| Providence vs Xavier | Providence +4 -110 | Premium | 83-85 |
Win | 100 | Show |
Rating: 2 Units Xavier (17-5, 9-2 Big East) enters the game tied for first in the conference but is coming off an 84-67 loss at Creighton on Saturday. The Friars (17-5, 9-2) also sit atop the conference, alongside the Musketeers and Marquette. The Musketeers received untimely news on Tuesday with the revelation that big man Zach Freemantle will be sidelined at least four weeks with a left foot injury. Freemantle is averaging 15.2 points and a team-best 8.1 rebounds per game and is shooting 58.5 percent from the field. Consider that the Friars are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. |
| New Mexico vs Utah State | New Mexico +4½ -110 | Premium | 73-84 |
Loss | -110 | Show |
Rating: 2 Units The Aggies are one of the most dangerous offensive teams in the country. They heavily lean on 3-point shooting and pace the nation in 3-point percentage, but the Aggies’ defense is far away from an elite level. That’s going to be an issue in this matchup, as New Mexico owns one of the best scoring trios in college basketball. Jamal Mashburn Jr, Jaelen House, and Morris Udeze will torture the Aggies’ D and help the Lobos to keep it close down the stretch. The Lobos defend the 3-point line well and love to get to the free-throw line. They are 17th in the country in free-throw rate. I’m backing the Lobos, who are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven outings on the road. The Aggies, on the other side, are 1-4 ATS in their previous five games overall. |
| Bruins vs Maple Leafs | Bruins -128 | Premium | 5-2 |
Win | 100 | Show |
Rating: 2 Units This is going to be a great game between two of the best teams in the NHL. The Maple Leafs look to win on their home ice but the Bruins look to bounce back from three rough losses and control this game. The Bruins should create plenty of scoring chances with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Bruins, who allow only 2.12 goals per game, should limit the Maple Leafs' offense with Hampus Lindholm, Brandon Carlo, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Linus Ullmark to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
| Tennessee vs Florida | Tennessee -5 -110 | Premium | 54-67 |
Loss | -110 | Show |
Rating: 2 Units This is too big of a game for the Volunteers to expect any sort of letdown. In essence, Tennessee is in a two-team race for the SEC regular season crown and that outcome could ultimately determine whether or not the Volunteers earn a coveted #1 seed in one of the four tournament regions. Tennessee just has too much talent for this Florida team. Florida was overwhelmed by K-State on Saturday, particularly the Wildcats' defense. Now they face arguably the best defense in the country in the Volunteers. Tennessee has the nation's #1 scoring defense and #1 3pt defense. The Volunteers also have more than enough scoring to get off and running and keep the Gators at bay. I expect the Volunteers to dominate the interior, double Castleton in the post, and force Florida to try to beat them with the Gators' subpar perimeter shooting. Tennessee will roll in this spot. |
| Thunder vs Rockets | Thunder -5 -115 | Premium | 106-112 |
Loss | -115 | Show |
Rating: 2 Units This is the type of game that the Thunder have to win if they truly want to compete for a play-in spot -- or more. They are on the road facing a lesser team and that lesser team is banged up with some key players questionable. It helps that they have the two best players on the floor in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey, while Houston may be missing their two best players -- Green and Alperen. Also, the Thunder have been great against the spread, going 31-18-1 against the number this season. Houston, on the other hand, is just 20-29-1 against the spread. Take Oklahoma City here to cover. |
| Nets vs Celtics | Celtics -9 -110 | Premium | 96-139 |
Win | 100 | Show |
Rating: 2 Units Boston is the better offensive team in this matchup and I don't think these two teams are even when Kevin Durant isn't on the floor. Boston is also (5-0) ATS in their last five meetings overall, as they will be looking to dominate again in this game. The Boston offense is also extremely tough to beat, as they have the third-highest adjusted offensive rating and they are scoring the third most points per game. Tatum and Jaylen Brown are tough to stop and they have multiple key players that can come off the bench and contribute as well. Brooklyn is still dealing with injuries and I don't see Irving carrying his team to victory in this one. Boston also has the fifth-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the 10th-lowest shooting percentage from the floor. They will pressure the Nets consistently throughout this game and keep them from scoring enough points to cover the spread. |
| Indiana State vs Evansville | Indiana State -13½ -110 | Premium | 83-65 |
Win | 100 | Show |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana State won the first head-to-head meeting by 28 points, and I expect another dominating performance here. The Purple Aces' rank in the bottom 40 in the nation in field goal percentage, three-point percentage and scoring on both offense and defense. On the other end, Indiana State is 46th in field goal percentage, scoring and free-throw shooting on offense. The Sycamores are also much better defensively. There's always a chance that Indiana State overlooks Evansville here or falls victim to a late backdoor cover, but the Sycamores are the smart play here. |
| Tulsa vs Cincinnati | Cincinnati -15½ -115 | Premium | 55-81 |
Win | 100 | Show |
Rating: 2 Units Tulsa has been one of the worst teams in college basketball to bet on this season as they have been awful against the spread. The Golden Hurricane is 3-15-2 against the spread this year. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been a solid bet, going 14-7 against the spread on the season. One concern here is that Landers Nolley is listed as questionable for this game with a banged-up knee. Cincinnati may try to rest him thinking they can beat Tulsa without him as they prepare for bigger games coming up. If this game was at Tulsa I might give the Golden Hurricane a shot to cover, but the Bearcats have been great at home and I like them to cover with or without Nolley. Take Cincinnati here. |
| LSU vs Missouri | Missouri -10 -110 | Premium | 77-87 |
Push | 0 | Show |
Rating: 2 Units LSU’s 12-1 start to the season came to a grinding halt with seven straight losses for the Bengal Cats, and as a result they find themselves in a 3-way mess with both of the Mississippi’s at the bottom of the SEC totem pole. They also have to face off against a Missouri team tonight that remembers its season-ending loss to LSU in the Donkey Round of last year’s SEC tourney, and that sets the table here as they check in with a sparkling 3-0 SUATS log in home games when seeking LTKO revenge. The Tigers from COMO have lost just two games in Mizzou Arena this season, against Kansas and Alabama – two squads that are head-and-shoulders above the troubled Tigers from the bayou. With only one conference win in his pocket this season, we don’t see anything changing soon for first-year LSU head coach Matt McMahon. |
