Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between the Devils and Islanders. Both of these teams have a game under their belt so far and they were very defensive. Both the Devils and Islanders conceded 2 goals in their losses and goaltending looked sharp. Jake Allen made 23 saves on 25 shots and Ilya Sorokin with 24 saves on 26 shots. Defensively, both teams did great at keeping high danger chances to a minimum and the Isles are without Matthew Barzal, a huge piece to their offense. The Devils blueline was strong against Philly on Thursday night in addition to a perfect 100% on the PK. The Islanders held Toronto to 1-4 on the man advantage and looked pedestrian themselves going 0-4 and won’t have it easy against this young and quick Devils defense. NJD is 25-12 to the under as a road favorite of -100 to -150 and NYI is 12-4 to the under when playing on 2 days rest. Play the UNDER here in this Atlantic Division clash. –Joey Tron

I am taking the South Carolina Gamecocks ML here at home against Kentucky. This can be the end of Shane Beamer with a loss, however I do not see them losing here. Despite getting steamrolled by Bama 49-14, they were only outgained by 70 yards and had a huge edge on the ground – something they can take advantage of against Kentucky. The Wildcats are allowing over 120 yards per game on the ground and their secondary is even weaker, allowing 221 yards. South Carolina's defense is better than their numbers dictate - they are holding teams to 37% on 3rd down and sub 100 yards on the ground which is going to be huge in forcing long 3rd down attempts. South Carolina offense is averaging .20 epa per play and have a massive threat on the ground in Matt Fuller who has a touchdown in every game this year. UK is 4-13 SU against the SEC on the road and SC has won and covered the L4 against UK along with 11-6 SU in the series. Take the Gamecocks here. –Joey Tron

I am laying the points with BYU here on the road against TCU. This is implying that BYU would be a double digit favorite in Provo, and they may win by that here. The BYU offense will be well rested off their bye and prior they showed no signs of slowing down with 132 points scored through the first 3 games. Their defense has been just as good allowing a max of 23 pts and are allowing -0.08 yards per play for adj epa. TCU on the other hand is coming off a 8pt loss to UCF and their only wins this season come against the Sun Belt and a FCS school. They have a -13 point differential versus FBS schools this season and are only hitting 43% on 3rd down which will be an issue against an explosive offense like the Cougars. They are Top 10 in EPA per play on offense and are a huge threat on the ground when the ball is in LJ Martin’s hands. BYU is 10-4 ATS (12-2 SU) on the road after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins and TCU is 10-17 ATS when playing before their bye week. Bad spot for TCU. Lay it with BYU here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Minnesota here against Michigan. This has been a rather roller coaster season for the Wolverines with their extra second against W. Mich, defeating OU and then losing at the last second to Iowa - yikes. Minnesota is coming off a massive west coast win over Washington and it PJ Fleck is about ready to run through a damn wall if he hasn’t already. The Gophers defense sits 47th in efficiency across the NCAA along with a +1 TO margin, their only lone loss coming against a good Miss State team. The Gophers offense is getting into form with 68 pts the last 2 games and Drake Lindsey looked very composed in those games with a 6:2 TD-INT ratio. Michigan offense has been stalled most of the season with 20 or less points in 3 of 4 (UTEP) and Bryce Underwood has not looked too hot with at least 1 turnover in every game so far this season. Their defense has been keeping them in every game thus far but that ended last week and up next is another tough task in a hostile environment with a wide open B1G. MINN is 12-4 ATS at home off an upset win as a road underdog and MICH is 11-17 ATS on the road off a home loss against a conference rival. Take the points with the Gophers here. –Joey Tron

I am playing the UNDER here between Tennessee and Auburn. This Vols defense is legit and Auburn is going to have a hard time moving the ball down field against them. Tennessee ranks 27th in PPG and have one of the best secondaries in the nation, allowing 138 PYPG, holding Arch Manning to 201 yards no TDs and 1 INT and their line of scrimmage is just as potent, with -0.05 epa per play. Auburn defensively is not too bad either, sitting at -0.01 epa per play and have allowed 16 or less in 3 of 4. On the offensive side, Tennessee looked strong against much inferior opposition and will be in for another hard defense Saturday afternoon. BAY is 5-12 to the under against Conf Opponents and TENN is 14-19 the under as home fav of 7 or less. Play the UNDER here. –Joey Tron