Matt Fargo – Sports Handicapper

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma St. has gotten off to a rough start as it is 3-5 including losses in two straight games against Creighton and Southern Illinois. Two losses prior to that came against St. Bonaventure and Notre Dame by identical 66-64 scores in back-to-back games on a neutral floor at the Barclays Center. The Cowboys posses a strong backcourt and a balanced frontcourt after bringing in the No. 9 recruiting class in the country and those freshman are already getting valuable minutes. This is the get right game it needs coming off a five-day layoff and having a week off upcoming for finals. Tulsa is 5-2 following a home win over Loyola-Chicago and the Golden Hurricane improved to 5-0 at home. The two losses came in true road games and while this is a neutral court game, they have not been able to win away from home as they have lost 16 straight games away from Tulsa. They have played solid defense thus far but that comes with an asterisk as Tulsa has played a schedule ranked No. 356 out of 364 teams so the record and stats are skewed and this is easily its toughest opponent. 10* (862) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

This is a play on the COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON COUGARS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. It has been a rugged start for Charleston as it is 4-4 which should be considered pretty solid considering the schedule it has played. The Cougars opened the season at TD Arena against Iona on November 6 and has not been home since, as they have traveled to Annapolis, Myrtle Beach, Conway, Kent and Boca Raton over a stretch of seven games and against quality opposition. The Cougars have faced the No. 45 ranked schedule in the country and will be jazzed to be back on their home floor for the start of a three-game homestand. Rhode Island has been inconsistent thus far as it opened the season with three wins and since then, it has alternated consecutive losses, consecutive wins and consecutive losses. The last two losses especially hurt as they came against Providence and Brown, their two local rivals so now hitting the road after those will make it difficult. At 5-4, the Rams are at least above .500 but it has come against a schedule ranked No. 227 as they were favored by at least 10 points in those first three wins and also playing a non-Division 1 team. 10* (838) College of Charleston Cougars

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our Sunday Free Play. San Francisco has looked dominant the last four weeks with double-digit wins in all of those games and the 49ers are the current public darling, overtaking the Eagles following their 42-19 drubbing of Philadelphia last week. The 49ers are now the favorites to win the Super Bowl at +310 and justifiably so but coming off that Eagles win and all of the talk after, this should be a slight letdown spot regardless of this being a divisional game. Despite 94 percent of the money on Seattle, we have seen a big line increase with this line opening at 10.5 so we are getting a reverse line move. Seattle has dropped three straight games to fall to 6-6 and it is currently tied with three other teams for two playoff spots in the NFC. The Seahawks have dropped four straight road games but have been within one possession in three of those. Seattle got its offense going again last week against a very good Dallas defense and it is now No. 14 in offensive DVOA and it should not take much to stay within this big number. Head coach Pete Carroll has been perfect at 5-0 with the Seahawks when coming off three straight losses and it does not get bigger than this one. Here, we play against favorites outgaining their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after gaining 375 or more total yards in three consecutive games. This situation is 44-19 ATS (69.8 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (119) Seattle Seahawks

Matt is locked and loaded in the NFL following a 4-2 Week 13 and a Patriots win on Thursday as we keep it rolling! The NFL Regular and Postseason record is 110-87-3 (+$14,710) since the start of last season and the remainder of Week 14 is loaded with SIX Winners (4 Sunday, 2 Monday)!

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Divisional Game of the Year. We have seen this line go up since opening and it has crossed the key number of three which is big in a divisional game with similar opponents. The public is in love with the Cowboys which has caused the move as they have won four straight games, the first three in blowout fashion, but they struggled against Seattle last Thursday. Dallas does have the advantage of playing with some extra rest but that is not a big issue here, the issue is who they are playing. The Cowboys have rolled over the bad team that are not playoff contenders, with the Rams being a fringe contender, but they have struggled with the four teams that are in playoff position and now the schedule cranks up the next four weeks so we will see how good they really are. The Eagles were blown out at home last week against the 49ers but they were coming off three tough games against Dallas, Kansas City and Buffalo and while it does not get any easier here, last week was a wake up call and we get a line advantage because of that. Philadelphia has been one of the most lucky teams in the league and it has gotten away with some close calls but the numbers do not lie as the Eagles are No. 8 in net DVOA and while it has been a brutal stretch, they are pretty healthy once again. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has been gimping around but he will be fine and this could be the breakout after three straight below average games. 10* (127) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. The weather looks to be a big factor in many of the east coast games and this is certainly one of those as we have seen the total drop from 38.5 to 33 but the line has only come down a half point. There is rain and wind in the forecast and that is going cause the most problems for the Houston offense which likes to throw the ball downfield. Quarterback C.J. Stroud has had an incredible rookie season but could struggle in these conditions and he will be without one of his top receivers with Tank Bell going down for the rest of the season. While the offense could be limited, the defense has been average as the Texans are ranked No. 15 in DVOA. The Jets offense will certainly be limited as it has been all season and they have averaged only 9.0 ppg during their five-game losing streak. We are not too concerned about that as they are getting value based on their own struggles, especially going 0-5 ATS in their last five games, and the public love for Houston. The defense has kept them competitive in games mostly not against elite competition as New York is No. 3 in defensive DVOA. The quarterback situation has obviously been a mess but can only go up. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams allowing between 18 and 23 ppg, after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (118) New York Jets

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. Indianapolis is on a roll right now with four straight wins and with the injury to Trevor Lawrence, it is very much alive in the AFC South. The Colts are currently in the No. 7 spot in the AFC and tied with three other teams at 7-5 with a very manageable closing schedule. The offense has been sneaky good with Garnder Minshew at quarterback but a lot of that is due to the defense that has produced 20 takeaways this season and their 1.7 per game is tied for fifth in the NFL. Overall, that defense is No. 12 in DVOA and has a great matchup this week. Cincinnato is coming off a huge upset over Jacksonville on Monday night as quarterback Jake Browning looked like a veteran and he has been very serviceable in his two starts. But now, teams have film on him and can better scheme for him and he is due for a regression. The defense continues to struggle as the Bengals have allowed 30 points or more in three of their last four games and are currently No. 27 in defensive DVOA. Cincinnati is No. 13 in offensive DVOA but that can be attributed but that is when they caught fire in Week Five and had a sustainable run with Joe Burrow. Here, we play against teams off an upset win as a double digit underdog, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 21-3 ATS (87.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (115) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Jacksonville suffered a big loss on Monday and an even bigger loss going forward with Trevor Lawrence leaving with an ankle injury. It does not sound overly serious and he has not completely been ruled out for Sunday as of Wednesday and while he likely will not go, the Jaguars, like what many teams do, will rally around him and C.J. Beathard and the rest of the team will give a big effort following that loss. Jacksonville but picking up steam on defense before last week but is still No. 6 in defensive DVOA and has a great matchup here. Cleveland has lost two straight games and while those were on the road and it has been a much better team at home, the offense has regressed. Even though it was never very good, the offense has averaged only 14.7 ppg over their last three games and they are getting more banged up. Quarterback Joe Flacco made his first start and while he threw for 254 yards, he completed only 52.3 percent of his passes and finished with a 75.4 rating. The defense remains great and is awesome at home but have been going the wrong way. Here, we play against home favorites averaging between 18 and 23 ppg and after two straight losses by 10 points or more going up against teams allowing between 18 and 23 ppg. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (105) Jacksonville Jaguars