Rangers vs Mariners Prediction & Betting Odds July 3, 2021

Published July 3, 2021 in Featured

Larry Ness Rangers vs Mariners Expert Free Pick

Play on: Rangers +134

Start Time: July 03 2021, 10:10 PM

The Mariners billed last night’s game as their Grand Re-Opening Night, as it was the first time all season the crowd wasn’t limited by Washington state coronavirus restrictions. The contest drew 28,638 fans, Seattle’s biggest crowd in two years. Those fans were rewarded as Seattle scored in the bottom of the 10th for a 5-4 victory. As for the sad-sack Rangers, it was their 13th consecutive loss at T-Mobile Park. Texas is 32-50 on the season (last in the AL West), 17 1/2-games behind Houston. Seattle is 44-39 and six games back of the Astros and at least for a while, will maintain hopes of climbing into the wild card race.

Tonight’s starting pitchers are Jordan Lyles (3-5, 5.12 ERA) of Texas and Marco Gonzales (1-4, 5.10 ERA) for Seattle. Lyles is the very definition of a journeyman, going 47-71 with a 5.21 ERA over 273 career appearances (167 starts). Milwaukee traded for Lyles in the middle of the 2019 season and he went 7-1 with a 2.45 ERA and .202 BAA in 11 starts (team was 10-1). That excellent “half season” was enough for Texas to sign him to a two-year contract with the Texas Rangers worth $16 million in December of 2019. One can only wonder why. He was 1-6 with a 7.02 ERA in 12 appearances (nine stars) in 2020. As noted above, he’s struggling again this season, although the Rangers are 7-8 in his 15 starts.

Gonzales went 36-24 (.600) for Seattle from 2018-2020 with a 3.85 ERA but he has dealt with injuries and ineffectiveness this season. A left forearm strain sidelined him for all of May and he has made just nine starts in 2021 (team is 4-5) He was 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA in April’s five starts (team was 2-3) and then went 0-1 with a 4.66 ERA in four June starts (team was 2-2). Gonzales missed his last start while on the paternity list (first child was born Monday) but is scheduled to start against the Texas Rangers.

Lyles comes in having allowed three ERs or less in SIX of his last eight appearances (seven starts and a six-inning relief appearance) and that’s an improvement. After an ‘unlucky’ 13-game losing streak in Seattle, aren’t the Rangers due (overdue)?

Good luck…Larry


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