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Cavaliers vs Magic

1 ET | Kia Center

5-Unit Bet on the Over currently priced at 201.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 22-10-1 Over record good for 69% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·      Bet the Over.

·      The home team priced between a 3.5-point favorite and a 3.5-point underdog.

·      The game occurs in the playoffs.

·      The home team is coming off a home win.

·      The road team shot less than 25% from beyond the arc.

Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add the remaining 25% of your 8-Unit best bet at 196.5 points during the first half of action.

My predictive model shows an 82% probability that the Magic have an 85% probability that they will score 111 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. In home games over the last five seasons the Magic have seen the Over go 31-11 for 74% winning bets when they have met these performance measures in games that had a posted total of 200 or more points.

Ricky's 1* play on CIN.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Cincinnati are 5-3-3 in their last 11 home matches.

- Cincinnati are 3-2-1 in their last 6 matches.

- Colorado has conceded 16 goals in their last 10 matches.

Verdict: The Value is on the home favorite.

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 4/26:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Friday was with the San Francisco Giants with the money-line versus the Pittsburgh Pirates listing both starting pitchers Kyle Harrison and Quinn Priester. San Francisco (12-14) had their two-game winning streak snapped in an 8-2 loss at home to the New York Mets on Wednesday. The Giants have won 9 of their last 13 games after a loss this season. They have also won 5 of their 8 games at home with the Total set in the 8-8.5 range. Pittsburgh (13-13) has lost two games in a row as well as eight of their last ten contests after a 7-5 loss to Milwaukee yesterday. The Pirates have lost 27 of their last 39 games after losing six or seven of their last eight games. They go back on the road after a seven-game home stand — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 30 of their last 45 games after playing four or more games at home. Take San Francisco with the money-line listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer is on a 16 of 21 (76%) NBA run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays after their 2-0 Thursday S-W-E-E-P! Frank is on a 25 of 36 (69%) All-Sports run with featured plays — and he enjoys longer-running 31 of 45 (69%) and 84 of 130 (65%) NBA featured play runs! Now Frank continues his 46 of 61 (75%) NBA TOTALS TEAR with featured plays with tonight’s Minnesota-Phoenix O/U winner on ESPN at 10:40 PM ET! Want ONE MORE WINNER for Friday? BANK on Frank!

Jack's Free Pick Friday: San Francisco Giants -140

The San Francisco Giants have the rest advantage over the Pittsburgh Pirates.  They had yesterday off while the Pirates finished their 4-game series at home with the Brewers on Thursday.  The Pirates lost that game to fall to 2-8 in their last 10 games overall.  They have scored 2 runs or fewer in seven of their last nine games.

The Giants have the advantage on the mound today over the Pirates as well.  Kyle Harrison is 3-2 with a 4.52 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 12 career starts over the past two seasons with 59 K's in 61 2/3 innings.

While those numbers aren't great, Harrison is much better than Pittsburgh's Quinn Priester.  He is 3-4 with a 7.79 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in nine starts and two relief appearances in his career over the past two seasons with only 38 K's and 15 homers allowed in 54 1/3 innings.  This is more of a fade of Priester than anything.  Bet the Giants Friday.

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Dave's Friday Free Play:

1* on Phoenix Suns -4.5

The Key: The Phoenix Suns shot terribly in Minnesota in the first two games of this series.  They will shoot it much better at home and should get a lot more from Booker and Beal than they got in those two games in Minnesota.  Keep in mind the Suns won all 3 matchups in the regular season by double-digits and know what it takes to attack the Timberwolves.  They will put their best foot forward tonight with their season on the line in Game 3.  Phoenix is 35-21 ATS in its last 56 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less.  The Suns are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after scoring 100 points or less.  Take Phoenix.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY

1* Free Sharp Play on Wolves vs Suns over

Free Pick on Oilers

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Chip’s FREE NBA Playoff Winner

Minnesota at Phoenix 10:30 ET

Timberwolves (+) over Suns- prior to the past two games in Minnesota the Suns had cover 10 straight against the T’wolves going 9-1 ATS. But, things seem have turned around a the Wolves swept the opening two games covering easily. The beat go on here and Edwards back down Durant. Take MINNESOTA!

1*

The Minnesota Timberwolves hold a 2-0 lead and have been doing it with their defense and some help from the Suns. Minnesota had the leagues number one defense and it showed up in the first two games, holding the zSuns to under 100 points in both home games. They were also helped out by sloppy guard play from the suns. Booker fouled out and committed 6 to and the team had 19 in total. Booker, Durant and Bradley Beal combined to shoot 18 for 45 and I dont expect that to happen at home. Depending on the market, the total was 214.5 in Game 1 and 213.5 in Game 2. The adjustment has been made for Game 3, as the number is a full seven points lower (depending on the market). The Suns played well at home during the regular season against the Wolves, and have covered in six straight at home. Phoenix failed to crack 10 made 3-point field goals in both Games 1 and 2, and Grayson Allen’s injury has a lot to do with that. They ranked fourth in 3-point field goal percentage at home this season. I think Phoenix will play a lot better on their home court and i think they have dropped this number too much.

Play on the OVER.