Dave Price – Expert Sports Handicapper

6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Saint Louis -2.5

The Key: The Saint Louis Billikens returned all 5 starters this year and each of their top 8 scorers from a team that won 23 games last year.  Senior Jordan Goodwin averaged 15.4 PPG and 10.4 RPG as a junior last season.  Javonte Perkins averaged 15 PPG.  And the Billikens got off to a great start this year with an 89-52 win over SIU-Edwardsville as 24.5-point favorites.  That gives them a common opponent with rebuilding LSU.  LSU only beat SIU-Edwardsville 94-81 as a 30-point favorite.  So Saint Louis beat the same team by 37 points that LSU only beat by 13.  The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a win.  The Billikens are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games against a team with a winning record.  The Billikens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games.  Take Saint Louis.

Dave’s Saturday Free Play:

1* on Texas State +17.5

The Key: Coastal Carolina is in a big letdown spot after improving to 8-0 after beating the defending Sun Belt champion Appalachian State Mountaineers last week.  And they have a huge game on deck next week against Liberty.  They will be flat this week against Texas State.  The Bobcats are just 2-9 this season but they are fighting hard.  They have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  They covered in losses to Louisiana, Appalachian State and Georgia Southern which are 3 of the better teams in the Sun Belt and were competitive in all 3 games.  Then they upset Arkansas State 47-45 last week and were finally rewarded for their hard play.  That win will give them the confidence they need this week to compete with Coastal Carolina.  They only lost 21-24 as 7-point dogs to Coastal Carolina last year.  And this is their final game of the season so they should be all in against the unbeaten Chanticleers here.  The Bobcats are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games after yielding 575 or more total yards last game.  The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as home underdogs.  Take Texas State.

**2X Top 10 NCAAF Handicapper!** Dave was the #6 NCAAF Capper in 2011 and the #7 NCAAF Capper in 2008 as well! He is on a 64-34 NCAAF Run overall while also being ranked as the #1 NCAAF Capper in 2020! He is also the #3 Ranked Overall Capper in 2020 and riding a HOT 310-220 All Sports Run since December 28th! Give your man the beating he deserves on the college gridiron this weekend and hop on board for Dave's Saturday NCAA Football 5-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NCAAF Game of the Year along with four 6* plays! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Sunday's NFL picks for FREE!

6* Saturday NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on Louisville/Boston College OVER 54.5

The Key: This total is too low Saturday for 2 good passing offenses like Louisville and Boston College.  Boston College has a great freshman QB in Jurkovec who is completing 60% for 2,355 yards with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions this year.  The Eagles are averaging 262 PYPG.  Cunningham is completing 64% for 2,126 yards with 16 TD and 11 INT this year.  The Cardinals average 243 PYPG and 8.4 YPA.  But they also have a great rushing attack to compliment it with 194 RPYG and 5.2 YPA.  Both defenses are sub par as Louisville yields 26.4 PPG and BC gives up 26.9 PPG.  Last year these teams played in an absolute shootout with Louisville winning 41-39 for 80 combined points.  And that has been the norm in this series.  Each of the last 4 matchups have seen 58 or more combined points and 6 of the last 7 have seen 57 or more.  The OVER is 9-1 in Eagles last 10 games as a home favorite.  The OVER is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games off a home win.  The OVER is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games off an ATS win.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 matchups.  Take the OVER.

6* LSU/Texas A&M SEC *CA$H COW* on Texas A&M -14

The Key: The Texas A&M Aggies have a legit shot to make the 4-team playoff if they win out.  They are 5-1 this year with their only loss on the road to Alabama.  They have a win over Florida, a fellow playoff contender.  And they are going to need some style points the rest the way.  That’s why I’m not worried about laying 14 points here with the Aggies Saturday against LSU.  The Aggies have had the last 2 weeks off so they’ll be fresh and ready.  LSU played last week and was fortunate to beat Arkansas 27-24.  They ran 91 plays for only 419 yards against Arkansas, an average of just 4.6 YPP.  Arkansas ran just 53 plays for 443 yards against LSU, an average of 8.4 YPP.  The Tigers are now giving up 472.7 YPG and 7.3 YPP defensively this year.  Texas A&M only allows 338.2 YPG and 5.6 YPP defensively.  That’s where the difference lies between these two teams.  Plus Texas A&M has the better offense at 6.7 YPP compared to 5.9 YPP for LSU.  And Texas A&M has played the tougher schedule.  The Aggies are 7-0 ATS after outrushing their last opponents by 150 or more yards over the last 3 years.  Take Texas A&M.

6* Nevada/Hawaii Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Nevada -7

The Key: I’ve backed Nevada 4 times already this season and am 4-0 with them.  They delivered against San Diego State last week, and they’ll deliver again this week against Hawaii.  They’ll be hungry to avenge a fluky 54-3 upset loss to Hawaii last year.  And these teams have already played the same 3 teams this year that shows Nevada is by far the superior team.  Nevada is 3-0 against Wyoming, New Mexico and San Diego State and has outscored them by a total of 15 points.  Hawaii is 1-2 against those same 3 teams and has been outscored by 42 points total.  Hawaii hasn’t had much of a home-field advantage at all in going 11-27-1 ATS in its last 39 home games.  Take Nevada.

6* Maryland/Indiana Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Maryland +12

The Key: The Maryland Terrapins bounced back from their ugly loss to Northwestern with two shocking upsets of Minnesota as a 17.5-point underdog and Penn State as a 27.5-point underdog.  Tualia Tagovailoa, the brother of Miami Dolphins QB Too Tagovailoa, has lived up to the hype the past 2 games.  He has thrown for a combined 676 yards with 6 touchdowns and only 1 interception in those 2 victories.  And this offense should do what it wants against an Indiana defense that gave up 42 points and 607 yards to Ohio State last week.  That makes this a letdown spot for the Hoosiers after playing Ohio State and with Wisconsin on deck next week.  The Hoosiers are 5-0 ATS this season and oddsmakers are giving them too much respect this week now as a double-digit favorite over a live underdog like Maryland.  Each of the last 4 matchups between these teams were decided by 6 points or fewer and I could easily see that happening for a 5th straight year here.  Take Maryland.

7* NCAAF Game of the Year on Louisiana-Monroe +28.5

The Key: Louisiana-Lafayette had 33 players on coronavirus protocol last week and had their game cancelled.  Head coach Billy Napier came down with it as well and hasn’t been able to be at practice all week.  This team should not be laying 28.5 points in a rivalry game against Louisiana-Monroe.  They haven’t won a single game by more than 28 points this year, and Monroe has only 2 losses by more than 25 points this year.  6 of the last 7 matchups were decided by a single score, including only a 31-30 win by Louisiana last year as a 20.5-point favorite.  And Louisiana has their huge game with Appalachian State on deck next week so this just screams flat spot for them this week.  The dog is 16-3-1 ATS in the last 20 matchups.  Take Louisiana-Monroe.