Jack Jones – Sports Handicapper

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Atlanta Braves -125

The Atlanta Braves will be highly motivated for a victory tonight to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series to the San Diego Padres by a single run each. They should take Game 3 tonight with their big advantage on the mound.

Martin Perez is 6-3 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 11 starts and four relief appearances for the Braves this season. He has allowed just 6 homers and 21 earned runs in 68 innings. Perez is backed by the best bullpen in baseball with the Braves having a 2.86 ERA on the season.

JP Sears will be making his first start of the season for the Padres due to injuries in their rotation. Sears has a 7.92 ERA in 14 starts at Triple-A El Paso while allowing 56 earned runs and 10 homers in 63 2/3 innings.

The Padres have a solid bullpen as well, but they likely won't have the services of the best reliever in baseball in Mason Miller. He pitched two innings last night and has pitched three innings the past two days in closing out the first two games of this series. Bet the Braves Wednesday.

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20* AL GAME OF THE MONTH on Tampa Bay Rays -143

The Tampa Bay Rays will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after dropping the first two games of this series to the Kansas City Royals. They didn't use any of their top bullpen arms yesterday so will have all hands on deck for this one.

The Royals used four relievers last night and have a much more depleted, terrible bullpen. They have a 4.88 ERA as a bullpen this season. But the biggest reason I'm fading the Royals is the fact that they are without their best hitter in Bobby Witt and one of their best hitters in Maikel Garcia. That's bad news for one of the worst offenses in baseball.

Griffin Jax is 2-5 with a 3.49 ERA in 10 starts and 11 relief appearances for the Rays this season. He'll be opposed by Noah Cameron, who is 4-4 with a 4.20 ERA in 14 starts fro the Royals this season. Bet the Rays Wednesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Dodgers/Twins OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Dodgers and Twins tonight. Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Minnesota.

The Minnesota Twins are a dead nuts OVER team. They have gone 51-29-1 OVER in all games this season scoring 4.8 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game. They have gone 19-7-1 OVER in their last 27 games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in 18 of their last 24 games, and 10 or more in 17 of them.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game this season. They have been much more potent offensively on the road this season, too. And their games have been higher scoring on the road on average than at home. They beat the Twins 12-3 yesterday for 15 combined runs.

Shohei Ohtani is finally starting to regress allowing 7 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings in his last two starts. Joe Ryan was scratched from his last start due to illness and may not be 100%. He has allowed 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 23 innings in his last four starts. Ryan allowed 5 earned runs and 9 hits in 5 innings in his lone career start against Los Angeles. He is backed by a terrible Minnesota bullpen with a 5.35 ERA this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Astros/Blue Jays OVER 8.5

The Astros and Blue Jays combined for 16 runs and 28 hits in extra innings last night. Both of their bullpens are depleted, and it should be another slug fest tonight between two offenses that are swinging the bats as well as they have all season right now largely due to being healthier than they have been all season.

The Blue Jays will certainly crush Michael Burrows, who is 3-8 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 15 starts this season while allowing 51 earned runs and 18 homers in 79 1/3 innings. Burrows is backed by a poor Houston bullpen with a 4.64 ERA on the season and a 4.88 ERA on the road.

Trey Yesavage has been a major disappointment for the Blue Jays. He has a 6.07 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 20 earned runs and 5 homers in 29 2/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Brewers/Reds OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Brewers and Reds tonight at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark. Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out. I also like the fact that Elly De La Cruz is back healthy for the Reds, who are much more potent with him in the lineup. And the Brewers have been potent all season scoring 5.2 runs per game.

Shane Drohan is 2-1 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.30 WHIP on the road this season allowing 7 earned runs and 19 base runners in 14 2/3 innings. He isn't going to go very deep in this game, which will expose this Milwaukee bullpen. He hasn't surpassed 5 innings in four of his five starts this season.

Rhett Lowder is a gas can for the Reds going 3-4 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 11 starts while allowing 28 earned runs and 76 base runners in 52 1/3 innings. He is backed by a poor Cincinnati bullpen with a 4.77 ERA and 1.51 WHIP this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Phillies/Nationals OVER 9.5

The Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team. They are 47-30-3 OVER in all games this season scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game. The Phillies are hot at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in seven of their last eight games overall and have gone for 10 or more combined runs in five of their last seven. They have scored a total of 36 runs in their last four games.

Aaron Nola is the most overrated starter in baseball. He is 3-4 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 15 starts this season while allowing 48 earned runs and 15 homers in 75 2/3 innings. Nola has allowed a whopping 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Nationals.

Miles Mikolas is one of the worst starters in baseball. He is 2-6 with a 5.23 ERA and this season allowing 43 earned runs and 16 homers in 74 innings. Mikolas has been at his worst at home with a 6.37 ERA while allowing 25 earned runs and 10 homers in 35 1/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.