the right adjustments like he’s done all season and to not double-team Kawhi.  He can’t beat them on his own. 

Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Milwaukee) - revenging a loss by 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses are 37-13 (74%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Milwaukee is 10-1 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite this season.  The Bucks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games off a loss.  Milwaukee is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS at home in the playoffs this season.  Bet the Bucks Thursday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -135 

The Minnesota Twins have won seven of their last eight overall to improve to 32-16 on the season.  They have the second-best record in baseball behind the Astros, and I believe they are the real deal.  I think we’re getting a big discount on them today considering the massive edge they have on the mound over the Angels. 

Martin Perez has found a new home in Minnesota.  He is 5-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 1.052 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in three home starts.  The Angels are only hitting .228 and scoring 3.4 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season. 

Matt Harvey is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He has been broken since getting injured with the Mets.  Harvey is 2-3 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.434 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 1-1 with an 8.38 ERA and 1.759 WHIP in four home starts. 

Minnesota is 15-1 in its last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Twins are 9-0 on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.  The Angels are 0-6 in their last six home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Los Angeles is 0-6 in its last six after losing the first two games of a series.  These four trends combine for a 36-1 system backing Minnesota.  Bet the Twins Thursday.