Jim Feist – Sports Handicapper
Jim Feist
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England’s best path to victory starts with the overall size, depth and ability to attack Argentina from different angles. Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham have shouldered most of the scoring responsibilities so far, but this England team can also hurt you with Bukayo Saka, Anthony Gordon and its fullbacks. Expect that diversity to make it difficult for Argentina to sit deep and focus on stopping just one player.
England’s midfield battle will likely be determinant. Declan Rice provides enough physicality to disrupt Argentina in the buildup while Bellingham can surge forward to attack the space around Argentina’s own holding midfielders. Messi poses the biggest threat, but Argentina has already identified England’s size up the middle as one of their biggest challenges heading into this match.
As impressive as Messi has been, England still has the defensive tools to limit his impact. It won’t be able to completely take him out of the game, but England can use its athleticism to crowd the middle of the park, force Argentina wide and make Messi receive the ball further away from goal. Throw in Jordan Pickford in goal and England has the experience of multiple players who have excelled in big knockout games.
Argentina is averaging three goals per game in knockout wins over Cape Verde, Egypt and Switzerland, so England will need to limit the chances early. That said, Argentina has also conceded five goals combined over those three matches. If England pushes forward and uses its pace and movement on the counter, there will be openings to exploit – especially if Argentina’s fullbacks get caught upfield.
The good news for England is that it has already faced treacherous knockout opponents in Mexico and Norway, winning each game. This experience will bode well if the match is close late. Thomas Tuchel has talked about simplifying the message and preparing his team to simply play England’s style of soccer rather than getting caught up in this rivalry’s history.
Expect England to remain compact, clog the middle of the field and limit Argentina’s opportunities through central combinations. When attacking, look for those opportunities to come through Kane, Bellingham and Saka.
Jim's Play: 225620. England (Goal Line)
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Jim Feist is the recognized leader in the sports information and sports gaming industry. For more than 30 years his acclaim has become unparalleled, with numerous wins in prestigious handicapping contests. His other endeavors include websites that provide sports information worldwide. Feist is the principal panelist on PRO LINE, America's premier handicapping television show on the USA Cable Network. Year in, year out, Jim sets the standard for all other handicappers to gauge their own success. Experience, knowledge, and a limitless number of contacts and sources throughout the country make Jim the undisputed champion in sports handicapping. For sports information there's only one person to turn to: Jim Feist.
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