Michael Alexander Sports Handicapper

Rating: 2 Units

The UNC Greensboro Spartans use a very strong offense that is excellent at long distance shooting together with a defense that limits opponents to a low shooting percentage. UNC Greensboro shoots 39.7% from three point land which is 15th best in the nation and holds opponents to a field goal shooting percentage of just 40.4%. UNC Greensboro scores 79.9 points per game and allows 10.5 points less at 70.4 points per game. Elon is scoring an average of 82.8 per game but gives up 77.6 per contest and gives up high shooting percentages as opponents are making 46.3% overall and 32.2% from 3 point land against the Phoenix. Elon has failed to cover the spread in each of the last two while going 1-1 straight up over that span. UNC Greensboro has won each of its last six straight up and is 3-2 ATS over that span, which included a victory straight up over Arkansas as 15-point road dogs.

Rating: 2 Units

Rating: 2 Units

This game may be on a neutral court, but St. John's will have the fandom edge based on where it is. Outside of that, they're already a better team. The Red Storm's greatest advantage will be on the glass, which will lead them to a comfortable win. One of the other key separators for this game is that the Red Storm hits 37.1% of their threes, and Boston College only knocks down 33.9%. Considering that both defenses allow opponents to hit more than 37% of their threes, sharpshooting will also make a massive difference. St. John's beats Boston College there too, and will win this game by more than six points.

Rating: 2 Units

Rating: 2 Units

The Friars have won seven of their last nine games and six straight home games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring more than 79 points per game while making over 49 percent of their shots. They rebound the ball well and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of protecting the ball and won’t give the Bears a lot of easy scoring chances. The Bears have struggled defensively and they play worse on the road, giving up more than 73 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Friars in this game. The Bears have lost eight of their last 11 games and four of their last five road games. They have struggled offensively and barely scored more than 60 points per game in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Friars and won’t get a lot of second-chance opportunities against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Friars. The Friars have done a good job defensively, especially at home where they are holding opponents under 65 points per game, so expect them to keep Brown’s offense in check. Go with Providence to cover the spread.

Rating: 2 Units

Atlanta is ‘leaking oil’, having been outgained in its last three games. Sure, the Dirty Birds sport the better offense and the better defense, but they are 0-6 ATS when coming off a road win as a favorite and 2-9 ATS as home chalk of 4 or fewer points. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games and 7-2 SUATS in games off a win-no-cover, including 4-0 SUATS in division battles. With Baker Mayfield in a good rhythm with a 90.8 Passer Rating in his last five starts, the quarterback edge goes to Tampa. And with it, the points become the play today.

Rating: 3 Units

The Ravens went into their week of rest with a half-game lead for home-field advantage and the lone playoff bye but now trail Miami due to tiebreakers. That should get their attention today. Especially knowing they are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five games in this series. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 3-0 since their Bye week, but find themselves facing the well-rested Ravens. It’s important given the fact the Rams are on 2-9 ATS against rested foes under Sean McVay, including a 0-7 ATS losing skid the last seven games (0-2 this season). And the Rams bring a hard-to-like 2-10 ATS log into this fray when coming off back-to-back SUATS wins.

SNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Philadelphia isn’t currently scheduled to face another squad with a winning record for the remainder of the regular season. That should be good news considering the fact the Eagles are 9-4 SUATS in this series in games in which they own a .750 or greater win percentage, including 5-0 ATS when Dallas enters off a win. Take the points with the better team coming off an embarrassing loss, and if you’re uncomfortable, consider that the Eagles are 16-6 SU and 14-7-1 ATS versus winning foes during the regular season behind QB Jalen Hurts, including 14-1 SU and 11-3-1 ATS the last fifteen games

NFL Conference Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Seahawks bring artillery of their own into this battle with a jaw-dropping 24-8 SU and 25-6-1 ATS mark in games when coming off consecutive losses as a dog, including 6-2 SU and 7-0-1 ATS against foes coming off a win of 7 or more points. They are also 12-4 SU and 13-3 ATS in this series before Game Fourteen of the season, including 7-0 ATS when the Niners enter off a SUATS win. However, Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 9-1 SUATS in his career when coming off three losses, including 5-0 SUATS with the Seahawks, as well as 8-0 SUATS against foes coming off a win.