Michael Alexander Sports Handicapper
Michael Alexander

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat vs Nuggets | Heat +8½ -110 | Premium | 111-108 | Win | 100 | Show |
Mariners vs Rangers | OVER 8 -110 | Premium | 3-12 | Win | 100 | Show |
Tigers vs White Sox | UNDER 9 -120 | Premium | 2-6 | Win | 100 | Show |
Rays vs Red Sox | Red Sox +112 | Premium | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | Show |
Mariners vs Rangers | Rangers -145 | Premium | 3-12 | Win | 100 | Show |
Angels vs Astros | Astros -144 | Premium | 2-1 | Loss | -144 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Rating: 2 Units
The Golden Knights ran away with Game One, making it easy to think they'll control the upcoming game to take a commanding series lead. However, the Panthers, who had the first game tied up through two periods, look to bounce back and take over the upcoming game. The Panthers should constantly find the back of the net with Anthony Duclair, Carter Verhaeghe, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes to the face-off circles and the slot. The Panthers also look to bounce back after allowing five goals in Game One and limit the Golden Knights' offense with Aaron Ekblad and Gustav Forsling creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to step up and make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game to even up the series and provide great odds in the process as road Underdogs.
Rating: 2 Units
Houston hasn't been their best offensively in 2023. Their greatest strength is putting the ball in play, as they're eighth in strikeout rate this season. The Astros may have to play this series without All-Star Jose Altuve though. He injured his oblique on Saturday against the Angels. He's only played 11 games this season, another reason why the Astros aren't one of MLB's top offenses as they were in 2022. Consider that the under is 15-5-1 in Astros last 21 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Rating: 2 Units
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing better in recent games and this pitching matchup favors them. Brewers’ starter Julio Teheran is making a comeback and so far he looks great, limiting the Giants to one run and the Blue Jays to one run (zero earned) in his two outings spanning 11 innings this season. The Reds have Andrew Abbott making his MLB debut in this game. I usually stay away from pitchers making their debut, especially considering the strength of the Milwaukee bats in this series. They have accumulated 20 runs in the first three games of this series, winning all three decisions. The Reds have hit a bump and are struggling at home where they are 1-5 in their last six games.
Rating; 2 Units
St. Louis has struggled of late after seemingly righting the ship during the early part of May. The Cardinals stand 10 games under the .500 mark and one has to seriously wonder if John Mozeliak will be a seller at the trade deadline. Wainwright has sputtered in his limited action this season, posting an ERA north of six while averaging just over five innings a start. Texas is a dangerous team as they can win low-scoring games, as we saw in Friday’s opener with the Mariners, and slugfests. Perez has played with fire at times this season, giving up 74 hits in his 61 innings of work, but with the Rangers sporting a run differential of +143 entering Sunday, it’s clear that the bats can make up for any shortcomings on the mound. Give Texas the upper hand here as they prevail at home.
Rating: 2 Units
The Phillies will hand the ball to Aaron Nola (4-4, 4.70 ERA) today. Nola has been effective in his career against the Tigers, posting a 1-0 record with a 1.93 ERA in three starts. The Tigers gave up four runs in the bottom of the ninth inning and fell 6-2 against the Chicago White Sox on Sunday. Jake Burger hit a walk-off grand slam. The Tigers, who received a two-run homer from Spencer Torkelson in that loss, will arrive in Philadelphia after being swept by the White Sox in a three-game series. Detroit starter, Wentz has had a rough first half of the season with a 7.28 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP in 11 starts, and he’s had very little run support in any of those outings. But even without his offense scoring for him, Wentz has the tendency to put his team in a hole early on. He has a .289 xBA with a 45% hard-hit rate and a 9.4% barrel rate which all rank in the bottom 30% in their respective category.
Rating: 2 Units
The Astros are scheduled to start right-hander Brandon Bielak (2-2, 3.19 ERA). It will be his first career appearance against Toronto. Bielak has won two of his past three starts, including a 5-1 victory over the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday. He gave up one run on three hits over 5 2/3 innings. The Blue Jays are scheduled to start right-hander Alek Manoah (1-6, 5.46). In his one previous start against the Astros, which came on April 23, 2022, Manoah tossed six innings of two-run ball and picked up the win. Manoah, whose only win this season came on April 5, has lost his last two starts, allowing seven runs, six earned, over a combined seven innings. The Astros are 18-6 in their last 24 games since starting the season 17-18. They are also 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
SERVICE BIO
Michael Alexander is the Founder and Head Handicapper of Alexander Sports. Mr. Alexander has been handicapping sports (NFL Football Picks, College Football Picks, NBA Basketball Picks, College Basketball Picks, NHL Hockey Picks, and MLB Baseball Picks) for over 20 years and holds numerous top 10 handicapping rankings and is the 2004 Overall Champion as documented at Procappers! His approach to this craft is truly unique in the industry. With a background in statistics and prior experience in finance, Michael combines in depth statistical analysis with a financial risk/reward formula. It is this method that allows Mr. Alexander to properly weigh the risk of investment vs. the possible reward of investment for each game he analyzes.
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