John Ryan Predictive Playbook Betting Picks

Pistons vs Clippers
7-Unit bet on the Clippers priced as 4.5-point home underdogs.

The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 17-26 SU and 26-17 ATS for 61% record since 2017. The requirements are:

Bet on any team coming off three consecutive road losses.

That team is playing on back-to-back nights.

The opponent has a winning record.

Jazz vs Wizards
7-Unit bet on the Wizards priced as 5-point favorites.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 74-18 SU (80%) and 64-27-1 ATS mark good for 70.3% winning bets since the start of the 1995 season. The requirements are:

Bet on favorites priced between 3 and 14 points.

The game occurs in the second half of the regular season.

The dog is coming off a game in which they had 13 or more turnovers than that foe.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 123-34 (78%) SU record and a 101-53-2 ATS mark for 65.6% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. The requirements are:

Bet on favorites priced between 3 and 10 points.

The foe committed 13 or more turnovers than did their opponent in their previous game.

If the game is the second of a home-home series, these favorites have gone 9-3 SUATS for 75% winning bets.

Wolves vs Hornets
7-unit bet on the Hornets priced as a 8-point home underdog.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 19-26 SU and 32-13 ATS good for 71% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

Bet on underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points.

That dog has failed to cover the spread by 50 or more points over their previous 7 games.

The opponent has seen their last seven games play OVER by 50 or more points.

Wolves vs Hornets
5-unit bet UNDER the posted total currently priced at 224.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 33-20-1 winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

Bet the UNDER with a road favorite that is outscoring their foes by three or more PPG.

They have scored 111 or more points in each of their last three games.

They have a winning record.

They are playing on back-to-back nights.

Thunder vs Grizzlies
7-Unit bet on the Thunder priced as an 8-point favorite.

The following NNBA betting algorithm has produced a 122-41 SU (75%) and a 94-68-1 ATS good for 58% winning bets since 2017. The requirements are:

Bet on road favorites of 4.5 or more points.

The game occurs in the second half of the season.

The favorite has won more games but not more than 20% more games as measured by win percentage.

The total is 225 or more points.

The following algorithm that has gone 257-60 (81%) SU and 191-119-7 ATS for 62% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are:

Bet on road favorites between -5.5 and -10.5 points.

Our road team has scored 5 or more points above the league average scoring level in their last three games.

If the host is playing on back-to-back nights our road favorite soars to a highly profitable 45-7 (87%) SU and 36-16-1 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2004.

Mavericks vs Bucks
7-Unit bet on the Mavericks priced as a 10-point underdog.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 13-28 SU record (28%) and a 29-11-1 ATS marl good for 73% winning bets since 2017.

Bet on road underdogs priced between 7 and 14 points.

They are coming off a home loss by 20 or more points.

They lost the previous meeting to the current opponent by double-digits.

If a divisional matchup, these dogs play hard and have earned a 5-11 SU and 12-4 ATS record good for 75% winning bets since 2017.

The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 123-196 SU (39%) and 192-124-3 ATS for 61% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are:

Bet on road teams avenging a same-season loss.

The road team is coming off a double-digit home loss.

If our team has won seven or more games of their previous 10, they soar to a remarkable 12-8 SU and 15-5 ATS for 75% winning bets.

Capitals vs Rangers
7-Unit bet on the Capitals priced as a –125-favorite.

The following NHL betting algorithm has produced a 118-68 SU record for 63.5% winning bets averaging a –130-wager resulting in a 21% ROI and a $39,060 profit for the $1,000 per game bettor and a $1,950 profit for the $50 per game bettor since 2018. The requirements are:

Bet on winning record road favorites.

The opponent has a winning record.

The opponent is coming off a home win.

If our favorite is priced between a –150 and –195-favorite, these teams have gone 27-8 SU for 77% winners averaging a 35% ROI and a $15,800 profit for the Dime Bettor and a $780 profit for the $50 per game bettor.

LaSalle vs George Mason
7-Unit bet on LaSalle priced as a 13.5-point underdog.

The following NCAA Basketball sports betting algorithm has done extremely well producing a 31-145 SU (18%) and a 108-67-1 ATS mark good for 62% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

Bet on underdog priced at 6 or more points.

The dog is coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe.

The favorite is coming off a road loss priced as the favorite.

If the average points scored by both teams is less than the posted total and the game number is 15 or more in the current season, these dogs have gone 12-38 S+U and 34-15-1 ATS for 69.4% winning bets.

Clemson vs Boston College
7-Unit bet on the UNDER priced at 137.5 points.

The following NCAA Basketball algorithm has produced a 43-20 record good for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

Bet the UNDER in a conference matchup.

The road team is riding a five ore-game ATS win streak.

The road team has won 80% or more of their games.

Wagner vs St. Francis
7-Unit bet on St. Francis priced as a 3.5-point favorite.

Of note, this is equal to the lowest total priced this season. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 43-17 SU and 36-21-3 ATS record for 63% winning bets since 2010. The requirements needed to create an active betting opportunity are:

Bet on a home or neutral court favorite.

This is the third meeting between the teams.

In the last meeting our home team lost at home and were priced as the favorite.

They lost the second-to-last meeting too.

Missouri vs Oklahoma
7-Unit bet on Oklahoma priced as a 4.5-point underdog.

The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has gone 32-32 SU and 41-23 ATS good for 64% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are:

Bet on home dogs priced between 3 and 7 points.

The dog has covered the spread in four or five of their previous 6 games.

The dog has a winning record.

Both teams are members in the one of the major conferences.

The opponent is not ranked.

Tonight, March 5, 2025, the Oklahoma Sooners take on the No. 15 Missouri Tigers in an SEC basketball matchup at the Lloyd Noble Center in Norman, Oklahoma, with tip-off set for 8:00 PM EST on ESPN+. Coming off a lopsided 82-58 loss to Missouri on February 12, the Sooners face a steep challenge against a Tigers team that has been a tough matchup for them historically (Missouri leads the all-time series 115-98). However, key matchups and strategic adjustments could pave the way for an upset victory and bolster Oklahoma’s NCAA Tournament resume. Here’s a breakdown of the critical matchups and how the Sooners can leverage them to defeat Missouri:

1. Oklahoma’s Guard Play vs. Missouri’s Backcourt Pressure

Key Players: Oklahoma’s Javian McCollum (13.5 PPG) and Otega Oweh (11.8 PPG) vs. Missouri’s Sean East II (15.8 PPG, 4.2 APG) and Nick Honor (11.2 PPG, 38% from three).

Why It Matters: In their previous meeting, Missouri’s guards dominated, forcing 17 turnovers and holding Oklahoma to a dismal 22.7% from three-point range. East II and Honor excel at pressuring ball-handlers and disrupting offensive flow, while Oklahoma’s backcourt struggled with decision-making and efficiency (36.1% from two).

Path to Success: McCollum, a transfer from Siena, must limit turnovers (Oklahoma ranks poorly in turnover percentage in SEC play) and attack Missouri’s defense off the dribble. Oweh’s athleticism could exploit Missouri’s occasionally lax perimeter defense (opponents shoot 34.8% from three against them). If Oklahoma’s guards can handle the pressure and knock down open looks—something they’ve done well at home (43.9% FG at Lloyd Noble)—they can keep pace with Missouri’s high-octane offense (82.4 PPG recently).

2. Oklahoma’s Frontcourt vs. Missouri’s Rebounding Prowess

Key Players: Oklahoma’s Sam Godwin (7.0 RPG) and Tanner Groves (when available, strong interior presence) vs. Missouri’s Mark Mitchell (career-high 23 points in last matchup) and Aidan Shaw (6.8 RPG).

Why It Matters: Missouri crushed Oklahoma on the glass in February (44-31 rebounding edge), fueling second-chance points and transition opportunities. The Tigers rank among the SEC’s best in rebounding margin (+5.1), while Oklahoma sits at the bottom of the conference in total rebounds (33.6 RPG).

Path to Success: Godwin must box out effectively and get help from forwards like Jalon Moore (6.5 RPG) to neutralize Missouri’s size advantage. Oklahoma’s lack of height (no starter over 6’10”) means they’ll need to gang-rebound and limit Mitchell’s impact in the paint, where he feasted last time. Winning the rebounding battle—or at least keeping it close—could slow Missouri’s transition game (15.1 fast-break points per game) and give Oklahoma more possessions.

3. Oklahoma’s Three-Point Shooting vs. Missouri’s Perimeter Defense

Key Stats: Oklahoma shoots 34.2% from three (4th in SEC) but was stifled to 5-for-22 in the last meeting; Missouri allows 33.1% from deep but excels at contesting shots.

Why It Matters: Missouri’s defensive strategy in the first matchup was to collapse on Oklahoma’s drives and dare them to shoot from outside—a tactic that worked brilliantly. The Sooners’ offense thrives when their shooters (McCollum, Oweh, and Milos Uzan) get hot, but they’ve been inconsistent on the road.

Path to Success: Playing at home, where Oklahoma’s crowd energy can boost confidence, the Sooners need to reverse their February performance by hitting a high percentage from beyond the arc. Missouri’s defense ranks well in effective FG% allowed (48.9%), but their three-point defense has been vulnerable against sharp-shooting teams (e.g., Tennessee hit 12 threes against them). If Oklahoma can stretch the floor and convert at a 40%+ clip from three, they’ll force Missouri to adjust and open driving lanes.

4. Oklahoma’s Defensive Intensity vs. Missouri’s Offensive Balance

Key Players: Oklahoma’s Milos Uzan (2.1 steals per game in SEC play) vs. Missouri’s Tamar Bates (13.5 PPG, 47% FG) and Anthony Robinson II (emerging freshman playmaker).

Why It Matters: Missouri’s offense is diverse, with five players averaging double figures and a strong inside-out game (48.2% FG, 36.8% from three in SEC play). Oklahoma’s defense, while scrappy (forcing 12.8 turnovers per game), was torched for 82 points in the last meeting and struggles to contain balanced attacks.

Path to Success: Uzan and Oweh must lead a disruptive effort, pressuring Missouri’s guards into mistakes—something Oklahoma failed to do last time (Missouri had only 11 turnovers). Shutting down Bates, who complements East II with efficient scoring, will be key. If the Sooners can force 15+ turnovers and convert them into transition points (where they average 13.2 per game), they can disrupt Missouri’s rhythm and capitalize on their home-court advantage.

Additional Factors

Home Court Boost: Oklahoma is 11-4 at Lloyd Noble this season, with wins over ranked teams like Iowa State and Baylor. The Sooners’ energy and shooting tend to elevate at home, a stark contrast to their road woes (3-7 away).

Bubble Motivation: Sitting on the NCAA Tournament bubble (projected 8-seed in recent bracketology), Oklahoma desperately needs a Quad 1 win. Missouri, at 17-7 and ranked No. 15, offers that opportunity, and the Sooners’ fight to secure a postseason berth could fuel an inspired effort.

Rematch Adjustments: Coach Porter Moser likely spent the last three weeks dissecting the February loss. Expect Oklahoma to tweak their pick-and-roll defense (Missouri exploited it for easy buckets) and emphasize ball security after coughing it up 17 times.

Conclusion

For the Oklahoma Sooners to defeat the Missouri Tigers tonight, they’ll need their guards to handle pressure and hit threes, their frontcourt to compete on the boards, and their defense to force turnovers. The previous 24-point beatdown exposed Oklahoma’s weaknesses, but playing at home with a healthier roster (no major injuries reported) and a refined game plan gives them a fighting chance. If McCollum and Oweh outduel East II and Honor, and the Sooners shoot above their season average from deep while keeping the rebounding margin close, they can flip the script and secure a critical 75-70 victory. This upset would not only even the season series but also keep Oklahoma’s tournament hopes alive as Selection Sunday nears.

Florida vs Alabama
7-unit bet on Florida priced as a 2.5-point underdog.

I fully expect scoring volatility to be quite high given these two SEC programs. So, my betting plan is to bet 50% preflop andthenlookforany‘Bamascoringstreak(unansweredpoints)of8ormorepointstothenbetonFloridaforanother25%amount.Keepinmindyoumaybe getting Florida as a favorite if they are up 14 points, for instance, before the ‘Bama scoring run. In addition, I will be a total of FIVE 10% betting amounts on Florida at 3.5,4.5,5.5,6.6, and 7.5 points during the first half of action. If the scoring run by ‘Bama happens first and 25% more is added make certain you don’t exceed 100% of your 7-Unit betting amount. Send any questions over to me and i will get back to you with answers.

The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 16-8 SUATS record for 67% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

Bet on a road team that is ranked in the top 10.

The home team is ranked in the top 10.

The market has priced the road team between a 3-point favorite to a 3-point underdog. (between the 3’s).

The total is priced at 150 or more points.

Here is another NCAA basketball betting algorithm that has produced a 17-16 SU and 22-10-1 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets. The requirements are:

Bet on road teams after the game number 10 of the season.

The combined defensive points allowed per game by both teams is 27 or more points less than the total.

The total is priced at 160 or more points.

This is the third highest total of the4 2024-25 NCAA basketball season. Alabama has been involved in the other two games reflecting their potent offense and a lack of focused defensive effort too. Those two games did play UNDER their respective totals.

Tonight, March 5, 2025, the Florida Gators face off against the Alabama Crimson Tide in an SEC basketball game at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, with tip-off scheduled for 7:00 PM EST on ESPN2. Given the current standings and recent performances, several key matchups could determine whether the Gators can secure a victory on the road against a formidable Alabama squad. Here’s a breakdown of the critical matchups and factors that could help Florida come out on top:

1. Florida’s Backcourt vs. Alabama’s Guard Play

Key Players: Florida’s Walter Clayton Jr. (16.9 PPG, 4.0 APG) and Zyon Pullin vs. Alabama’s Mark Sears (19.1 PPG, 5.0 APG) and Aden Holloway (13.1 PPG over the last 10 games).

Why It Matters: Both teams boast potent guard-heavy offenses. Alabama’s Sears is a dynamic scorer and facilitator, leading an offense ranked among the nation’s best (averaging 91.2 points over the last 10 games). Florida counters with Clayton Jr., a sharpshooter and playmaker, and Pullin, who has been clutch in big moments (19 points in last year’s SEC Tournament win over Alabama).

Path to Success: Florida’s guards need to match Alabama’s perimeter efficiency (10.6 made 3-pointers per game) while exploiting the Tide’s turnover-prone tendencies (Alabama ranks poorly in turnover percentage). Forcing Sears and Holloway into mistakes—Florida’s defense ranks decently in forcing turnovers—could disrupt Alabama’s fast-paced rhythm (No. 1 nationally in tempo at 78.61 possessions per 40 minutes).

2. Florida’s Frontcourt Depth vs. Alabama’s Interior Presence

Key Players: Florida’s Alex Condon (7.7 RPG) and Tyrese Samuel (strong rebounder and scorer, 18 points in last year’s SEC Tournament win) vs. Alabama’s Grant Nelson (8.0 RPG, 1.3 BPG).

Why It Matters: Alabama has struggled with injuries this season, testing their depth, while Florida’s frontcourt has been a consistent strength (39.1 rebounds per game, third in college basketball). Condon and Samuel can dominate the glass, especially given both teams’ vulnerability to offensive rebounds—Alabama allows a high offensive rebounding percentage, and Florida can capitalize with second-chance points.

Path to Success: Florida’s big men must control the paint defensively, limiting Nelson’s impact while crashing the boards hard. Alabama’s interior defense has shown weaknesses against top SEC teams, and Florida’s balance (five wins in their last 10 meetings with Alabama) could shine here if Condon and Samuel exploit mismatches.

3. Florida’s Offensive Efficiency vs. Alabama’s Defensive Inconsistencies

Key Stats: Florida’s offense ranks elite (83.8 PPG, 46.7% FG) against an Alabama defense that’s inconsistent against top SEC foes (allowing 80.1 PPG recently).

Why It Matters: Alabama thrives on outscoring opponents with a modern, three-point-heavy attack (1.27 effective FG% in recent games), but their defense has faltered against balanced teams like Florida. The Gators’ ability to shoot efficiently (43.9% FG in SEC play) and reduce turnovers (better turnover percentage than Alabama) gives them an edge in a high-possession game.

Path to Success: Florida should push the pace to match Alabama’s style (though they rank 71st in tempo compared to Alabama’s 1st) while maintaining discipline. Will Richard (13.8 PPG over the last 10 games) could be a difference-maker from beyond the arc if he gets hot, stretching Alabama’s defense thin.

4. Rebounding Battle: Second-Chance Opportunities

Key Stats: Both teams struggle to prevent offensive rebounds (Florida allows 1.21 offensive rebounding percentage, Alabama 1.22), creating a critical rebounding matchup.

Why It Matters: Extra possessions will be pivotal in a game expected to feature plenty of scoring (over/under set at 173.5 points in some projections). Florida’s rebounding prowess (39.1 RPG) gives them a slight edge over Alabama (37.9 RPG recently).

Path to Success: Florida must win the rebounding war, particularly on the offensive end, to keep pace with Alabama’s high-octane offense. Freshmen like Thomas Haugh, who’ve bolstered Florida’s bench rebounding, could tip the scales.

Additional Factors

Home Court vs. Road Resilience: Alabama is 12-2 at home this season, but Florida has won two of their last three meetings with the Tide, including a 105-87 rout in Gainesville last year and a 102-88 SEC Tournament victory. The Gators have the experience to handle a hostile Coleman Coliseum crowd.

Injury Edge: Alabama is banged up—Derrion Reid (leg) is out, and Houston Mallette is questionable—while Florida enters with a fully healthy roster, giving them depth and flexibility.

Conclusion

For the Florida Gators to defeat Alabama tonight, they’ll need their backcourt to outduel Sears and Holloway, their frontcourt to dominate the boards, and their offense to stay efficient against a shaky Tide defense. By forcing turnovers, securing second-chance points, and leveraging their depth, Florida can exploit Alabama’s recent struggles against top SEC teams (e.g., losses to Tennessee and Ole Miss). If the Gators execute in these key matchups, they have a strong shot at pulling off the upset and strengthening their case for a high NCAA Tournament seed.