Ray Monohan – Sports Handicapper

Purdue vs. Notre Dame Under 142

The Purdue Boilermakers and Notre Dame Fighting Irish get together on Saturday on a neutral floor at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. This is the Pacers home court. Neutral courts are helpful to the under because players are unfamiliar with the background in the games.

Purdue has slowed their tempo down quite a bit this year. The Boilermakers are known for tough defense, and I think their defensive numbers will improve as the season moves along.

Notre Dame plays very slowly. The Fighting Irish are going to do everything they can to make this a low scoring very slow paced game. That's what they need to win, especially this year when they have less offensive weapons than they have had in recent seasons.

This is a game that means a lot to both teams since it is an intrastate battle. Look for both defenses to play well.

Back the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* CBB O/U Play

--- 2018 Camellia Bowl ---

Georgia Southern -3

The Georgia Southern Eagles have a big home field advantage in this one. Eastern Michigan is playing a long way from home. Eastern Michigan makes the long trip, and this isn't exactly a tropical location where everyone would want to play. This game is in Montgomery, Alabama. Georgia Southern can get excited to be playing close to home and get their fan base to travel here. It's far more unlikely Eastern Michigan can do the same.

What is Eastern Michigan's single biggest weakness on defense? Stopping the run. Why is that a bad thing? Georgia Southern runs it on nearly every single play. Shai Werts leads a very good rushing attack that should be able to navigate their way down the field on a consistent basis in this one.

Eastern Michigan has almost no running game, and they aren't good at stopping the run. That's been a bad combination in bowl games in the past, and I don't see it working out well for them here either.

Some trends of note. Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games, and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Eagles are 11-25 ATS in their last 36 games following a straight up win.

Back Georgia Southern.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 6* CFB ATS Play

--- 2018 Cure Bowl ---

Tulane -3.5

The Sun Belt is one of the weakest conferences in the country. In fact, it may be the very weakest. Tulane plays in the American Athletic Conference, which is a big step up from the Sun Belt. Tulane has been playing much tougher teams all year. When I see this kind of a strength of schedule differential and a short line, I think there is value.

Tulane has a great coach in Willie Fritz, and I would expect them to be well prepared for this game. Justin McMillan gives the team a very athletic quarterback who also can throw it when needed. Tulane shouldn't need to throw it much though. Why? Tulane has a great option running attack, and Louisiana is one of the worst defenses in the country against the run.

Louisiana also likes to run the ball, but Tulane has gotten much stronger against the run as the season has gone on.

I think Tulane wins this one comfortably.

A couple of trends of note. Green Wave are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The Ragin' Cajuns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Back Tulane.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* CFB ATS Play

---2018 New Mexico Bowl---

North Texas vs. Utah State Over 68

Two teams who want to play uptempo. There will be a lot of possessions in this game. The North Texas Mean Green have a tremendous quarterback in Mason Fine. Fine will be up against a Utah State secondary that is susceptible to the big play in the passing game. North Texas is more than capable of getting some deep passes completed here.

Utah State's Jordan Love has had a great season. Bright and Thompson are a great tailback tandem. North Texas hasn't faced a team with this many offensive weapons all year. Utah State will really push the pace here.

Both defenses are fairly untested. Neither team faced many good offenses this year, and that will change in this one. Though their defensive numbers look pretty good, I would expect them to give up a lot of yards and a lot of points in this one.

Some trends of note. Over is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 vs. a team with a winning record, and is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 non-conference games, finally the Over is 23-9 in Aggies last 32 games overall.

Back the over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* CFB O/U Play

Kent State ATS

The Golden Flashes are worth a flyer on Saturday. Kent State is off to a hot start and with the return of Jaylin Walker, this offense is on quite a roll. The Golden Flashes have rattled off 6 straight wins and Walker has been the fuel to that fire. 

Along with that, the pressure has been taken off Senior Guard Jalen Avery, who is putting up 15.2 points per game. 

Louisville has played down to their competition this season, which certainly benefits taking the points here.

Back Kent State.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 5* FREE CBB ATS Play

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Gonzaga vs. North Carolina Over 

The Bulldogs and Tar Heels highlight the Saturday CBB card and this Over has tremendous value. 

Both of these teams have got off to fast starts this season and that plays perfectly into this Over. 

Gonzaga has put up a ridiculous 94.1 points per game this season, which is easily one of the best marks in the NCAA. Don't disregard their competition either, as they've played the likes of Duke and Tennessee, which both went down to the wire. 

As for the Tar Heels, they are right there with the Bulldogs offensively. Scoring 93.3 points per contest, UNC has a solid complement of outside shooters and an inside presence. Look for them to really work the inside out game and have Gonzaga scrambling on the defensive end. 

Some trends to note. Over is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 Saturday games. Over is 7-1 in Tar Heels last 8 overall.

Expect an extremely entertaining, back and forth affair. 

Back the Over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 10* CBB O/U TOP PLAY

Western Michigan ATS

The Broncos catch the Wolverines in a nice spot here. 

Michigan has been a team that has had to deal with a lot of top teams in the nation thus far into the season. Along with the grind it out Big 10 start, they are going to certainly welcome in a MAC school this Saturday with open arms. 

However, this is a spot for WMU to really play with Michigan. 

They will get a Wolverines team that may overlook this one some. The Broncos aren't a bad team either. They put up 74 points per game and have the ability to keep up with the Wolverines offensively. 

Look for the Broncos to push the tempo here. If they can get out early on this Wolverines team, they can certainly get them on their heels and put a little doubt in their minds.

Back Western Michigan.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* CBB ATS Play 

Anaheim vs. Columbus Over 

To compete in the Metro Division, you have to play with a lot of speed. Columbus has turned things up a few notches this season, especially as of late with their pace.

That plays well into the Over here when they welcome in the Ducks on Saturday.

Columbus has averaged 3.42 goals per game compared to the 3.29 they give up. They come in off a 4 goal performance against a very good Kings defense, as this team just comes at you with a lot of shots on their attack. 

With that in mind here on Saturday, expect the Ducks to return the favor with the counter attacks and the peppering of the net. 

Some trends to note. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Columbus. Over is 14-5 in Blue Jackets last 19 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Expect a lot of back and forth action.

Back the Over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* NHL O/U Play

Cleveland vs. Denver Under 

The Browns and Broncos battle in Denver on Saturday and this Under has some value. The altitude game is never easy. For a team like Cleveland coming in from the east coast, it is never easy to adjust to the high altitude there. Look for this to be an issue and really force the Browns to slow things down offensively. 

Along with that, we do have 2 defenses that are very good at shutting down the opposition. Denver gives up only 21.7 points per game, while the Browns come in with just 25 points against. These two defenses rarely allow the big play and are able to get off the field on third down, keeping that clock ticking. 

Some trends to note. Under is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 home games. Under is 38-11-2 in Browns last 51 games in December.

Expect a very closely played game here.

Back the Under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* NFL O/U Play

Appalachian State -6.5

Appalachian State comes in with plenty of momentum here. 

The Sun Belt Champions have had one of their most memorable seasons thus far. They did everything right, including a dominant performance in the Sun Belt Championship Game.

This team just wears you down. They like to work the clock and really come right at you with their run game. Once that gets established they can hit you with the deep ball and really open things up with their playbook. 

Along with that, they come in playing some really good football. This team has won 5 straight games, while MTSU dropped 2 of their final 3 games of the season.

Some trends to note. Mountaineers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Mountaineers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall.

With MTSU limping in, this is a nice spot on the Mountaineers.

Back Appalachian State.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* CFB ATS Play

--- 2018 Las Vegas Bowl ---

Fresno State -4

Laying the points in the Las Vegas Bowl is where the value sits. 

Both Fresno and ASU have impressed this season. However, the Sun Devils will be without one of their key pieces here. 

WR N'Keal Harry has elected to sit out this contest, as he preps himself for the NFL. That is a huge blow to the offense of the Sun Devils, as Harry has played the biggest role in this offense. He is the main target out wide and will certainly cause a lot of issues for Arizona State on Saturday. 

Along with that, this Fresno State offense is one of the best. They put up 34.9 points per game and have the ability to strike with the big play. 

Some trends to note. Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

Fresno State deserves a lot of credit this season. Look for them to cap off a special year here.

Back Fresno State.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* CFB ATS Play