Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Duke here on the road against Miami. This is going to be a very interesting game for both sides, but specifically Miami, who is off their first loss of the season to Notre Dame and barely survived against UNC and FSU showing they have some weak links. Duke has won 3 straight behind a strong defense that has allowed FIVE POINTS the last 2 games and will be out for vengeance against a vulnerable Canes team. In fact, the home team, in a game involving two mistake-free teams, committing less than 1.25 turnovers/game after 8+ games, following a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse, have significantly struggled going 6-30 ATS. In addition to this, Miami is just 10-19 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points and Duke excels on the road, after allowing 14 points or less last game going 26-12 ATS. Take the points with the DUKE BLUE DEVILS here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Florida here on the road against Kentucky. Florida has had a rough stretch of games against some of the stronger teams in the SEC, and Kentucky is off a rare loss to the Vols, and may have gotten exposed in that game. In fact, Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points, off a road loss, a good team (winning 60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (winning 51% to 60%) have struggled going 13-41 ATS! Not only that, but the Florida Gators are 12-4 ATS on the road off a home loss against a conference rival and the Kentucky Wildcats are just 13-17 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. Take the points with the FLORIDA GATORS here. –Joey Tron

I am taking Marshall on the ML here at home against App State. This is a pivotal game for the Thundering Herd who sit 5-4 and are coming into this off a loss, although are 2-1 the L3. App State started strong but have very much struggled stopping other teams from moving the ball down field with back-to-back losses and losses in 4 of their L6. In fact, home teams with a good offense, averaging 390 to 440 YPG against a team with an average defense (allowing 330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game have found great success going 38-14 SU since 2022 and 7-2 SU this year. In addition to this, App State is 6-11 SU as a road favorite of 7 points or less and Marshall is 24-10 SU at home off a road loss against a conference rival. Take the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD ML here. –Joey Tron