Ohio State vs Penn State CFB Expert Free Pick & Prediction Nov 1, 2024

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Play on: Penn State +3½

John Ryan‘s Ohio State vs Penn State CFB Expert Free Pick.

8-Unit bet on Penn State priced as a 3.5-point underdog. This is a Premium Client Play

Let’s get right into the meat and potatoes of this terrific betting opportunity. With 7 or more games under our belts in the college football season we get better and better results with our 1247 college football algorithms. If a team has gained more yards than their opponents, won the stats, they become exceptional betting opportunities when priced as any size dog including pick-em.

Penn State has won the stats in every game this season. Teams that have won the stats in every game over the first 10 weeks of the season and are ranked and priced as a 3 or greater-point underdog have gone 18-12 ATS for 60% winning bets.

Preview: Ohio State vs. Penn State College Football Game

This Saturday, the No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes (6-1) will face off against the No. 3 Penn State Nittany Lions (7-0) in a highly anticipated Big Ten showdown at Beaver Stadium. This game is crucial for both teams as they vie for a spot in the College Football Playoff.

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Ohio State Buckeyes

Offensive Leaders:

Will Howard: 1,795 passing yards, 74% completion percentage, 17 touchdowns, 4 interceptions.

Quinshon Judkins: 520 rushing yards, 6 touchdowns.

Emeka Egbuka: 546 receiving yards, 6 touchdowns.

Defensive Strength:

Ohio State ranks 4th in scoring defense, allowing only 11.9 points per game.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Offensive Leaders:

Drew Allar: 1,640 passing yards, 71.3% completion percentage, 12 touchdowns, 4 interceptions.

Nicholas Singleton: 483 rushing yards, 3 touchdowns.

Tyler Warren: 559 receiving yards, 4 touchdowns.

Defensive Strength:

Penn State ranks 8th in scoring defense, allowing only 14.3 points per game.

Looking at my power ratings, OSU would be priced as a 2.5-point favorite on a neutral field. Beaver Stadium with the second largest capacity at 112,000 fans in North America is a very difficult environment for any visitor and the value of home field advantage is 6 points. That makes PSU a 3.5-point home favorite and not a 3.5-point dog. That is 7 points of value and IO do think the wrong team is favored. Further, PSU is 6-2 ATS when playing Ohio State since 2016. When they faced Ohio State dressed as a home underdog they went 3-7 SU, but 7-3 ATS.

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