Marc David

David's 4% NCAAB *BIG BET BANGER* Total

We really like the under in this matchup. The total appears to be highly influenced by the Norse's recent high-scoring games, but we think this is an overreaction. Northern Kentucky (2-2) has spent the first two weeks on a brutal four-game road trip, and their totals were inflated by blowout losses at Texas A&M (104-67) and Saint Louis (125-63). Back at Truist Arena for their home opener, the Norse should be far more focused on tightening things up defensively. Central Michigan is a team that struggled to score away from home last season, going just 1-15 on the road. Expect a slower, more physical home opener than the shootouts the Norse saw against high-major competition.

This is a 4% play on the UNDER.

David's Florida @ Kentucky NCAAF *BANKROLL BOO$TER*

We really like the road underdog in this matchup. The line appears to be highly influenced by Kentucky's 7-2 ATS record and Florida's ugly offensive showings against Georgia and Oklahoma, putting up a combined 15 points, but we think this is an overreaction. Florida (5-4) has already shown they can beat quality opponents, winning at Texas and blowing out Ole Miss 52-28, and they'll have revenge on their minds after Kentucky crushed them 38-7 in Lexington last season.

Kentucky (7-2) has been living on the edge, with back-to-back one-point overtime wins over South Carolina and LSU, and they were just blown out 34-6 at Tennessee. Florida's physical ground game should be able to keep this close, and points are valuable in what projects to be a one-score game.

This is a play on FLORIDA ATS.

David's 4% Louisville @ UNC *BEST BET BANGER*

We really like the home underdog in this matchup. The line appears to be highly influenced by Louisville's 44-17 rout of Georgia Tech, but we think this is an overreaction. Louisville (6-3) has been explosive on offense, but their defense has been leaky, ranking 112th in total defense and 130th against the pass. North Carolina (5-4) has been dangerous as an underdog this season, winning outright against TCU, Pittsburgh and Duke. The Tar Heels are coming off a 38-21 win over UConn. UNC is 6-3 ATS this season, and getting this many points at home against a defense that struggles to get stops is too good to pass up.

This is a 4% play on UNC ATS.

David's 4% Mizzou @ Georgia NCAAF *BIG BET BANGER*

We really like the over in this matchup. The total looks heavily influenced by Georgia's last two games staying under, and both teams' 1-3 over/under records in their last four games, but we think that's an overreaction. Georgia (8-1) has been an over machine at home, scoring 47 ppg, and the Bulldogs also come in rolling after a 42-7 blowout at Ole Miss.

Missouri (6-3) should be able to do their part. The Tigers are scoring around 30 points per game behind one of the SEC's most productive ground games, and their loss to Texas last week went well past a total of 43. If Missouri falls behind, they'll have to keep throwing to catch up, which should keep the scoreboard moving.

Georgia's offense has been at its best at home, and Missouri can answer back, so this looks like a short number. Every Bulldogs home game this season has reached at least 51 combined points.

This is a 4% play on the OVER.