Alex Smart – Sports Handicapper
Alex Smart Sports Handicapper has been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. His handicapping can be best referred to as the ‘The Smart Money Approach” as Smart leaves no stone unturned and has a large database of information and statistics. He also takes into consideration factors such as injuries, current and historical trends, and form as well as factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.
Alex Smart Sports- /NBA/MLB/NHL action now on board. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
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|Clippers vs Raptors||UNDER 218 -112||Premium||115-96||Win||100||Show|
|Royals vs Tigers||Royals -120||Premium||7-8||Loss||-120||Show|
|Nuggets vs Hornets||Hornets +6½ -105||Premium||117-112||Win||100||Show|
|Yankees vs Rays||Rays +117||Premium||3-1||Loss||-100||Show|
|Phillies vs Nationals||OVER 9 +100||Premium||6-2||Loss||-100||Show|
|Nets vs Bulls||UNDER 233 -109||Premium||115-107||Win||100||Show|
PICKS IN PROGRESS
The Nets continue to play a much better brand of hoops of late as they pay special attention to their defensive responsibilities as the play offs approach. After playing last night the Nets will not be in a run and gun formation anyway and their tired legs could easily see them trying to grind this game down a bit to a slower pace vs the Spurs which should limit wide open back forth action which will relate to a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Nets are 5-1 UNDER L/6 games. The Nets are 0-11 L/11 UNDER at home off a win in a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 199.1 ppg going on the board.
Under is 16-5 L/21 meetings in Brooklyn.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 25-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 28-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.
Astros starter Jose Urquidy(RHP3-2, 3.51 ERA, 29 SO) has thrived in his last three starts, going 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. He's allowed four earned runs in 20 innings in those starts, with all four runs coming off solo homers. Rinse and repeat situation vs the Angels in this spot play.
LA ANGELS are 19-35 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. Angels are 27-55 in their last 82 games as an underdog.
Play on the Astros to win
MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 8-51 L/24 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Dodgers to win
The Rockets obviously have nothing left to play for, but an opportunity to upend the defending champs Im betting is something that will motivate them and push them into action. They have been playing a wide open brand of hoops lately and nothing should change here at Staples tonight Note: Houston has combined with their opponents to average of 250+ ppg in tier L/5 games overall. Meanwhile, at this time of year teams like the Lakers are gearing up for the play offs and looking to gain momentum. I know the Lakers D has been key to their successes this season, but they also need to generate some offense , and will push forward here aggressively either out of need or greed which will see this tilt turn into a higher scoring game than the pundits might expect.HOUSTON in 7 games as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points this season have seen a combined average of 245 ppg scored.Over is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 overall.
The Brooklyn Nets played last night in a revenge tilt vs the Bulls and got the redemption they wanted. Now on tired legs as they play back to back games the Nets could find their hands full vs a hungry Popivich crew that are vying for a play off appearance, and also in revenge mode for a loss back on March 1st to these same Nets. Note: The Nets are 3-9 ATS with not rest last 12 overall at home and 0-5 ATS vs non conference opposition. Also HC Pop of the Spurs is an astute student of the game, and when given the opportunity to avenge a loss vs a foe is 150-78 SU.
Spurs are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 road games.Spurs are 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings in Brooklyn.Nets are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games playing on 0 days rest.
Play on the Spurs to cover
In the Wizards last 16 games they have won 13 times and lost 3 times twice by 1 point margins and once by 3 points. Washington has proved themselves to be a side that deserves respect when taking points and nothing changes tonight in the rematch vs Atlanta from Monday night where they lost a hard fought 125-124 affair. Even with Bradly Beal out there is enough offence off the bench to get the job done.
WASHINGTON is 22-10 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 4.1 ppg. WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season and 12-4 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season.
Play on the Washington Wizards to cover
Vegas is off a 2-1 loss to Colorado last time out and is now in bounce back mode as momentum is important as we near post season play. Golden Knights are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. The Knights opponent the Sharks are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
VEGAS is 25-4 ATS against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game this season.VEGAS is 19-4 ATS against struggling power play killing teams-opp score on 19% or more of chances this season.VEGAS is 6-0 ATS in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
NHL Road teams against the money line (VEGAS) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 54-22 L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.
Golden Knights are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings and 5-0 L/5 in San Jose.
Play on the Golden Knights to win
Experience & Awards
I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.
My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.
My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.
I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!
I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.
I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.
I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.
My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.
Sports Betting Is An Investment
Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.
Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.
I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.
In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.
I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!
This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!
To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.
If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.
This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.
Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.
1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.
2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.
3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.
4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.
5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.
6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.
These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.
I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.
*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.